IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/climat/v116y2013i1p35-50.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Modeling the transport of nutrients and sediment loads into Lake Tahoe under projected climatic changes

Author

Listed:
  • John Riverson
  • Robert Coats
  • Mariza Costa-Cabral
  • Michael Dettinger
  • John Reuter
  • Goloka Sahoo
  • Geoffrey Schladow

Abstract

The outputs from two General Circulation Models (GCMs) with two emissions scenarios were downscaled and bias-corrected to develop regional climate change projections for the Tahoe Basin. For one model—the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory or GFDL model—the daily model results were used to drive a distributed hydrologic model. The watershed model used an energy balance approach for computing evapotranspiration and snowpack dynamics so that the processes remain a function of the climate change projections. For this study, all other aspects of the model (i.e. land use distribution, routing configuration, and parameterization) were held constant to isolate impacts of climate change projections. The results indicate that (1) precipitation falling as rain rather than snow will increase, starting at the current mean snowline, and moving towards higher elevations over time; (2) annual accumulated snowpack will be reduced; (3) snowpack accumulation will start later; and (4) snowmelt will start earlier in the year. Certain changes were masked (or counter-balanced) when summarized as basin-wide averages; however, spatial evaluation added notable resolution. While rainfall runoff increased at higher elevations, a drop in total precipitation volume decreased runoff and fine sediment load from the lower elevation meadow areas and also decreased baseflow and nitrogen loads basin-wide. This finding also highlights the important role that the meadow areas could play as high-flow buffers under climatic change. Because the watershed model accounts for elevation change and variable meteorological patterns, it provided a robust platform for evaluating the impacts of projected climate change on hydrology and water quality. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2013

Suggested Citation

  • John Riverson & Robert Coats & Mariza Costa-Cabral & Michael Dettinger & John Reuter & Goloka Sahoo & Geoffrey Schladow, 2013. "Modeling the transport of nutrients and sediment loads into Lake Tahoe under projected climatic changes," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 116(1), pages 35-50, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:116:y:2013:i:1:p:35-50
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-012-0629-8
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s10584-012-0629-8
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10584-012-0629-8?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Tapash Das & Michael Dettinger & Daniel Cayan & Hugo Hidalgo, 2011. "Potential increase in floods in California’s Sierra Nevada under future climate projections," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 109(1), pages 71-94, December.
    2. Richard A. Betts & Olivier Boucher & Matthew Collins & Peter M. Cox & Peter D. Falloon & Nicola Gedney & Deborah L. Hemming & Chris Huntingford & Chris D. Jones & David M. H. Sexton & Mark J. Webb, 2007. "Projected increase in continental runoff due to plant responses to increasing carbon dioxide," Nature, Nature, vol. 448(7157), pages 1037-1041, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Shen, Jian & Qin, Qubin & Wang, Ya & Sisson, Mac, 2019. "A data-driven modeling approach for simulating algal blooms in the tidal freshwater of James River in response to riverine nutrient loading," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 398(C), pages 44-54.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Islam, AFM Tariqul & Islam, AKM Saiful & Islam, GM Tarekul & Bala, Sujit Kumar & Salehin, Mashfiqus & Choudhury, Apurba Kanti & Dey, Nepal C. & Hossain, Akbar, 2022. "Adaptation strategies to increase water productivity of wheat under changing climate," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 264(C).
    2. Victor Nechifor & Matthew Winning, 2017. "The impacts of higher CO2 concentrations over global crop production and irrigation water requirements," EcoMod2017 10487, EcoMod.
    3. Robert Coats & Mariza Costa-Cabral & John Riverson & John Reuter & Goloka Sahoo & Geoffrey Schladow & Brent Wolfe, 2013. "Projected 21st century trends in hydroclimatology of the Tahoe basin," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 116(1), pages 51-69, January.
    4. Calzadilla, Alvaro & Zhu, Tingju & Rehdanz, Katrin & Tol, Richard S.J. & Ringler, Claudia, 2013. "Economywide impacts of climate change on agriculture in Sub-Saharan Africa," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 150-165.
    5. Alvaro Calzadilla & Katrin Rehdanz & Richard Betts & Pete Falloon & Andy Wiltshire & Richard Tol, 2013. "Climate change impacts on global agriculture," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 120(1), pages 357-374, September.
    6. Jahan Zeb Khan & Muhammad Zaheer, 2018. "Impacts Of Environmental Changeability And Human Activities On Hydrological Processes And Response ," Environmental Contaminants Reviews (ECR), Zibeline International Publishing, vol. 1(1), pages 13-17, June.
    7. Yiping Wu & Shuguang Liu & Omar Abdul-Aziz, 2012. "Hydrological effects of the increased CO 2 and climate change in the Upper Mississippi River Basin using a modified SWAT," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 110(3), pages 977-1003, February.
    8. Katherine Dagon & Daniel P. Schrag, 2019. "Quantifying the effects of solar geoengineering on vegetation," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 153(1), pages 235-251, March.
    9. Haoshan Wei & Yongqiang Zhang & Qi Huang & Francis H. S. Chiew & Jinkai Luan & Jun Xia & Changming Liu, 2024. "Direct vegetation response to recent CO2 rise shows limited effect on global streamflow," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-9, December.
    10. Cho, Jaeil & Oki, Taikan & Yeh, Pat J.-F. & Kanae, Shinjiro & Kim, Wonsik, 2010. "The effect of estimated PAR uncertainties on the physiological processes of biosphere models," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 221(12), pages 1575-1579.
    11. Boulanger, Pierre & Jomini, Patrick & Zhang, Xiao-guang & Costa, Catherine & Osborne, Michelle, 2010. "The Common Agricultural Policy and the French, European and World Economies," Conference papers 332019, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    12. Zbigniew Kundzewicz & Yukiko Hirabayashi & Shinjiro Kanae, 2010. "River Floods in the Changing Climate—Observations and Projections," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(11), pages 2633-2646, September.
    13. Walaa Elnashar & Ahmed Elyamany, 2023. "Managing Risks of Climate Change on Irrigation Water in Arid Regions," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(6), pages 2429-2446, May.
    14. Steven Wade & Jemima Rance & Nick Reynard, 2013. "The UK Climate Change Risk Assessment 2012: Assessing the Impacts on Water Resources to Inform Policy Makers," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(4), pages 1085-1109, March.
    15. Xiuliang Yuan & Jie Bai, 2018. "Future Projected Changes in Local Evapotranspiration Coupled with Temperature and Precipitation Variation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-14, September.
    16. Jeong, Hanseok & Pittelkow, Cameron M. & Bhattarai, Rabin, 2019. "Simulated responses of tile-drained agricultural systems to recent changes in ambient atmospheric gradients," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 48-55.
    17. Florent Noulèkoun & Asia Khamzina & Jesse B. Naab & Ni’matul Khasanah & Meine Van Noordwijk & John P. A. Lamers, 2018. "Climate Change Sensitivity of Multi-Species Afforestation in Semi-Arid Benin," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-23, June.
    18. Guido Franco & Daniel Cayan & Susanne Moser & Michael Hanemann & Myoung-Ae Jones, 2011. "Second California Assessment: integrated climate change impacts assessment of natural and managed systems. Guest editorial," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 109(1), pages 1-19, December.
    19. Christine Albano & Michael Dettinger & Maureen McCarthy & Kevin Schaller & Toby Welborn & Dale Cox, 2016. "Application of an extreme winter storm scenario to identify vulnerabilities, mitigation options, and science needs in the Sierra Nevada mountains, USA," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(2), pages 879-900, January.
    20. Patro, Epari Ritesh & De Michele, Carlo & Avanzi, Francesco, 2018. "Future perspectives of run-of-the-river hydropower and the impact of glaciers’ shrinkage: The case of Italian Alps," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C), pages 699-713.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:116:y:2013:i:1:p:35-50. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.