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An evaluation of population projections by age

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  • Stanley Smith
  • Jeff Tayman

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  • Stanley Smith & Jeff Tayman, 2003. "An evaluation of population projections by age," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 40(4), pages 741-757, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:demogr:v:40:y:2003:i:4:p:741-757
    DOI: 10.1353/dem.2003.0041
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Stanley Smith & Terry Sincich, 1988. "Stability over time in the distribution of population forecast errors," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 25(3), pages 461-474, August.
    2. Alho, Juha M., 1990. "Stochastic methods in population forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 6(4), pages 521-530, December.
    3. Stanley Smith, 1986. "Accounting for migration in cohort-component projections of state and local populations," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 23(1), pages 127-135, February.
    4. Nakosteen, Robert A., 1989. "Detailed population projections for small areas: The Massachusetts experience," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 125-138.
    5. Lee, Ronald D., 1992. "Stochastic demographic forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 315-327, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Jack C. Yue & Hsin-Chung Wang & Yizhen Liou, 2024. "Using the Taiwan National Health Insurance Database to explore the need for long-term care," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 49(2), pages 400-416, April.
    2. Jack Baker & David Swanson & Jeff Tayman, 2023. "Boosted Regression Trees for Small-Area Population Forecasting," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 42(4), pages 1-24, August.
    3. Tom Wilson, 2016. "Evaluation of Alternative Cohort-Component Models for Local Area Population Forecasts," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 35(2), pages 241-261, April.
    4. Jeff Tayman & David A. Swanson & Jack Baker, 2021. "Using Synthetic Adjustments and Controlling to Improve County Population Forecasts from the Hamilton–Perry Method," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 40(6), pages 1355-1383, December.
    5. Stefan Rayer & Stanley Smith & Jeff Tayman, 2009. "Empirical Prediction Intervals for County Population Forecasts," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 28(6), pages 773-793, December.
    6. Mario Reinhold & Stephan Thomsen, 2015. "Subnational Population Projections by Age: An Evaluation of Combined Forecast Techniques," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 34(4), pages 593-613, August.
    7. Tom Wilson, 2022. "Preparing local area population forecasts using a bi-regional cohort-component model without the need for local migration data," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 46(32), pages 919-956.
    8. Tao, Zhuolin & Cheng, Yang & Du, Shishuai & Feng, Ling & Wang, Shaoshuai, 2020. "Accessibility to delivery care in Hubei Province, China," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    9. Jeff Tayman & David A. Swanson, 2017. "Using modified cohort change and child-woman ratios in the Hamilton–Perry forecasting method," Journal of Population Research, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 209-231, September.
    10. Philip Rees & Tom Wilson, 2023. "Accuracy of Local Authority Population Forecasts Produced by a New Minimal Data Model: A Case Study of England," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 42(6), pages 1-30, December.
    11. Jack Baker & David Swanson & Jeff Tayman, 2021. "The Accuracy of Hamilton–Perry Population Projections for Census Tracts in the United States," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 40(6), pages 1341-1354, December.
    12. Stefan Rayer & Stanley Smith, 2014. "Population Projections by Age for Florida and its Counties: Assessing Accuracy and the Impact of Adjustments," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 33(5), pages 747-770, October.
    13. Ma, Lu & Srinivasan, Sivaramakrishnan, 2016. "An empirical assessment of factors affecting the accuracy of target-year synthetic populations," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 247-264.
    14. Michael P. Cameron & William Cochrane, 2015. "Using Land-Use Modelling to Statistically Downscale Population Projections to Small Areas," Working Papers in Economics 15/12, University of Waikato.

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