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Cumulative Risks of Multiple Criminal Justice Outcomes in New York City

Author

Listed:
  • Peter Hepburn

    (Princeton University)

  • Issa Kohler-Hausmann

    (Yale University)

  • Angela Zorro Medina

    (University of Chicago)

Abstract

Previous research has provided estimates of the cumulative risk of felony conviction and imprisonment in the United States. These experiences are, however, also the rarest; most of what happens in the criminal justice system occurs at the level of the misdemeanor rather than the felony. This article addresses our limited understanding of the scope of subfelony justice by providing estimates of the cumulative risk of several lower-level arrest outcomes for one jurisdiction: New York City. Because of excess life table events contributed by nonresidents of New York City, estimates are likely upwardly biased relative to the true values. Nonetheless, they allow us to (1) assess the cumulative risk of misdemeanor conviction and jail sentences and (2) determine to what extent those who enter the world of subfelony justice are distinct from those with felony or imprisonment records.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter Hepburn & Issa Kohler-Hausmann & Angela Zorro Medina, 2019. "Cumulative Risks of Multiple Criminal Justice Outcomes in New York City," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 56(3), pages 1161-1171, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:demogr:v:56:y:2019:i:3:d:10.1007_s13524-019-00781-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s13524-019-00781-7
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Christopher Wildeman, 2009. "Parental imprisonment, the prison boom, and the concentration of childhood disadvantage," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 46(2), pages 265-280, May.
    2. Sarah K. S. Shannon & Christopher Uggen & Jason Schnittker & Melissa Thompson & Sara Wakefield & Michael Massoglia, 2017. "The Growth, Scope, and Spatial Distribution of People With Felony Records in the United States, 1948–2010," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 54(5), pages 1795-1818, October.
    3. Christopher Muller & Christopher Wildeman, 2016. "Geographic Variation in the Cumulative Risk of Imprisonment and Parental Imprisonment in the United States," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 53(5), pages 1499-1509, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Courtney Boen & Nick Graetz & Hannah Olson & Zohra Ansari-Thomas & Laurin Bixby & Rebecca Anna Schut & Hedwig Lee, 2022. "Early life patterns of criminal legal system involvement: Inequalities by race/ethnicity, gender, and parental education," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 46(5), pages 131-146.

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