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A health condition model for wind turbine monitoring through neural networks and proportional hazard models

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  • Peyman Mazidi
  • Mian Du
  • Lina Bertling Tjernberg
  • Miguel A Sanz Bobi

Abstract

In this article, a parametric model for health condition monitoring of wind turbines is developed. The study is based on the assumption that a wind turbine’s health condition can be modeled through three features: rotor speed, gearbox temperature and generator winding temperature. At first, three neural network models are created to simulate normal behavior of each feature. Deviation signals are then defined and calculated as accumulated time-series of differences between neural network predictions and actual measurements. These cumulative signals carry health condition–related information. Next, through nonlinear regression technique, the signals are used to produce individual models for considered features, which mathematically have the form of proportional hazard models. Finally, they are combined to construct an overall parametric health condition model which partially represents health condition of the wind turbine. In addition, a dynamic threshold for the model is developed to facilitate and add more insight in performance monitoring aspect. The health condition monitoring of wind turbine model has capability of evaluating real-time and overall health condition of a wind turbine which can also be used with regard to maintenance in electricity generation in electric power systems. The model also has flexibility to overcome current challenges such as scalability and adaptability. The model is verified in illustrating changes in real-time and overall health condition with respect to considered anomalies by testing through actual and artificial data.

Suggested Citation

  • Peyman Mazidi & Mian Du & Lina Bertling Tjernberg & Miguel A Sanz Bobi, 2017. "A health condition model for wind turbine monitoring through neural networks and proportional hazard models," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 231(5), pages 481-494, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:risrel:v:231:y:2017:i:5:p:481-494
    DOI: 10.1177/1748006X17707902
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Izquierdo, J. & Crespo Márquez, A. & Uribetxebarria, J., 2019. "Dynamic artificial neural network-based reliability considering operational context of assets," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 483-493.
    2. Xia, Tangbin & Dong, Yifan & Xiao, Lei & Du, Shichang & Pan, Ershun & Xi, Lifeng, 2018. "Recent advances in prognostics and health management for advanced manufacturing paradigms," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 255-268.
    3. Pliego Marugán, Alberto & Peco Chacón, Ana María & García Márquez, Fausto Pedro, 2019. "Reliability analysis of detecting false alarms that employ neural networks: A real case study on wind turbines," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    4. Moghaddass, Ramin & Sheng, Shuangwen, 2019. "An anomaly detection framework for dynamic systems using a Bayesian hierarchical framework," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C), pages 561-582.

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