IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/rss/jnljfe/v3i3p6.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Evaluation of Financial Distress: A Case Study of UCHUMI Supermarket Ltd

Author

Listed:
  • Waita
  • M. Gichaiya
  • Mwasa
  • D. Ishmail

Abstract

There exists no conclusive agreement on which financial ratio(s) are most appropriate to assess the likelihood of financial distress and the successful turnaround strategies of recovering firms. This study evaluates financial health in Uchumi supermarket limited by testing whether Altman’s Z score model is accurate in predicting corporate financial distress for a study period of 2003 to 2012. The company was selected because of its historical record of financial difficulties in the mid 2000s that led to its receivership in June 2006 and its current recovery to profitability. Analytical formulas in Altman’s model were applied on the financial statements. The results reveal that the model is accurate with Z values reflecting a distress zone especially in the period under receivership and a grey zone in 2012 which is an alarming matter that may lead to corporate bankruptcy in near future unless corrective measures are undertaken.

Suggested Citation

  • Waita & M. Gichaiya & Mwasa & D. Ishmail, 2014. "Evaluation of Financial Distress: A Case Study of UCHUMI Supermarket Ltd," International Journal of Financial Economics, Research Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 3(3), pages 178-183.
  • Handle: RePEc:rss:jnljfe:v3i3p6
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://rassweb.org/admin/pages/ResearchPapers/Paper%206_1496868184.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Beaver, Wh, 1968. "Information Content Of Annual Earnings Announcements," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 6, pages 67-92.
    2. Edward I. Altman, 1968. "Financial Ratios, Discriminant Analysis And The Prediction Of Corporate Bankruptcy," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 23(4), pages 589-609, September.
    3. Edward I. Altman, 1968. "The Prediction Of Corporate Bankruptcy: A Discriminant Analysis," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 23(1), pages 193-194, March.
    4. Beaver, Wh, 1966. "Financial Ratios As Predictors Of Failure - Reply," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 4, pages 123-127.
    5. Beaver, Wh, 1966. "Financial Ratios As Predictors Of Failure," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 4, pages 71-111.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kumar, Rahul & Deb, Soumya Guha & Mukherjee, Shubhadeep, 2020. "Do words reveal the latent truth? Identifying communication patterns of corporate losers," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    2. Li Xian Liu & Shuangzhe Liu & Milind Sathye, 2021. "Predicting Bank Failures: A Synthesis of Literature and Directions for Future Research," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-24, October.
    3. Li, Chunyu & Lou, Chenxin & Luo, Dan & Xing, Kai, 2021. "Chinese corporate distress prediction using LASSO: The role of earnings management," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    4. Pavol Durana & Lucia Michalkova & Andrej Privara & Josef Marousek & Milos Tumpach, 2021. "Does the life cycle affect earnings management and bankruptcy?," Oeconomia Copernicana, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 12(2), pages 425-461, June.
    5. Enrico Supino & Nicola Piras, 2022. "Le performance dei modelli di credit scoring in contesti di forte instabilit? macroeconomica: il ruolo delle Reti Neurali Artificiali," MANAGEMENT CONTROL, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2022(2), pages 41-61.
    6. E. Fedorova A. & M. Chukhlantseva A. & D. Chekrizov V. & ЕЛЕНА Федорова АНАТОЛЬЕВНА & МАРИЯ Чухланцева АЛЕКСАНДРОВНА & ДМИТРИЙ Чекризов ВАСИЛЬЕВИЧ, 2017. "Нормативные значения коэффициентов финансовой устойчивости: особенности видов экономической деятельности // Normative Values of Financial Stability Ratios: Industry-Specific Features," Управленческие науки // Management Science, ФГОБУВО Финансовый университет при Правительстве Российской Федерации // Financial University under The Government of Russian Federation, vol. 7(2), pages 44-55.
    7. Eling, Martin & Jia, Ruo, 2018. "Business failure, efficiency, and volatility: Evidence from the European insurance industry," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 58-76.
    8. Le, Hong Hanh & Viviani, Jean-Laurent, 2018. "Predicting bank failure: An improvement by implementing a machine-learning approach to classical financial ratios," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 16-25.
    9. Ahsan Habib & Mabel D' Costa & Hedy Jiaying Huang & Md. Borhan Uddin Bhuiyan & Li Sun, 2020. "Determinants and consequences of financial distress: review of the empirical literature," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 60(S1), pages 1023-1075, April.
    10. Juraini Zainol Abidin & Nur Adiana Hiau Abdullah & Karren Lee-Hwei Khaw, 2020. "Predicting SMEs Failure: Logistic Regression vs Artificial Neural Network Models," Capital Markets Review, Malaysian Finance Association, vol. 28(2), pages 29-41.
    11. Nasim Nasirpour & Alireza Mazdaki & Esmail Enayati, 2016. "The Investigation and Comparison of the Performance of Heuristic Methods in the Prediction of the Type of Auditor’s Opinion in Firms Accepted in Tehran Stock Exchange," Asian Social Science, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 12(6), pages 148-148, June.
    12. David Veganzones, 2022. "Corporate failure prediction using threshold‐based models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(5), pages 956-979, August.
    13. Amin Jan & Maran Marimuthu & Muhammad Kashif Shad & Haseeb ur-Rehman & Muhammad Zahid & Ahmad Ali Jan, 2019. "Bankruptcy profile of the Islamic and conventional banks in Malaysia: a post-crisis period analysis," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 52(1), pages 67-87, February.
    14. Ivana Podhorska, 2016. "Success of prediction models in Slovak companies," GATR Journals gjbssr446, Global Academy of Training and Research (GATR) Enterprise.
    15. Juan García Lara & Beatriz Osma & Evi Neophytou, 2009. "Earnings quality in ex‐post failed firms," Accounting and Business Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(2), pages 119-138.
    16. Abdelghani Maddi, 2018. "Analyse scientométrique de la crise économique," CEPN Working Papers 2018-08, Centre d'Economie de l'Université de Paris Nord.
    17. Amit Sareen & Sudhi Sharma, 2022. "Assessing Financial Distress and Predicting Stock Prices of Automotive Sector: Robustness of Altman Z-score," Vision, , vol. 26(1), pages 11-24, March.
    18. Vladislav V. Afanasev & Yulia A. Tarasova, 2022. "Default Prediction for Housing and Utilities Management Firms Using Non-Financial Data," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 125375, Russia, issue 6, pages 91-110, December.
    19. M. A. Lagesh & Maram Srikanth & Debashis Acharya, 2018. "Corporate Performance during Business Cycles: Evidence from Indian Manufacturing Firms," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 19(5), pages 1261-1274, October.
    20. Magali Aubert & Geoffroy Enjolras, 2014. "Le mode de commercialisation est-il une échappatoire pour les exploitations en difficulté financière ?," Post-Print hal-02740150, HAL.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:rss:jnljfe:v3i3p6. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Danish Khalil (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.rassweb.org .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.