IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/fininn/v2y2016i1d10.1186_s40854-016-0028-7.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Effect of interest rate on economic performance: evidence from Islamic and non-Islamic economies

Author

Listed:
  • Saba Mushtaq

    (Karachi University Business School, University of Karachi)

  • Danish Ahmed Siddiqui

    (Karachi University Business School, University of Karachi)

Abstract

Background Saving and investment are two of the most important tools for economic growth. The interest rate has always been considered an important determinant of saving and investment. However, according to Islamic teachings, riba or earning interest on saving or investment is forbidden, and thus, many Muslims try to avoid earning income from the interest rate. Therefore, the aim of this study is to assess the effects of this religious guideline on the financial decisions of an Islamic country’s population and its impact on saving and investment. Methods We applied the random effect and system generalized method of moments (GMM) model separately to data of 17 non-Islamic and 17 Islamic countries from 2005 to 2013. Results The results suggest that people in Islamic countries are not concerned about the interest rate on saving, but in non-Islamic countries, the interest rate, per capita income, and inflation have significant positive impacts, and national expenditure has a significant negative impact on saving. However, in Islamic countries, remittances received and national expenditure have negative significant impacts, and per capita income has a positive significant impact on saving. In the case of investment, interest rate and inflation show a negative effect on investment while trade affects investment positively in both Islamic and non-Islamic countries. Furthermore, domestic credit provided by banks has a negative significant effect on investment in non-Islamic countries, while in Islamic countries, remittances show a positive significant impact on investment. Conclusions The governments and policy makers of Islamic countries should not imitate the economic policies of non-Islamic countries because religious factors play an important role in the interest rate–saving relationship. Instead, they should increase per capita income by improving employment conditions and by reducing remittances received and national expenditure. Policies on saving should not allow earning interest. Furthermore, in order to increase investment, efforts should be made to lower the interest rate and inflation, and to enhance remittances received and trade. These policies will increase saving and investment in Islamic countries, ultimately resulting in improved economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Saba Mushtaq & Danish Ahmed Siddiqui, 2016. "Effect of interest rate on economic performance: evidence from Islamic and non-Islamic economies," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 2(1), pages 1-14, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:fininn:v:2:y:2016:i:1:d:10.1186_s40854-016-0028-7
    DOI: 10.1186/s40854-016-0028-7
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1186/s40854-016-0028-7
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1186/s40854-016-0028-7?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Abdelbari El Khamlichi & Kamel Laaradh & Mohamed Arouri & Frédéric Teulon, 2014. "Performance Persistence of Islamic Equity Mutual Funds," Working Papers 2014-115, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
    2. Frederic S. Mishkin, 1984. "The Real Interest Rate: A Multi-Country Empirical Study," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 17(2), pages 283-311, May.
    3. Arellano, Manuel & Bover, Olympia, 1995. "Another look at the instrumental variable estimation of error-components models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 29-51, July.
    4. Joshua Greene & Delano Villanueva, 1991. "Private Investment in Developing Countries: An Empirical Analysis," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 38(1), pages 33-58, March.
    5. Bacha, Obiyathulla I., 2004. "Dual Banking Systems and Interest Rate Risk for Islamic Banks," MPRA Paper 12763, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Mar 2004.
    6. David Han-Min Wang & Tiffany Hui-Kuang Yu, 2007. "The role of interest rate in investment decisions: a fuzzy logic framework," Global Business and Economics Review, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 9(4), pages 448-457.
    7. E. H. Ergeç & B. G. Arslan, 2013. "Impact of interest rates on Islamic and conventional banks: the case of Turkey," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(17), pages 2381-2388, June.
    8. Chadha, Jagjit S & Dimsdale, Nicholas H, 1999. "A Long View of Real Rates," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 15(2), pages 17-45, Summer.
    9. Ashfaque H. Khan & Lubna Hasan & Afia Malik, 1992. "Dependency Ratio, Foreign Capital Inflows and the Rate of Savings in Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 31(4), pages 843-856.
    10. Orazio P. Attanasio & Lucio Picci & Antonello E. Scorcu, 2000. "Saving, Growth, and Investment: A Macroeconomic Analysis Using a Panel of Countries," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 82(2), pages 182-211, May.
    11. Kiichi Tokuoka, 2012. "Does the Business Environment Affect Corporate Investment in India?," IMF Working Papers 2012/070, International Monetary Fund.
    12. Allsopp, Christopher & Glyn, Andrew, 1999. "The Assessment: Real Interest Rates," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 15(2), pages 1-16, Summer.
    13. Rahmatina A. Kasri & Salina Hj. Kassim, 2009. "Empirical Determinants of Saving in the Islamic Banks: Evidence from Indonesia المحددات التجريبية للادخار في البنوك الإسلامية: أدلة من إندونيسيا," Journal of King Abdulaziz University: Islamic Economics, King Abdulaziz University, Islamic Economics Institute., vol. 22(2), pages 181-201, July.
    14. Ms. Nan Geng & Mr. Papa M N'Diaye, 2012. "Determinants of Corporate Investment in China: Evidence From Cross-Country Firm Level Data," IMF Working Papers 2012/080, International Monetary Fund.
    15. Prema-Chandra Athukorala, 1998. "Interest rates, saving and investment: Evidence from India," Oxford Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(2), pages 153-169.
    16. Chong, Beng Soon & Liu, Ming-Hua, 2009. "Islamic banking: Interest-free or interest-based?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 125-144, January.
    17. Volker Nienhaus, 1983. "Profitability of Islamic PLS Banks Competing with Interest Banks: Problems and Prospects ربحية البنوك الإسلامية المشاركة في المنافسة مع البنوك ذات الفائدة: المشاكل والآفاق," Journal of Research in Islamic Economics, King Abdulaziz University, Islamic Economics Institute., vol. 1(1), pages 31-39, January.
    18. Darrat, Ali F., 2002. "The relative efficiency of interest-free monetary system: some empirical evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(4), pages 747-764.
    19. Kalim Hyder & Qazi Masood Ahmed, 2004. "Why Private Investment In Pakistan Has Collapsed And How It Can Be Restored," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 107-125, Jan-June.
    20. repec:abd:kauiea:oldjournal:v:1:y:1983:i:1:no:3:p:31-39 is not listed on IDEAS
    21. Hamid Zangeneh & Ahmad Salam, 1993. "Central Banking in an Interest-Free Banking System المصارف المركزية في نظام مصرفي خال من الربا," Journal of King Abdulaziz University: Islamic Economics, King Abdulaziz University, Islamic Economics Institute., vol. 5(1), pages 25-36, January.
    22. Amir Kia & Ali F. Darrat, 2003. "Modeling Money Demand under the Profit-Sharing Banking Scheme: Evidence on Policy Invariance and Long-Run Stability," Carleton Economic Papers 03-13, Carleton University, Department of Economics, revised Apr 2007.
    23. repec:bla:econom:v:70:y:2003:i:279:p:533-549 is not listed on IDEAS
    24. Taylor, Mark P, 1999. "Real Interest Rates and Macroeconomic Activity," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 15(2), pages 95-113, Summer.
    25. Kia, Amir & Darrat, Ali F., 2007. "Modeling money demand under the profit-sharing banking scheme: Some evidence on policy invariance and long-run stability," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 104-123.
    26. Amir Kia, 2002. "Interest Free and Interest-Bearing Money Demand: Policy Invariance and Stability," Working Papers 0214, Economic Research Forum, revised 09 May 2002.
    27. Shahbaz Nasir & Mahmood Khalid, 2004. "Saving-investment Behaviour in Pakistan: An Empirical Investigation," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 43(4), pages 665-682.
    28. Levin, Andrew & Lin, Chien-Fu & James Chu, Chia-Shang, 2002. "Unit root tests in panel data: asymptotic and finite-sample properties," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 108(1), pages 1-24, May.
    29. Nadeem A. Burney & Ashfaque H. Khan, 1992. "Socio-economic Characteristics and Household Savings: An Analysis of the Households' Saving Behaviour in Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 31(1), pages 31-48.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Lateef Adewale Yunusa & Ibrahim A. Adekunle & Tolulope Oyakhilome Williams & Jamiu Adeniyi Akindele, 2021. "Dilemma Between Deposit And Lending Rate: Savings-Investment Perspective," Business & Management Compass, University of Economics Varna, issue 1, pages 65-85.
    2. Amna Sohail Rawat, Syed Kumail Mehdi, 2017. "The Impact of Islamic Banks and Takaful Companies on Economic Growth: A Case of Pakistan," Journal of Finance and Economics Research, Geist Science, Iqra University, Faculty of Business Administration, vol. 2(2), pages 130-143, October.
    3. Faris Alshubiri, 2022. "The Impact of the Real Interest Rate, the Exchange Rate and Political Stability on Foreign Direct Investment Inflows: A Comparative Analysis of G7 and GCC Countries," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 29(3), pages 569-603, September.
    4. Abdullahi Osman Ali, 2021. "Impact of Monetary Policy Fluctuations on Conventional and Islamic Banks in Malaysia: Evidence from ARDL Approach," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 11(1), pages 101-108.
    5. Shazia Zahid, AB. Basit, 2018. "Impact of Macroeconomic Factors on the Growth of Islamic Banking: A Case of Pakistan," Journal of Finance and Economics Research, Geist Science, Iqra University, Faculty of Business Administration, vol. 3(2), pages 37-50, October.
    6. repec:gei:journl:v:2:y:2017:i:2:p:130-143 is not listed on IDEAS

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. E. H. Ergeç & B. G. Arslan, 2013. "Impact of interest rates on Islamic and conventional banks: the case of Turkey," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(17), pages 2381-2388, June.
    2. Khairul Anuar & Shamsher Mohamad & Mohamed Eskandar Shah, 2014. "Are Deposit and Investment Accounts in Islamic Banks in Malaysia Interest-Free? هل ودائع وحسابات الاستثمار في البنوك الإسلامية في ماليزيا غير قائمة أو خالية من الفائدة ؟," Journal of King Abdulaziz University: Islamic Economics, King Abdulaziz University, Islamic Economics Institute., vol. 27(2), pages 29-58, July.
    3. Hamza, Hichem & Saadaoui, Zied, 2018. "Monetary transmission through the debt financing channel of Islamic banks: Does PSIA play a role?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 557-570.
    4. Seho, Mirzet & Alaaabed, Alaa & Masih, Mansur, 2016. "Risk-Sharing Financing of Islamic Banks: Better Shielded Against Interest Rate Risk?," MPRA Paper 82558, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Tariq, Anam & Masih, Mansur, 2016. "Risk-sharing deposits in islamic banks: do interest rates have any influence on them?," MPRA Paper 71680, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Saeed, Momna & Izzeldin, Marwan, 2016. "Examining the relationship between default risk and efficiency in Islamic and conventional banks," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 132(S), pages 127-154.
    7. COMBEY, Adama, 2016. "The Main Determinants of Private Investment in The WAEMU Zone: The Dynamic Approach," MPRA Paper 75382, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Lim, Jamus Jerome, 2014. "Institutional and structural determinants of investment worldwide," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 160-177.
    9. Hassan, M. Kabir & Aliyu, Sirajo, 2018. "A contemporary survey of islamic banking literature," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 12-43.
    10. Naeem AKRAM & Muhammad Irfan AKRAM, 2015. "Savings Behaviour In Muslim And Non-Muslim Countries In Context To The Interest Rate," Pakistan Journal of Applied Economics, Applied Economics Research Centre, vol. 25(2), pages 161-177.
    11. Ismail, Aisha & Rashid, Kashif, 2013. "Determinants of household saving: Cointegrated evidence from Pakistan (1975–2011)," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 524-531.
    12. Mohd. Yusof, Rosylin & Bahlous, Mejda & Tursunov, Hamza, 2015. "Are Profit Sharing Rates of Mudharabah Account Linked to Interest Rates? An Investigation on Islamic Banks in GCC Countries," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 49(2), pages 77-86.
    13. Šeho, Mirzet & Bacha, Obiyathulla Ismath & Smolo, Edib, 2020. "The effects of interest rate on Islamic bank financing instruments: Cross-country evidence from dual-banking systems," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    14. Adama Messanh COMBEY, 2016. "The Main Determinants of Private Investments in the WAEMU Zone: The Dynamic Approach," Journal of Economics and Political Economy, KSP Journals, vol. 3(4), pages 731-743, December.
    15. Faris Alshubiri, 2022. "The Impact of the Real Interest Rate, the Exchange Rate and Political Stability on Foreign Direct Investment Inflows: A Comparative Analysis of G7 and GCC Countries," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 29(3), pages 569-603, September.
    16. Muhamed Zulkhibri & Raditya Sukmana, 2017. "Financing Channels and Monetary Policy in a Dual Banking System: Evidence from Islamic Banks in Indonesia," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 46(1), pages 117-143, February.
    17. Bebonchu Atems & Jason Jones, 2015. "Income inequality and economic growth: a panel VAR approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 48(4), pages 1541-1561, June.
    18. António Afonso & João Tovar Jalles, 2011. "Linking Investment and Fiscal Policies," Working Papers Department of Economics 2011/16, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa.
    19. Kabir, Anis & Abdul Rehman Shah, Syed Muhammad & Hassan, M. Kabir & Akmal, Muhammad, 2022. "The Transmission Mechanism of Monetary Policy via Bank’ Balance Sheet: An Empirical Study of Dual Banking System in Pakistan," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 56(2), pages 129-140.
    20. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Anamaria Diana Sova & Robert Sova, 2024. "The Covid‐19 pandemic and European trade flows: Evidence from a dynamic panel model," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(3), pages 2563-2580, July.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Interest rate; Economic performance; Islamic countries; Riba; Saving; Investment;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • Z12 - Other Special Topics - - Cultural Economics - - - Religion
    • Z13 - Other Special Topics - - Cultural Economics - - - Economic Sociology; Economic Anthropology; Language; Social and Economic Stratification

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:fininn:v:2:y:2016:i:1:d:10.1186_s40854-016-0028-7. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.