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Impacts of Climate Change on Domestic Tourism in the UK: A Panel Data Estimation

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  • Tim Taylor

    (Department of Economics, University of Bath, Bath BA2 7AY, UK)

  • Ramon Arigoni Ortiz

    (Basque Centre for Climate Change (BC3), Bilbao, Spain)

Abstract

Climate change is likely to have a significant impact on a number of key economic sectors, including tourism. The authors employ panel data techniques on regional tourist and climatic data in the UK to estimate the influence of temperature, precipitation and sunny conditions on domestic tourism. Significant impacts are found, including lagged relationships. The model is then used to estimate the impact of the hot weather of summer 2003 on domestic tourism in the UK, finding a positive impact on revenues ranging between £14.79 million and £30.32 million.

Suggested Citation

  • Tim Taylor & Ramon Arigoni Ortiz, 2009. "Impacts of Climate Change on Domestic Tourism in the UK: A Panel Data Estimation," Tourism Economics, , vol. 15(4), pages 803-812, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:toueco:v:15:y:2009:i:4:p:803-812
    DOI: 10.5367/000000009789955161
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Manuel Arellano & Stephen Bond, 1991. "Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 58(2), pages 277-297.
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    Cited by:

    1. Albert Ayorinde Abegunde, 2017. "Local communities’ belief in climate change in a rural region of Sub-Saharan Africa," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 19(4), pages 1489-1522, August.
    2. Jose I Castillo-Manzano & Mercedes Castro-Nuño & Lourdes Lopez-Valpuesta & à lvaro Zarzoso, 2021. "Quality versus quantity: An assessment of the impact of Michelin-starred restaurants on tourism in Spain," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(5), pages 1166-1174, August.
    3. Chiang-Ming Chen & Yu-Chen Lin & Eldon Y. Li & Chia-Chang Liu, 2017. "Weather uncertainty effect on tourism demand," Tourism Economics, , vol. 23(2), pages 469-474, March.
    4. Robert Steiger & Eva Posch & Gottfried Tappeiner & Janette Walde, 2020. "Effects of climate change on tourism demand considering individual seasonal preferences," Working Papers 2020-08, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, University of Innsbruck.
    5. Tzu-Ming Liu, 2014. "Analysis of the Economic Impact of Meteorological Disasters on Tourism: The Case of Typhoon Morakot's Impact on the Maolin National Scenic Area in Taiwan," Tourism Economics, , vol. 20(1), pages 143-156, February.
    6. Martin Falk, 2015. "The Demand for Winter Sports: Empirical Evidence for the Largest French Ski-Lift Operator," Tourism Economics, , vol. 21(3), pages 561-580, June.
    7. Gangwei Cai & Lei Xu & Weijun Gao & Yan Hong & Xiaoyu Ying & Yan Wang & Fanyue Qian, 2020. "The Positive Impacts of Exhibition-Driven Tourism on Sustainable Tourism, Economics, and Population: The Case of the Echigo–Tsumari Art Triennale in Japan," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(5), pages 1-24, February.
    8. Seung Hyun Lee & Jaeyong Lee, 2020. "Does price gouging happen in the lodging industry? Case of Hurricane Florence," Journal of Revenue and Pricing Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 19(3), pages 151-161, June.
    9. Teresa Guardia Gálvez & Juan Muro Romero & María Jesús Such Devesa, 2014. "Measuring and Analysing Domestic Tourism: The Importance of an Origin and Destination Matrix," Tourism Economics, , vol. 20(3), pages 451-472, June.
    10. Martin Falk, 2014. "Weather and Tourism Demand in the Summer Months across Austrian provinces," ERSA conference papers ersa14p1149, European Regional Science Association.
    11. Ding Du & Pin Ng, 2018. "The impact of climate change on tourism economies of Greece, Spain, and Turkey," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 20(2), pages 431-449, April.
    12. Bernardina Algieri & Antonio à lvarez, 2023. "Assessing the ability of regions to attract foreign tourists: The case of Italy," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(3), pages 788-811, May.
    13. Marcos à lvarez-Díaz & José María Chamorro-Rivas & Manuel González-Gómez & María Soledad Otero-Giráldez, 2024. "The impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on intra- and inter-regional domestic travel: Evidence from Spain," Tourism Economics, , vol. 30(4), pages 1039-1061, June.
    14. Fabio Gaetano Santeramo, 2015. "Research Note: Promoting the International Demand for Agritourism: Empirical Evidence from a Dynamic Panel Data Model," Tourism Economics, , vol. 21(4), pages 907-916, August.
    15. Yang, Yang & Liu, Ze-Hua & Qi, Qiuyin, 2014. "Domestic tourism demand of urban and rural residents in China: Does relative income matter?," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 193-202.
    16. Otero-Giráldez, María Soledad & Álvarez-Díaz, Marcos & González-Gómez, Manuel, 2012. "Estimating the long-run effects of socioeconomic and meteorological factors on the domestic tourism demand for Galicia (Spain)," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 33(6), pages 1301-1308.
    17. Devi Brands & Joris Klingen & Francis Ostermeijer, 2020. "Hands on the Wheel, Eyes on the Phone: the Effect of Smart Phone Usage on Road Safety," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 20-024/VIII, Tinbergen Institute.
    18. Santeramo, Fabio Gaetano, 2014. "Promoting the international demand for agritourism – empirical evidence from a dynamic panel data model," MPRA Paper 59625, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Feb 2014.
    19. Liu, Yuan-Yuan & Tseng, Fang-Mei & Tseng, Yi-Heng, 2018. "Big Data analytics for forecasting tourism destination arrivals with the applied Vector Autoregression model," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 123-134.
    20. Martin Falk & Eva Hagsten & Xiang Lin, 2023. "Uneven domestic tourism demand in times of pandemic," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(3), pages 596-611, May.
    21. Konstantakopoulou, Ioanna, 2022. "Does health quality affect tourism? Evidence from system GMM estimates," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 425-440.
    22. Brands, Devi & Klingen, Joris & Ostermeijer, Francis, 2022. "Hands on the wheel, eyes on the phone: The effect of smartphone usage fees on road safety," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).

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