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Dynamic modeling of barrier island response to hurricane storm surge under future sea level rise

Author

Listed:
  • Davina L. Passeri

    (U.S. Geological Survey St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center)

  • Matthew V. Bilskie

    (Louisiana State University
    Louisiana State University)

  • Nathaniel G. Plant

    (U.S. Geological Survey St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center)

  • Joseph W. Long

    (U.S. Geological Survey St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center)

  • Scott C. Hagen

    (Louisiana State University
    Louisiana State University)

Abstract

Sea level rise (SLR) has the potential to exacerbate the impacts of extreme storm events on the coastal landscape. This study examines the coupled interactions of SLR on storm-driven hydrodynamics and barrier island morphology. A numerical model is used to simulate the hydrodynamic and morphodynamic impacts of two Gulf of Mexico hurricanes under present-day and future sea levels. SLR increased surge heights and caused overwash to occur at more locations and for longer durations. During surge recession, water level gradients resulted in seaward sediment transport. The duration of the seaward-directed water level gradients was altered under SLR; longer durations caused more seaward-directed cross-barrier transport and a larger net loss in the subaerial island volume due to increased sand deposition in the nearshore. Determining how SLR and the method of SLR implementation (static or dynamic) modulate storm-driven morphologic change is important for understanding and managing longer-term coastal evolution.

Suggested Citation

  • Davina L. Passeri & Matthew V. Bilskie & Nathaniel G. Plant & Joseph W. Long & Scott C. Hagen, 2018. "Dynamic modeling of barrier island response to hurricane storm surge under future sea level rise," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 149(3), pages 413-425, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:149:y:2018:i:3:d:10.1007_s10584-018-2245-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-018-2245-8
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mir Mousavi & Jennifer Irish & Ashley Frey & Francisco Olivera & Billy Edge, 2011. "Global warming and hurricanes: the potential impact of hurricane intensification and sea level rise on coastal flooding," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 104(3), pages 575-597, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Parton, Lee C. & Dundas, Steven J., 2020. "Fall in the sea, eventually? A green paradox in climate adaptation for coastal housing markets," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    2. Reza Marsooli & Ning Lin, 2020. "Impacts of climate change on hurricane flood hazards in Jamaica Bay, New York," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 163(4), pages 2153-2171, December.

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