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Continuous-Time Random Walk with multi-step memory: an application to market dynamics

Author

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  • Tomasz Gubiec

    (Center for Polymer Studies and Department of Physics, Boston University
    Faculty of Physics, University of Warsaw)

  • Ryszard Kutner

    (Faculty of Physics, University of Warsaw)

Abstract

An extended version of the Continuous-Time Random Walk (CTRW) model with memory is herein developed. This memory involves the dependence between arbitrary number of successive jumps of the process while waiting times between jumps are considered as i.i.d. random variables. This dependence was established analyzing empirical histograms for the stochastic process of a single share price on a market within the high frequency time scale. Then, it was justified theoretically by considering bid-ask bounce mechanism containing some delay characteristic for any double-auction market. Our model appeared exactly analytically solvable. Therefore, it enables a direct comparison of its predictions with their empirical counterparts, for instance, with empirical velocity autocorrelation function. Thus, the present research significantly extends capabilities of the CTRW formalism.

Suggested Citation

  • Tomasz Gubiec & Ryszard Kutner, 2017. "Continuous-Time Random Walk with multi-step memory: an application to market dynamics," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 90(11), pages 1-15, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:eurphb:v:90:y:2017:i:11:d:10.1140_epjb_e2017-80216-3
    DOI: 10.1140/epjb/e2017-80216-3
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Enrico Scalas, 2006. "Five Years of Continuous-time Random Walks in Econophysics," Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, in: Akira Namatame & Taisei Kaizouji & Yuuji Aruka (ed.), The Complex Networks of Economic Interactions, pages 3-16, Springer.
    2. Gençay, Ramazan & Dacorogna, Michel & Muller, Ulrich A. & Pictet, Olivier & Olsen, Richard, 2001. "An Introduction to High-Frequency Finance," Elsevier Monographs, Elsevier, edition 1, number 9780122796715.
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    Cited by:

    1. Marcin Wk{a}torek & Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Pawe{l} O'swic{e}cimka & Marek Stanuszek, 2018. "Multifractal cross-correlations between the World Oil and other Financial Markets in 2012-2017," Papers 1812.08548, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2019.
    2. Aleksejus Kononovicius & Vygintas Gontis, 2019. "Approximation of the first passage time distribution for the birth-death processes," Papers 1902.00924, arXiv.org.
    3. Jaros{l}aw Klamut & Tomasz Gubiec, 2018. "Directed Continuous-Time Random Walk with memory," Papers 1807.01934, arXiv.org.

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