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Changes in extreme daily rainfall for São Paulo, Brazil

Author

Listed:
  • Maria Silva Dias
  • Juliana Dias
  • Leila Carvalho
  • Edmilson Freitas
  • Pedro Silva Dias

Abstract

Significant positive trends are found in the evolution of daily rainfall extremes in the city of São Paulo (Brazil) from 1933 to 2010. Climatic indices including ENSO, PDO, NAO and the sea surface temperature at the coast near São Paulo explain 85 % of the increasing frequency of extremes during the dry season. During the wet season the climatic indices and the local sea surface temperature explain a smaller fraction of the total variance when compared to the dry season indicating that other factors such as the growth of the urban heat island and the role of air pollution in cloud microphysics need to be taken into account to explain the observed trends over the almost eight decades. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2013

Suggested Citation

  • Maria Silva Dias & Juliana Dias & Leila Carvalho & Edmilson Freitas & Pedro Silva Dias, 2013. "Changes in extreme daily rainfall for São Paulo, Brazil," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 116(3), pages 705-722, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:116:y:2013:i:3:p:705-722
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-012-0504-7
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Seung-Ki Min & Xuebin Zhang & Francis W. Zwiers & Gabriele C. Hegerl, 2011. "Human contribution to more-intense precipitation extremes," Nature, Nature, vol. 470(7334), pages 378-381, February.
    2. Eugenia Kalnay & Ming Cai, 2003. "Impact of urbanization and land-use change on climate," Nature, Nature, vol. 423(6939), pages 528-531, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Haddad, Eduardo & Teixeira, Eliane, 2013. "Economic Impacts of Natural Disasters in Megacities: The Case of Floods in São Paulo, Brazil," TD NEREUS 4-2013, Núcleo de Economia Regional e Urbana da Universidade de São Paulo (NEREUS).
    2. Osvaldo Luiz Leal de Moraes, 2022. "Using a Simple Methodology to Assess the Acceleration in Daily Precipitation Extreme Events in the São Paulo Metropolitan Region," Geographies, MDPI, vol. 2(4), pages 1-10, November.
    3. Jurandir Zullo & Vânia Rosa Pereira & Andrea Koga-Vicente, 2018. "Sugar-energy sector vulnerability under CMIP5 projections in the Brazilian central-southern macro-region," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 149(3), pages 489-502, August.
    4. Leila M. V. Carvalho, 2020. "Assessing precipitation trends in the Americas with historical data: A review," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 11(2), March.
    5. Andréia Bender & Edmilson Dias Freitas & Luiz Augusto Toledo Machado, 2019. "The impact of future urban scenarios on a severe weather case in the metropolitan area of São Paulo," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 156(4), pages 471-488, October.

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