IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/emeeco/v15y2023i3p354-384.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Effect of Financial Development on Unemployment in Emerging Market Countries

Author

Listed:
  • Isiaka Akande Raifu
  • Joshua Adeyemi Afolabi

Abstract

This study examined the effect of financial development on unemployment in 19 emerging market countries, considering their age groups and gender dichotomy. The data covers the period from 1991–2019. Pooled Ordinary Least Square (OLS), Dynamic OLS, and quantile regression via moments were employed as the estimation methods. Robustness was tested with Fully Modified OLS and Canonical Cointegration Regression (CCR) estimation methods. Our results show that financial development has a conditional mean reducing effect on unemployment and a reducing effect on the distribution of unemployment. However, the reducing effect of financial development on the distribution of unemployment varies across the working-age population and youths. Thus, there is a need to formulate and implement a long-term financial policy to ensure economic growth and guarantee employment for the working-age population and the youths irrespective of gender.

Suggested Citation

  • Isiaka Akande Raifu & Joshua Adeyemi Afolabi, 2023. "The Effect of Financial Development on Unemployment in Emerging Market Countries," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 15(3), pages 354-384, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:emeeco:v:15:y:2023:i:3:p:354-384
    DOI: 10.1177/09749101221116715
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/09749101221116715
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/09749101221116715?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dromel, Nicolas L. & Kolakez, Elie & Lehmann, Etienne, 2010. "Credit constraints and the persistence of unemployment," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 17(5), pages 823-834, October.
    2. Alessandra Cepparulo & Juan Carlos Cuestas & Maurizio Intartaglia, 2017. "Financial development, institutions, and poverty alleviation: an empirical analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(36), pages 3611-3622, August.
    3. Dong-Hyeon Kim & Ting-Cih Chen & Shu-Chin Lin, 2019. "Finance and unemployment: new panel evidence," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 22(4), pages 307-324, October.
    4. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Hoang, Thi Hong Van & Mahalik, Mantu Kumar & Roubaud, David, 2017. "Energy consumption, financial development and economic growth in India: New evidence from a nonlinear and asymmetric analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 199-212.
    5. Isiaka Akande Raifu & Terver Theophilus Kumeka & Alarudeen Aminu, 2021. "Reaction of stock market returns to COVID-19 pandemic and lockdown policy: evidence from Nigerian firms stock returns," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-16, December.
    6. Donatella Gatti & Christophe Rault & Anne-Gael Vaubourg, 2012. "Unemployment and finance: how do financial and labour market factors interact?," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 64(3), pages 464-489, July.
    7. Eric Evans Osei Opoku & Muazu Ibrahim & Yakubu Awudu Sare, 2019. "The causal relationship between financial development and economic growth in Africa," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(6), pages 789-812, November.
    8. Adejumo, Oluwabunmi O. & Asongu, Simplice A. & Adejumo, Akintoye V., 2021. "Education enrolment rate vs employment rate: Implications for sustainable human capital development in Nigeria," International Journal of Educational Development, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    9. Machado, José A.F. & Santos Silva, J.M.C., 2019. "Quantiles via moments," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 213(1), pages 145-173.
    10. Dumitrescu, Elena-Ivona & Hurlin, Christophe, 2012. "Testing for Granger non-causality in heterogeneous panels," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 1450-1460.
    11. Acemoglu, Daron & Johnson, Simon & Robinson, James A., 2005. "Institutions as a Fundamental Cause of Long-Run Growth," Handbook of Economic Growth, in: Philippe Aghion & Steven Durlauf (ed.), Handbook of Economic Growth, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 6, pages 385-472, Elsevier.
    12. Marco Pagano & Giovanni Pica, 2012. "Finance and employment [Credit constraints as a barrier to the entry and post-entry growth of firms]," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 27(69), pages 5-55.
    13. Michiel Bijlsma & Clemens Kool & Marielle Non, 2018. "The effect of financial development on economic growth: a meta-analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(57), pages 6128-6148, December.
    14. Etienne Wasmer & Philippe Weil, 2004. "The Macroeconomics of Labor and Credit Market Imperfections," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 94(4), pages 944-963, September.
    15. Borsi, Mihály Tamás, 2018. "Credit contractions and unemployment," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 573-593.
    16. Im, Kyung So & Pesaran, M. Hashem & Shin, Yongcheol, 2003. "Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 53-74, July.
    17. Petra Valickova & Tomas Havranek & Roman Horvath, 2015. "Financial Development And Economic Growth: A Meta-Analysis," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(3), pages 506-526, July.
    18. Frees, Edward W., 1995. "Assessing cross-sectional correlation in panel data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 69(2), pages 393-414, October.
    19. Ni, Niannian & Liu, Yulin, 2019. "Financial liberalization and income inequality: A meta-analysis based on cross-country studies," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 1-1.
    20. Horst Feldmann, 2013. "Financial system sophistication and unemployment around the world," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(16), pages 1491-1496, November.
    21. Abiodun O. Folawewo & Oluwafemi M. Adeboje, 2017. "Macroeconomic Determinants of Unemployment: Empirical Evidence from Economic Community of West African States," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 29(2), pages 197-210, June.
    22. Isiaka Akande Raifu & Alarudeen Aminu & Abiodun O. Folawewo, 2020. "Investigating the relationship between changes in oil prices and unemployment rate in Nigeria: linear and nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag approaches," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 6(1), pages 1-18, December.
    23. Chimere O. Iheonu & Simplice A. Asongu & Kingsley O. Odo & Patrick K. Ojiem, 2020. "Financial sector development and Investment in selected countries of the Economic Community of West African States: empirical evidence using heterogeneous panel data method," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 6(1), pages 1-15, December.
    24. Philip Arestis & Georgios Chortareas & Georgios Magkonis, 2015. "The Financial Development And Growth Nexus: A Meta-Analysis," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(3), pages 549-565, July.
    25. Eduardo Moron & Edgar Salgado & Cristhian Seminario, 2013. "Regional Financial Development and Firm Growth in Peru," Research Department Publications IDB-WP-398, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
    26. Dong-Hyeon Kim & Ting-Cih Chen & Shu-Chin Lin, 2019. "Finance and unemployment: new panel evidence," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(4), pages 307-324, October.
    27. Horvath, Jaroslav & Zhong, Jiansheng, 2019. "Unemployment dynamics in emerging countries: Monetary policy and external shocks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 31-49.
    28. Haruna Mohammed Aliero & Saifullahi Sani Ibrahim & Mukhtar Shuaibu, 2013. "An Empirical Investigation into the Relationship between Financial Sector Development and Unemployment in Nigeria," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 3(10), pages 1361-1370.
    29. Levine, Ross, 2005. "Finance and Growth: Theory and Evidence," Handbook of Economic Growth, in: Philippe Aghion & Steven Durlauf (ed.), Handbook of Economic Growth, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 12, pages 865-934, Elsevier.
    30. M. Ajide, Folorunsho, 2020. "Asymmetric Influence Of Financial Development On Unemployment In Nigeria," Ilorin Journal of Economic Policy, Department of Economics, University of Ilorin, vol. 7(2), pages 39-52, June.
    31. Isiaka Akande Raifu & Oluwafemi Mathew Adeboje, 2022. "Labour force participation and unemployment rate: does discouraged worker effect hypothesis or unemployment invariance hypothesis hold in Africa?," African Journal of Economic and Management Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13(2), pages 284-305, March.
    32. Timothy Neal, 2014. "Panel cointegration analysis with xtpedroni," Stata Journal, StataCorp LLC, vol. 14(3), pages 684-692, September.
    33. Çiftçioğlu, Serhan & Bein, Murad A., 2017. "The Relationship between Financial Development and Unemployment in Selected Countries of the European Union," European Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(2), pages 307-319, May.
    34. repec:bla:ecpoli:v:27:y:2012:i:69:p:5-55 is not listed on IDEAS
    35. Rafael E. De Hoyos & Vasilis Sarafidis, 2006. "Testing for cross-sectional dependence in panel-data models," Stata Journal, StataCorp LLC, vol. 6(4), pages 482-496, December.
    36. YOUNSI, Moheddine & BECHTINI, Marwa, 2018. "Economic Growth, Financial Development and Income Inequality in BRICS Countries: Evidence from Panel Granger Causality Tests," MPRA Paper 85182, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    37. Koenker, Roger W & Bassett, Gilbert, Jr, 1978. "Regression Quantiles," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(1), pages 33-50, January.
    38. repec:oup:ecpoli:v:27:y:2012:i:69:p:5-55 is not listed on IDEAS
    39. Katsiaryna Svirydzenka, 2016. "Introducing a New Broad-based Index of Financial Development," IMF Working Papers 2016/005, International Monetary Fund.
    40. Yilmaz BAYAR, 2016. "Financial Development And Unemployment In Emerging Market Economies," Scientific Annals of Economics and Business (continues Analele Stiintifice), Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 63(2), pages 237-245, July.
    41. Peter C. B. Phillips & Donggyu Sul, 2003. "Dynamic panel estimation and homogeneity testing under cross section dependence *," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 6(1), pages 217-259, June.
    42. Haruna Mohammed Aliero & Saifullahi Sani Ibrahim & Mukhtar Shuaibu, 2013. "An Empirical Investigation into the Relationship between Financial Sector Development and Unemployment in Nigeria," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 3(10), pages 1361-1370, October.
    43. Ibrahim Muhammad Muye & Ibrahim Yusuf Muye, 2017. "Testing for causality among globalization, institution and financial development: Further evidence from three economic blocs," Borsa Istanbul Review, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 17(2), pages 117-132, June.
    44. Frank Iyekoretin Ogbeide & Hilary Kanwanye & Sunday Kadiri, 2016. "Revisiting the Determinants of Unemployment in Nigeria: Do Resource Dependence and Financial Development Matter?," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 28(4), pages 430-443, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Isiaka Akande Raifu & Terver Theophilus Kumeka & Alarudeen Aminu, 2024. "Financial Development and Unemployment in MENA: Evidence from Heterogeneous Panel Causality and Quantile via Moment Regression," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(1), pages 3512-3550, March.
    2. M. Ajide, Folorunsho, 2020. "Asymmetric Influence Of Financial Development On Unemployment In Nigeria," Ilorin Journal of Economic Policy, Department of Economics, University of Ilorin, vol. 7(2), pages 39-52, June.
    3. Ma, Qiang & Li, Sa & Aslam, Misbah & Ali, Naveed & Alamri, Ahmad Mohammed, 2023. "Extraction of natural resources and sustainable renewable energy: COP26 target in the context of financial inclusion," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    4. Isiaka Akande Raifu & Alarudeen Aminu, 2023. "The effect of military spending on economic growth in MENA: evidence from method of moments quantile regression," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 1-21, December.
    5. Clement Olalekan Olaniyi, 2022. "On the transmission mechanisms in the finance–growth nexus in Southern African countries: Does institution matter?," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(1), pages 153-191, February.
    6. Khalid, Usman & Shafiullah, Muhammad, 2021. "Financial development and governance: A panel data analysis incorporating cross-sectional dependence," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 45(2).
    7. António Afonso & M. Carmen Blanco-Arana, 2024. "Unemployment and Financial Development: Evidence for OECD Countries," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 66(4), pages 661-683, December.
    8. Joshua Duarte & João Sousa Andrade & Pedro Bação, 2023. "Dynamic effects of financial development on economic activity," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(29), pages 3329-3346, June.
    9. Habiba, Umme & Xinbang, Cao, 2023. "The contribution of different aspects of financial development to renewable energy consumption in E7 countries: The transition to a sustainable future," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 203(C), pages 703-714.
    10. Clement Olalekan Olaniyi & Sunday Idowu Oladeji, 2021. "Moderating the effect of institutional quality on the finance–growth nexus: insights from West African countries," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(1), pages 43-74, February.
    11. Sun, Yunpeng & Anwar, Ahsan & Razzaq, Asif & Liang, Xueping & Siddique, Muhammad, 2022. "Asymmetric role of renewable energy, green innovation, and globalization in deriving environmental sustainability: Evidence from top-10 polluted countries," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 280-290.
    12. Sheilla Nyasha & Nicholas M. Odhiambo & Mercy T. Musakwa, 2021. "The Impact of Stock Market Development on Unemployment: Empirical Evidence from South Africa," SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, University of Piraeus, vol. 71(1-2), pages 92-110, January-J.
    13. Fang, Zheng & Chang, Youngho, 2016. "Energy, human capital and economic growth in Asia Pacific countries — Evidence from a panel cointegration and causality analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 177-184.
    14. Chien, Fengsheng & Anwar, Ahsan & Hsu, Ching-Chi & Sharif, Arshian & Razzaq, Asif & Sinha, Avik, 2021. "The role of information and communication technology in encountering environmental degradation: Proposing an SDG framework for the BRICS countries," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    15. Talan, Amogh & Rao, Amar & Sharma, Gagan Deep & Apostu, Simona-Andreea & Abbas, Shujaat, 2023. "Transition towards clean energy consumption in G7: Can financial sector, ICT and democracy help?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    16. Khan, Yasir & Hassan, Taimoor & Guiqin, Huang & Nabi, Ghulam, 2023. "Analyzing the impact of natural resources and rule of law on sustainable environment: A proposed policy framework for BRICS economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    17. Acikgoz, Senay & Ben Ali, Mohamed Sami, 2019. "Where does economic growth in the Middle Eastern and North African countries come from?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 172-183.
    18. Rym Ayadi & Sami Ben Naceur & Mohamed Goaied, 2021. "Financial development and employment: New panel evidence," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 50(2), July.
    19. Trinh, Hai Hong & Sharma, Gagan Deep & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Vo, Diem Thi Hong, 2022. "Examining the heterogeneity of financial development in the energy-environment nexus in the era of climate change: Novel evidence around the world," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    20. Anwar, Ahsan & Siddique, Muhammad & Eyup Dogan, & Sharif, Arshian, 2021. "The moderating role of renewable and non-renewable energy in environment-income nexus for ASEAN countries: Evidence from Method of Moments Quantile Regression," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 956-967.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:emeeco:v:15:y:2023:i:3:p:354-384. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.emergingmarketsforum.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.