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Emissions from fossil fuels produced on US federal lands and waters present opportunities for climate mitigation

Author

Listed:
  • Nathan Ratledge

    (Stanford University
    Apogee Economics and Policy)

  • Laura Zachary

    (Apogee Economics and Policy)

  • Chase Huntley

    (The Wilderness Society)

Abstract

Between 2005 and 2019, a quarter of US fossil fuel production came from federal lands and waters. We estimate that the extraction, transportation and combustion of these fuels resulted in emissions equivalent to roughly 1.4 billion metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent per year. To better understand their future role in the US emissions profile, we use publicly available data and machine learning to model coal, oil and natural gas production on federal lands and waters to 2030, and calculate associated life cycle climate emissions. We estimate that total emissions from fossil fuels produced on federal lands and waters decline 6% below 2019 levels by 2030; and note that absent additional policy, further reductions may be challenging as some of the cheapest fossil fuels occur on federally owned lands and many are effectively subsidized.

Suggested Citation

  • Nathan Ratledge & Laura Zachary & Chase Huntley, 2022. "Emissions from fossil fuels produced on US federal lands and waters present opportunities for climate mitigation," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 171(1), pages 1-8, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:171:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1007_s10584-021-03302-x
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-021-03302-x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Todd D. Gerarden & W. Spencer Reeder & James H. Stock, 2020. "Federal Coal Program Reform, the Clean Power Plan, and the Interaction of Upstream and Downstream Climate Policies," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 12(1), pages 167-199, February.
    2. Prest, Brian C. & Stock, James H., 2023. "Climate royalty surcharges," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    3. Abadie, Alberto & Diamond, Alexis & Hainmueller, Jens, 2010. "Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California’s Tobacco Control Program," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 105(490), pages 493-505.
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