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Bayesian information fusion for degradation analysis of deteriorating products with individual heterogeneity

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  • Junyu Guo
  • Hong-Zhong Huang
  • Weiwen Peng
  • Jie Zhou

Abstract

Degradation analysis is a popular and effective method for reliability analysis of long-life and high-reliability products. However, for newly developed products, especially for highly customized products with small sample size, the challenge of sparse degradation observations with product heterogeneity is still an open issue deserving further research. In this article, Bayesian degradation analysis is presented for reliability analysis of products with heterogeneity. The degradation process is modeled by a Gamma process. Random effects are incorporated in the Gamma process model for characterizing the individual heterogeneity. To improve the precision of parameter estimation and degradation analysis, a Bayesian information fusion is presented to leverage degradation information from multiple sources. The proposed model is demonstrated through degradation-based reliability analysis of heavy-duty machine tool’s spindle system, which is characterized as degradation analysis with individual heterogeneity and information fusion.

Suggested Citation

  • Junyu Guo & Hong-Zhong Huang & Weiwen Peng & Jie Zhou, 2019. "Bayesian information fusion for degradation analysis of deteriorating products with individual heterogeneity," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 233(4), pages 615-622, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:risrel:v:233:y:2019:i:4:p:615-622
    DOI: 10.1177/1748006X18808964
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    1. Li, Xiang-Yu & Huang, Hong-Zhong & Li, Yan-Feng & Xiong, Xiaoyan, 2021. "A Markov regenerative process model for phased mission systems under internal degradation and external shocks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    2. Yang, Lechang & Wang, Pidong & Wang, Qiang & Bi, Sifeng & Peng, Rui & Behrensdorf, Jasper & Beer, Michael, 2021. "Reliability analysis of a complex system with hybrid structures and multi-level dependent life metrics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).

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