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A geospatial assessment of growth pattern of aquaculture in the Indian Sundarbans Biosphere Reserve

Author

Listed:
  • Sandip Giri

    (Jadavpur University)

  • Sourav Samanta

    (Jadavpur University)

  • Partho Protim Mondal

    (Jadavpur University)

  • Oindrila Basu

    (Jadavpur University)

  • Samiran Khorat

    (Jadavpur University)

  • Abhra Chanda

    (Jadavpur University)

  • Sugata Hazra

    (Jadavpur University)

Abstract

Indian Sundarbans Biosphere Reserve (SBR) comprising over 100 estuarine islands and shared by human habitation and mangrove forests is considered to be a potential area for coastal aquaculture. This study, using LANDSAT imageries of the last two decades (1999–2019), delineated the spatiotemporal expansion of aquaculture at the expense of agricultural land, mudflats, and some mangroves. It also estimated a futuristic land transformation to aquaculture using the Cellular Automata-Markov Chain model. From the geospatial analysis, it is observed that (1) the aquacultures are mostly located around 22° 30′N, i.e., far away from the saline seafront, (2) total aquaculture area has increased to nearly 5.82% of the entire SBR in 2019 from 3.59% in 1999 and, (3) cyclone Aila and its surge inundation have influenced in their expansion. This growth of aquaculture took place with the loss of 3.71% (10,536.67 ha) agricultural land, 3.87% (730.40 ha) mudflat, and 0.28% (623.23 ha) mangrove from 1999 to 2009, and 6.02% (13,471.50 ha) agricultural land, 9.98% (1583.64 ha) mudflat, and 0.18% (382.35 ha) mangrove during 2009–2019. According to the predictive modeling, ~ 6% of the present agriculture area is prognosticated to be converted to aquaculture by the next decade under a business-as-usual scenario.

Suggested Citation

  • Sandip Giri & Sourav Samanta & Partho Protim Mondal & Oindrila Basu & Samiran Khorat & Abhra Chanda & Sugata Hazra, 2022. "A geospatial assessment of growth pattern of aquaculture in the Indian Sundarbans Biosphere Reserve," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 4203-4225, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:endesu:v:24:y:2022:i:3:d:10.1007_s10668-021-01612-9
    DOI: 10.1007/s10668-021-01612-9
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Chopra, Kanchan & Kapuria, Preeti & Kumar, Pushpam, 2009. "Biodiversity Land Use Change and Human Well being: A Study of Aquaculture in the Indian Sundarbans," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198060215.
    2. Rahel Hamad & Heiko Balzter & Kamal Kolo, 2018. "Predicting Land Use/Land Cover Changes Using a CA-Markov Model under Two Different Scenarios," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-23, September.
    3. Ernesto Sánchez-Triana & Leonard Ortolano & Tapas Paul, 2018. "Managing water-related risks in the West Bengal Sundarbans: policy alternatives and institutions," International Journal of Water Resources Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(1), pages 78-96, January.
    4. Sarkhel, Prasenjit, 2015. "Flood risk, land use and private participation in embankment maintenance in Indian Sundarbans," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 272-284.
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