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The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA): A Quantitative Evaluation of Key Provisions

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  • Teegawende Zeida

    (Brock University)

Abstract

The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) significantly altered how business income is taxed in the US. This paper provides a quantitative assessment of the distributional and macroeconomic effects of the TCJA, both in the short run and in the long run, using a life-cycle model with occupational choice and accumulation of entrepreneurial human capital. When salient provisions of the TCJA are implemented, the economy experiences an increase of 0.20 and 0.5 percentage points in annual GDP and capital stock growth for the first decade 2018-2027, respectively. However, economic inequality increases across and within occupations under the TCJA. The provisions affect the incentives for individuals to save, making the occupational choice extensive margin critically important in analyzing the potential impacts of the new tax reform. (Copyright: Elsevier)

Suggested Citation

  • Teegawende Zeida, 2022. "The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA): A Quantitative Evaluation of Key Provisions," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 46, pages 74-97, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:red:issued:19-358
    DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2021.08.003
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    1. Occhino, Filippo, 2023. "The macroeconomic effects of business tax cuts with debt financing and accelerated depreciation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    TCJA; Tax cuts; Entrepreneurship; Differential taxation; Inequality; Transition path;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H21 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Efficiency; Optimal Taxation
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity

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