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Decreased takeoff performance of aircraft due to climate change

Author

Listed:
  • Yuntao Zhou

    (Xiamen University)

  • Nan Zhang

    (Xiamen University)

  • Chao Li

    (East China Normal University)

  • Yong Liu

    (Peking University)

  • Ping Huang

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences)

Abstract

Climate change will likely affect aviation; however, it is not well understood. In particular, the effects of climate change on aircraft’s takeoff performance have seldom been studied. Here, we explore the effects of climate change on the takeoff performance of aircraft, including takeoff distance and climb rate. Takeoff performance normally decreases as temperature and pressure altitude increase. Our study confirms an increasing trend of temperature at 30 major international airports. However, the trend of pressure altitude is shown to be either positive or negative at these airports. Such changes of temperature and pressure altitude lead to longer takeoff distance and lower climb rate in the following century. The average takeoff distance in summer will increase by 0.95–6.5% and 1.6–11% from the historical period (1976–2005) to the mid-century (2021–2050) and from the mid- to late-century (2071–2100). The climb rate in summer will decrease by 0.68–3.4% and 1.3–5.2% from the history to the mid-century and from the mid- to late-century, respectively. Taking Boeing 737-800 aircraft as an example, our results show that it will require additional 3.5–168.7 m takeoff distance in future summers, with variations among different airports.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuntao Zhou & Nan Zhang & Chao Li & Yong Liu & Ping Huang, 2018. "Decreased takeoff performance of aircraft due to climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 151(3), pages 463-472, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:151:y:2018:i:3:d:10.1007_s10584-018-2335-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-018-2335-7
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Nicola Stuber & Piers Forster & Gaby Rädel & Keith Shine, 2006. "The importance of the diurnal and annual cycle of air traffic for contrail radiative forcing," Nature, Nature, vol. 441(7095), pages 864-867, June.
    2. Ethan D. Coffel & Terence R. Thompson & Radley M. Horton, 2017. "The impacts of rising temperatures on aircraft takeoff performance," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 144(2), pages 381-388, September.
    3. Paul D. Williams & Manoj M. Joshi, 2013. "Intensification of winter transatlantic aviation turbulence in response to climate change," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(7), pages 644-648, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ryley, Tim & Baumeister, Stefan & Coulter, Liese, 2020. "Climate change influences on aviation: A literature review," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 55-64.
    2. Stefan Gössling & Christoph Neger & Robert Steiger & Rainer Bell, 2023. "Weather, climate change, and transport: a review," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 118(2), pages 1341-1360, September.
    3. Guy Gratton & Anil Padhra & Spyridon Rapsomanikis & Paul D. Williams, 2020. "The impacts of climate change on Greek airports," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 160(2), pages 219-231, May.

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