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Inflation Differential Pass-Through to Exchange Rate: Some Evidence From Pakistan

Author

Listed:
  • Muhammad Zakaria
  • Seemab Tanveer
  • Bashir Ahmad Fida
  • Muhammad Iftikhar ul Husnain

Abstract

Using regression and wavelet coherence techniques this paper tries to probe the validity of purchasing power parity (PPP) in Pakistan. For this purpose, monthly data is collected for nominal exchange rate and consumer prices of Pakistan and its 23 major trading partners for the flexible exchange rate period 1982M1 to 2020M12. The regression results show that in 12 countries inflation differential significantly positively affect exchange rate. Similarly, Granger causality results reveal that inflation differential causes exchange rates in 12 countries. Wavelet coherency results indicate that there is significant co-movements between inflation differentials and exchange rates in varying time and frequency domains in all countries. These results indicate the partial validity of PPP in Pakistan. These results suggest that by reducing its inflation Pakistan can stabilize its exchange rates. JEL Classifications: C14, E31, F31

Suggested Citation

  • Muhammad Zakaria & Seemab Tanveer & Bashir Ahmad Fida & Muhammad Iftikhar ul Husnain, 2023. "Inflation Differential Pass-Through to Exchange Rate: Some Evidence From Pakistan," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(4), pages 21582440231, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:sagope:v:13:y:2023:i:4:p:21582440231221316
    DOI: 10.1177/21582440231221316
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    exchange rates; inflation; wavelet;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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