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An overview of the Energy Modeling Forum 33rd study: assessing large-scale global bioenergy deployment for managing climate change

Author

Listed:
  • Steven K Rose

    (Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI))

  • Nico Bauer

    (Leibniz Association)

  • Alexander Popp

    (Leibniz Association)

  • John Weyant

    (Stanford University)

  • Shinichiro Fujimori

    (Kyoto University
    National Institute for Environmental Studies
    International Institute for Applied System Analysis)

  • Petr Havlik

    (International Institute for Applied System Analysis)

  • Marshall Wise

    (Pacific Northwest National Laboratory & Univ. of Maryland)

  • Detlef P Vuuren

    (PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
    Utrecht University)

Abstract

Previous studies have projected a significant role for bioenergy in decarbonizing the global economy and helping realize international climate goals such as limiting global average warming to 2 ˚C or 1.5 ˚C. However, with substantial variability in bioenergy results and significant concerns about potential environmental and social implications, greater transparency and dedicated assessment of the underlying modeling and results and more detailed understanding of the potential role of bioenergy are needed. Stanford University’s Energy Modeling Forum (EMF) initiated a 33rd study (EMF-33) to explore the viability of large-scale bioenergy as part of a comprehensive climate management strategy. This special issue presents the papers of the EMF-33 study—a multi-year inter-model comparison project designed to understand and assess global, long-run biomass supply and bioenergy deployment potentials and related uncertainties. Using a novel scenario design with independent biomass supply and bioenergy demand protocols, EMF-33 separately elucidates and explores the modeling of biomass feedstock supplies and bioenergy technologies and their deployment—revealing, comparing, and assessing the modeling that is suggesting that bioenergy could be a key climate containment strategy. This introduction provides an overview of the EMF-33 study design and the overview, thematic, and individual modeling team papers and types of insights that make up this special issue. By providing enhanced transparency and new detailed insights, we hope to inform policy dialogue about the potential role of bioenergy and facilitate new research.

Suggested Citation

  • Steven K Rose & Nico Bauer & Alexander Popp & John Weyant & Shinichiro Fujimori & Petr Havlik & Marshall Wise & Detlef P Vuuren, 2020. "An overview of the Energy Modeling Forum 33rd study: assessing large-scale global bioenergy deployment for managing climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 163(3), pages 1539-1551, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:163:y:2020:i:3:d:10.1007_s10584-020-02945-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-020-02945-6
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Tomoko Hasegawa & Ronald D. Sands & Thierry Brunelle & Yiyun Cui & Stefan Frank & Shinichiro Fujimori & Alexander Popp, 2020. "Food security under high bioenergy demand toward long-term climate goals," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 163(3), pages 1587-1601, December.
    2. Matteo Muratori & Nico Bauer & Steven K. Rose & Marshall Wise & Vassilis Daioglou & Yiyun Cui & Etsushi Kato & Matthew Gidden & Jessica Strefler & Shinichiro Fujimori & Ronald D. Sands & Detlef P. Vuu, 2020. "EMF-33 insights on bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS)," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 163(3), pages 1621-1637, December.
    3. Alexander Popp & Steven Rose & Katherine Calvin & Detlef Vuuren & Jan Dietrich & Marshall Wise & Elke Stehfest & Florian Humpenöder & Page Kyle & Jasper Vliet & Nico Bauer & Hermann Lotze-Campen & Dav, 2014. "Land-use transition for bioenergy and climate stabilization: model comparison of drivers, impacts and interactions with other land use based mitigation options," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 123(3), pages 495-509, April.
    4. T. Gasser & C. Guivarch & K. Tachiiri & C. D. Jones & P. Ciais, 2015. "Negative emissions physically needed to keep global warming below 2 °C," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 6(1), pages 1-7, November.
    5. Steven Rose & Elmar Kriegler & Ruben Bibas & Katherine Calvin & Alexander Popp & Detlef Vuuren & John Weyant, 2014. "Bioenergy in energy transformation and climate management," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 123(3), pages 477-493, April.
    6. Junichi Tsutsui & Hiromi Yamamoto & Shogo Sakamoto & Masahiro Sugiyama, 2020. "The role of advanced end-use technologies in long-term climate change mitigation: the interlinkage between primary bioenergy and energy end-use," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 163(3), pages 1659-1673, December.
    7. Junichi Tsutsui & Hiromi Yamamoto & Shogo Sakamoto & Masahiro Sugiyama, 2020. "Correction to: The role of advanced end-use technologies in long-term climate change mitigation: the interlinkage between primary bioenergy and energy end-use," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 163(4), pages 2263-2264, December.
    8. Nico Bauer & David Klein & Florian Humpenöder & Elmar Kriegler & Gunnar Luderer & Alexander Popp & Jessica Strefler, 2020. "Bio-energy and CO2 emission reductions: an integrated land-use and energy sector perspective," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 163(3), pages 1675-1693, December.
    9. Vassilis Daioglou & Steven K. Rose & Nico Bauer & Alban Kitous & Matteo Muratori & Fuminori Sano & Shinichiro Fujimori & Matthew J. Gidden & Etsushi Kato & Kimon Keramidas & David Klein & Florian Lebl, 2020. "Bioenergy technologies in long-run climate change mitigation: results from the EMF-33 study," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 163(3), pages 1603-1620, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Alexandre C. Köberle & Vassilis Daioglou & Pedro Rochedo & André F. P. Lucena & Alexandre Szklo & Shinichiro Fujimori & Thierry Brunelle & Etsushi Kato & Alban Kitous & Detlef P. Vuuren & Roberto Scha, 2022. "Can global models provide insights into regional mitigation strategies? A diagnostic model comparison study of bioenergy in Brazil," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 170(1), pages 1-31, January.
    2. Xin Zhao & Bryan K. Mignone & Marshall A. Wise & Haewon C. McJeon, 2024. "Trade-offs in land-based carbon removal measures under 1.5 °C and 2 °C futures," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-13, December.
    3. Florian Leblanc & Ruben Bibas & Silvana Mima & Matteo Muratori & Shogo Sakamoto & Fuminori Sano & Nico Bauer & Vassilis Daioglou & Shinichiro Fujimori & Matthew J Gidden & Estsushi Kato & Steven K Ros, 2022. "The contribution of bioenergy to the decarbonization of transport: a multi-model assessment," Post-Print hal-03558507, HAL.

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