IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/climat/v151y2018i3d10.1007_s10584-018-2335-7.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Decreased takeoff performance of aircraft due to climate change

Author

Listed:
  • Yuntao Zhou

    (Xiamen University)

  • Nan Zhang

    (Xiamen University)

  • Chao Li

    (East China Normal University)

  • Yong Liu

    (Peking University)

  • Ping Huang

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences)

Abstract

Climate change will likely affect aviation; however, it is not well understood. In particular, the effects of climate change on aircraft’s takeoff performance have seldom been studied. Here, we explore the effects of climate change on the takeoff performance of aircraft, including takeoff distance and climb rate. Takeoff performance normally decreases as temperature and pressure altitude increase. Our study confirms an increasing trend of temperature at 30 major international airports. However, the trend of pressure altitude is shown to be either positive or negative at these airports. Such changes of temperature and pressure altitude lead to longer takeoff distance and lower climb rate in the following century. The average takeoff distance in summer will increase by 0.95–6.5% and 1.6–11% from the historical period (1976–2005) to the mid-century (2021–2050) and from the mid- to late-century (2071–2100). The climb rate in summer will decrease by 0.68–3.4% and 1.3–5.2% from the history to the mid-century and from the mid- to late-century, respectively. Taking Boeing 737-800 aircraft as an example, our results show that it will require additional 3.5–168.7 m takeoff distance in future summers, with variations among different airports.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuntao Zhou & Nan Zhang & Chao Li & Yong Liu & Ping Huang, 2018. "Decreased takeoff performance of aircraft due to climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 151(3), pages 463-472, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:151:y:2018:i:3:d:10.1007_s10584-018-2335-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-018-2335-7
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10584-018-2335-7
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10584-018-2335-7?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Paul D. Williams & Manoj M. Joshi, 2013. "Intensification of winter transatlantic aviation turbulence in response to climate change," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(7), pages 644-648, July.
    2. Nicola Stuber & Piers Forster & Gaby Rädel & Keith Shine, 2006. "The importance of the diurnal and annual cycle of air traffic for contrail radiative forcing," Nature, Nature, vol. 441(7095), pages 864-867, June.
    3. Ethan D. Coffel & Terence R. Thompson & Radley M. Horton, 2017. "The impacts of rising temperatures on aircraft takeoff performance," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 144(2), pages 381-388, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ryley, Tim & Baumeister, Stefan & Coulter, Liese, 2020. "Climate change influences on aviation: A literature review," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 55-64.
    2. Stefan Gössling & Christoph Neger & Robert Steiger & Rainer Bell, 2023. "Weather, climate change, and transport: a review," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 118(2), pages 1341-1360, September.
    3. Guy Gratton & Anil Padhra & Spyridon Rapsomanikis & Paul D. Williams, 2020. "The impacts of climate change on Greek airports," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 160(2), pages 219-231, May.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Guy Gratton & Anil Padhra & Spyridon Rapsomanikis & Paul D. Williams, 2020. "The impacts of climate change on Greek airports," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 160(2), pages 219-231, May.
    2. Borsky, Stefan & Unterberger, Christian, 2019. "Bad weather and flight delays: The impact of sudden and slow onset weather events," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 10-26.
    3. Chai Liang Huang & Lai Ferry Sugianto, 2024. "The scorching temperatures shock effect on firms’ performance: a global perspective," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 62(4), pages 1651-1732, May.
    4. Jingming Qian & Shujiang Miao & Nigel Tapper & Jianguang Xie & Greg Ingleton, 2020. "Investigation on Airport Landscape Cooling Associated with Irrigation: A Case Study of Adelaide Airport, Australia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(19), pages 1-16, October.
    5. K. M. Kamna & Priyamvada & Jitendra Singh & Chandra K. Jaggi, 2024. "A green strategic approach towards a smart production system with promotional and environment sensitive demand," International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, Springer;The Society for Reliability, Engineering Quality and Operations Management (SREQOM),India, and Division of Operation and Maintenance, Lulea University of Technology, Sweden, vol. 15(8), pages 3672-3687, August.
    6. Naughtin, Claire & Hajkowicz, Stefan & Schleiger, Emma & Bratanova, Alexandra & Cameron, Alicia & Zamin, T & Dutta, A, 2022. "Our Future World: Global megatrends impacting the way we live over coming decades," MPRA Paper 113900, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Ryley, Tim & Baumeister, Stefan & Coulter, Liese, 2020. "Climate change influences on aviation: A literature review," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 55-64.
    8. Gitesh Wasson & Someshwar Das & S. K. Panda, 2022. "Numerical simulation of a Clear Air Turbulence (CAT) event over Northern India using WRF modeling system," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 114(3), pages 2605-2631, December.
    9. Ethan D. Coffel & Terence R. Thompson & Radley M. Horton, 2017. "The impacts of rising temperatures on aircraft takeoff performance," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 144(2), pages 381-388, September.
    10. Burbidge, Rachel, 2018. "Adapting aviation to a changing climate: Key priorities for action," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 167-174.
    11. Stefan Gössling & Christoph Neger & Robert Steiger & Rainer Bell, 2023. "Weather, climate change, and transport: a review," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 118(2), pages 1341-1360, September.
    12. Kaitano Dube & Godwell Nhamo, 2019. "Climate change and potential impacts on tourism: evidence from the Zimbabwean side of the Victoria Falls," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 21(4), pages 2025-2041, August.
    13. Grant L. Harley & Justin T. Maxwell & Karen E. King & Shelly A. Rayback & Edward R. Cook & Christopher Hansen & R. Stockton Maxwell & Frederick Reinig & Jan Esper & Tsun Fung Au & Ellen V. Bergan & Ka, 2024. "A 561-yr (1461-2022 CE) summer temperature reconstruction for Mid-Atlantic-Northeast USA shows connections to volcanic forcing and atmospheric circulation," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 177(9), pages 1-23, September.
    14. Francesca Maltinti & Michela Flore & Franco Pigozzi & Mauro Coni, 2024. "Optimizing Airport Runway Capacity and Sustainability through the Introduction of Rapid Exit Taxiways: A Case Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(13), pages 1-20, June.
    15. Chen, Zhenhua & Wang, Yuxuan & Zhou, Lei, 2021. "Predicting weather-induced delays of high-speed rail and aviation in China," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 1-13.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:151:y:2018:i:3:d:10.1007_s10584-018-2335-7. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.