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Regime switching affine processes with applications to finance

Author

Listed:
  • Misha Beek

    (University of Amsterdam)

  • Michel Mandjes

    (University of Amsterdam)

  • Peter Spreij

    (University of Amsterdam
    Radboud University)

  • Erik Winands

    (University of Amsterdam)

Abstract

We introduce the notion of a regime switching affine process. Informally this is a Markov process that behaves conditionally on each regime as an affine process with specific parameters. To facilitate our analysis, specific restrictions are imposed on these parameters. The regime switches are driven by a Markov chain. We prove that the joint process of the Markov chain and the conditionally affine part is a process with an affine structure on an enlarged state space, conditionally on the starting state of the Markov chain. Like for affine processes, the characteristic function can be expressed in a set of ordinary differential equations that can sometimes be solved analytically. This result unifies several semi-analytical solutions found in the literature for pricing derivatives of specific regime switching processes on smaller state spaces. It also provides a unifying theory that allows us to introduce regime switching to the pricing of many derivatives within the broad class of affine processes. Examples include European options and term structure derivatives with stochastic volatility and default. Essentially, whenever there is a pricing solution based on an affine process, we can extend this to a regime switching affine process without sacrificing the analytical tractability of the affine process.

Suggested Citation

  • Misha Beek & Michel Mandjes & Peter Spreij & Erik Winands, 2020. "Regime switching affine processes with applications to finance," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 309-333, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:finsto:v:24:y:2020:i:2:d:10.1007_s00780-020-00419-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s00780-020-00419-2
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    Cited by:

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    5. Dmitry A. Endovitsky & Viacheslav V. Korotkikh & Denis A. Khripushin, 2021. "Equity Risk and Return across Hidden Market Regimes," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(11), pages 1-21, October.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Affine processes; Regime switching; Markov modulation; Markov chain; Derivatives pricing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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