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Measuring Economic Markets for Imported Crude Oil

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  • Douglas G. Sauer

Abstract

A previous paper by Weiner (1991) noted that many policy issues involving crude oil imports hinge on whether crude oil markets are unified or regionalized. Weiner observed that the literature on crude oil markets has paid little attention to the regionalization issue. However, a generalized literature addressing market delineation has been evolving for some time and recent advances in applied time series analysis have produced multivariate testing procedures which avoid most of the problems of the bivariate price correlation analyses previously employed in analyzing regionalization issues. This paper advances the work of Weiner by incorporating cointegration relationships into multivariate time series models and using these models to examine the extent of regionalization in the world market for crude oil imports. The empirical results reported here lend support to Adelman's characterization of the world oil market as "one great pool" (Adelman 1984).

Suggested Citation

  • Douglas G. Sauer, 1994. "Measuring Economic Markets for Imported Crude Oil," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 2), pages 107-124.
    • Handle: RePEc:aen:journl:1994v15-02-a06
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Claudia Ines Vasquez Josse & Anne Neumann, 2006. "Transatlantic Natural Gas Price and Oil Price Relationships - An Empirical Analysis," Working Papers hal-02468454, HAL.
    2. Li, Raymond & Leung, Guy C.K., 2011. "The integration of China into the world crude oil market since 1998," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(9), pages 5159-5166, September.
    3. Liu, Bo & Geman, Hélyette, 2017. "World coal markets: Still weakly integrated and moving east," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 5(C), pages 63-76.
    4. Heejoon Kang, 1999. "The Applied Cointegration Analysis for the Open Economy: A Critical Review," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 10(3), pages 325-346, July.
    5. Stevens, Paul, 1995. "The determination of oil prices 1945-1995 : A diagrammatic interpretation," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 23(10), pages 861-870, October.
    6. Frank Asche & Helge Bremnes & Cathy R. Wessells, 1999. "Product Aggregation, Market Integration, and Relationships between Prices: An Application to World Salmon Markets," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 81(3), pages 568-581.
    7. Yue-Hua Dai & Wen-Jie Xie & Zhi-Qiang Jiang & George J. Jiang & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2016. "Correlation structure and principal components in the global crude oil market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 51(4), pages 1501-1519, December.
    8. Atanu Ghoshray and Tatiana Trifonova, 2014. "Dynamic Adjustment of Crude Oil Price Spreads," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 1).
    9. Michael Plante and Grant Strickler, 2021. "Closer to One Great Pool? Evidence from Structural Breaks in Oil Price Differentials," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 2), pages 1-30.
    10. Lanza, Alessandro & Manera, Matteo & Giovannini, Massimo, 2005. "Modeling and forecasting cointegrated relationships among heavy oil and product prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(6), pages 831-848, November.
    11. Sun, Chuanwang & Min, Jialin & Sun, Jiacheng & Gong, Xu, 2023. "The role of China's crude oil futures in world oil futures market and China's financial market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    12. Dahl, Roy Endre & Ogland, Atle & Osmundsen, Petter & Sikveland, Marius, 2011. "Are oil and natural gas going separate ways in the UK? Cointegration tests with Structural shifts," UiS Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2011/5, University of Stavanger.
    13. AlKathiri, Nader & Al-Rashed, Yazeed & Doshi, Tilak K. & Murphy, Frederic H., 2017. "“Asian premium” or “North Atlantic discount”: Does geographical diversification in oil trade always impose costs?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 411-420.
    14. Asche, Frank & Osmundsen, Petter & Tveteras, Ragnar, 2002. "European market integration for gas? Volume flexibility and political risk," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 249-265, May.
    15. Warell, Linda, 2005. "Defining geographic coal markets using price data and shipments data," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 33(17), pages 2216-2230, November.
    16. Leiby, Paul N. & Rubin, Jonathan, 2013. "Energy security implications of a national low carbon fuel standard," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 29-40.
    17. An, Sufang & Gao, Xiangyun & An, Haizhong & An, Feng & Sun, Qingru & Liu, Siyao, 2020. "Windowed volatility spillover effects among crude oil prices," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    18. Stevens, Paul, 1996. "Oil prices : The start of an era?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 24(5), pages 391-402, May.

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    JEL classification:

    • F0 - International Economics - - General

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