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Competitive Governance and Displacement Decisions Under Rebel Rule: Evidence from the Islamic State in Iraq

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  • Mara Redlich Revkin

Abstract

When rebel groups with state-building ambitions capture territory, who stays and why? Through semi-structured interviews and an original household survey in the Iraqi city of Mosul, which was controlled by the Islamic State for more than three years, I conduct a multi-method descriptive comparison of the characteristics of “stayers†against “leavers.†I test and find some quantitative and qualitative support for a theory of competitive governance: Civilians who perceived improvements in the quality of governance under IS rule—relative to the Iraqi state—were more likely to stay under IS rule than those who perceived no change or a deterioration, but displacement decisions are multi-causal, influenced by many factors including economic resources, social networks and family structures, information, threat perceptions, and ideology. These findings suggest that historical experiences with weak rule of law and bad governance by states may affect the attitudes and actions of civilians living under rebel governance.

Suggested Citation

  • Mara Redlich Revkin, 2021. "Competitive Governance and Displacement Decisions Under Rebel Rule: Evidence from the Islamic State in Iraq," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 65(1), pages 46-80, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:65:y:2021:i:1:p:46-80
    DOI: 10.1177/0022002720951864
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Justin Conrad & Liana Eustacia Reyes & Megan A. Stewart, 2022. "Revisiting Opportunism in Civil Conflict: Natural Resource Extraction and Health Care Provision," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 66(1), pages 91-114, January.
    2. Benjamin Krick & Jonathan Petkun & Mara Revkin, 2023. "What Determines Military Legitimacy? Evidence from the Battle of Mosul in Iraq," HiCN Working Papers 402, Households in Conflict Network.
    3. Kathleen Gallagher Cunningham & Cyanne E. Loyle, 2021. "Introduction to the Special Feature on Dynamic Processes of Rebel Governance," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 65(1), pages 3-14, January.
    4. Vinck,Patrick Thierry & O’Mealia,Thomas & Wei,Carol & al-Saiedi,Abdulrazzaq & Irwani,Muslih & Pham,Phuong Ngoc, 2022. "Displacement and Social Empowerment : Evidence from Surveys of IDPs in Iraq, the Philippines, and Uganda," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10022, The World Bank.
    5. Nino, Gustavo & Baylis, Kathy & Crost, Benjamin, 2022. "Conflict and Small-scale Investment: Evidence from Colombia Peace Agreement," 2022 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Anaheim, California 322323, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    6. Cyanne E. Loyle, 2021. "Rebel Justice during Armed Conflict," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 65(1), pages 108-134, January.
    7. Kristin M. Bakke & Kit Rickard, 2023. "'Ten pound touts': post-conflict trust and the legacy of counterinsurgency in Northern Ireland," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2023-18, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    8. Kathleen Gallagher Cunningham & Reyko Huang & Katherine M. Sawyer, 2021. "Voting for Militants: Rebel Elections in Civil War," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 65(1), pages 81-107, January.
    9. Gustav Agneman, 2022. "Conflict Victimization and Civilian Obedience: Evidence from Colombia," HiCN Working Papers 379, Households in Conflict Network.
    10. Zachariah Mampilly & Megan A. Stewart, 2021. "A Typology of Rebel Political Institutional Arrangements," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 65(1), pages 15-45, January.
    11. Kaplan,Oliver Ross, 2022. "Superstitions and Civilian Displacement : Evidence from the Colombian Conflict," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10023, The World Bank.

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