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Sieg der Defensive? Evidenz für die 1. Deutsche Fußball-Liga
[Victory of the defense? Evidence from the 1. German Football League]

Author

Listed:
  • Manuel Frondel

    (RWI Leibniz Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung
    Ruhr-Universität Bochum (RUB))

  • Stefanie Schubert

    (WHU Otto Beisheim School of Management
    SRH Hochschule Heidelberg)

Abstract

Zusammenfassung Auf Basis von Daten zu den Spielen der 1. deutschen Fußball-Bundesliga aus sechs Spielzeiten, darunter die Saisons 2011/2012 und 2012/2013 sowie jeweils zwei Saisons unmittelbar vor und nach der Einführung der Drei-Punkteregel in der Spielzeit 1995/1996, zeigt dieser Beitrag die intertemporale Entwicklung diverser Indikatoren für die Spielweise auf. Nicht zuletzt die im Mittel gesunkene Anzahl an Torschüssen mag auf eine die Defensive stärkende Spielweise im Vergleich zu den 90er Jahren hindeuten. Unsere jeweils für Heim- und Auswärts-Mannschaften getrennt vorgenommenen Fixed- und Random-Effects-Schätzungen zur Erklärung der Wahrscheinlichkeit für einen Sieg zeigen, dass die Wahrscheinlichkeit für einen Heimsieg in den beiden jüngsten Spielzeiten dennoch nicht statistisch signifikant niedriger liegt als in den Saisons vor Einführung der Drei-Punkte-Regel, die Wahrscheinlichkeit für einen Auswärtssieg ist in den Spielzeiten 2011/2012 und 2012/2013 sogar signifikant höher.

Suggested Citation

  • Manuel Frondel & Stefanie Schubert, 2016. "Sieg der Defensive? Evidenz für die 1. Deutsche Fußball-Liga [Victory of the defense? Evidence from the 1. German Football League]," AStA Wirtschafts- und Sozialstatistisches Archiv, Springer;Deutsche Statistische Gesellschaft - German Statistical Society, vol. 10(4), pages 225-246, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:astaws:v:10:y:2016:i:4:d:10.1007_s11943-016-0193-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s11943-016-0193-1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Alexander Dilger & Hannah Geyer, 2009. "Are Three Points for a Win Really Better Than Two?," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 10(3), pages 305-318, June.
    2. Ralf Dewenter & Julian Emami Namini, 2013. "How to Make Soccer More Attractive? Rewards for a Victory, the Teams' Offensiveness, and the Home Bias," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 14(1), pages 65-86, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ralf Thomas Münnich, 2016. "Vorwort des Herausgebers," AStA Wirtschafts- und Sozialstatistisches Archiv, Springer;Deutsche Statistische Gesellschaft - German Statistical Society, vol. 10(4), pages 197-203, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Discrete-Choice-Modelle; Team-Fixed-Effects;

    JEL classification:

    • C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities
    • L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism

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