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Quelle trajectoire macroéconomique adoptée par l’Argentine depuis la crise de 2001 ? Enjeux et limites de la stratégie actuelle

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  • Marie, Jonathan

    (Laboratoire d’Économie Dionysien, Université Paris 8)

Abstract

Résumé : L’article a un double objectif. Premièrement, présenter le spectaculaire redressement économique argentin observé depuis la crise monétaire qui a frappé le pays lors des années 2001-2002. Deuxièmement, montrer que les termes du conflit de répartition se sont nettement renforcés dans cette économie. Le conflit de répartition se définit comme l’opposition entre travailleurs et détenteurs du capital sur le partage de la valeur ajoutée. Dans une optique postkeynésien, c’est ce conflit qui génère le processus inflationniste. Nous remarquons que l’évolution des termes du conflit de répartition a favorisé la croissance économique, mais nous observons aussi que sur la période la plus récente, cette évolution fait craindre une augmentation très importante de l’inflation. Afin d’éviter ce phénomène, et sans remettre en question le dynamisme de la croissance économique, il apparaît nécessaire que l’investissement productif se développe de façon beaucoup plus importante. Il semble donc indispensable que la politique économique amenée à être poursuivie les prochaines années soit clairement définie à l’occasion des élections présidentielles d’octobre 2011.

Suggested Citation

  • Marie, Jonathan, 2011. "Quelle trajectoire macroéconomique adoptée par l’Argentine depuis la crise de 2001 ? Enjeux et limites de la stratégie actuelle," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 87(1), pages 85-113, mars.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:actuec:0049
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