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Dynamic Adjustment of Crude Oil Price Spreads

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  • Atanu Ghoshray
  • Tatiana Trifonova

Abstract

This paper examines the dynamic adjustment of crude oil price differentials formed by a wide range of popularly traded crude oils which include non-benchmark crudes of different quality. Recent studies have pointed out the fact that the adjustment of oil price spreads is asymmetric in nature. This paper makes a contribution in many ways. Employing econometric procedures that are more powerful than recently applied methods, and on a much wider selection of crude oil pairs than previous studies we establish that the results obtained for price differentials between benchmark crudes are not representative of the behaviour of nonbenchmark pairs. Further, our results show that the adjustment of price differentials cannot be fully explained by the quality differentials which are commonly approximated by the difference in API gravity. Finally, we find that short run and long run dynamics do not show a pattern that could be linked to quality differentials.

Suggested Citation

  • Atanu Ghoshray & Tatiana Trifonova, 2014. "Dynamic Adjustment of Crude Oil Price Spreads," The Energy Journal, , vol. 35(1), pages 119-139, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:enejou:v:35:y:2014:i:1:p:119-139
    DOI: 10.5547/01956574.35.1.7
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    Cited by:

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    2. Giulietti, Monica & Iregui, Ana María & Otero, Jesús, 2015. "A pair-wise analysis of the law of one price: Evidence from the crude oil market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 39-41.
    3. Michael Plante and Grant Strickler, 2021. "Closer to One Great Pool? Evidence from Structural Breaks in Oil Price Differentials," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 2), pages 1-30.
    4. Chen, Yu-Fu & Mu, Xiaoyi, 2021. "Asymmetric volatility in commodity markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    5. Bravo Caro, José Manuel & Golpe, Antonio A. & Iglesias, Jesús & Vides, José Carlos, 2020. "A new way of measuring the WTI – Brent spread. Globalization, shock persistence and common trends," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    6. Giulietti, Monica & Iregui, Ana María & Otero, Jesús, 2014. "Crude oil price differentials, product heterogeneity and institutional arrangements," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(S1), pages 28-32.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Crude Oil; Dynamic Adjustment; Momentum Threshold Autoregression;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F0 - International Economics - - General

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