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Volatility Persistence and Predictability of Squared Returns in GARCH(1,1) Models

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  • Umberto Triacca

    (University of L'Aquila, Rome)

Abstract

Volatility persistence is a stylized statistical property of financial time-series data such as exchange rates and stock returns. The purpose of this letter is to investigate the relationship between volatility persistence and predictability of squared returns.

Suggested Citation

  • Umberto Triacca, 2009. "Volatility Persistence and Predictability of Squared Returns in GARCH(1,1) Models," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 1(3), pages 285-291, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:psc:journl:v:1:y:2009:i:3:p:285-291
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Soosung Hwang & Pedro L. Valls Pereira, 2006. "Small sample properties of GARCH estimates and persistence," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(6-7), pages 473-494.
    2. Edoardo Otrano & Umberto Triacca, 2007. "Testing for Equal Predictability of Stationary ARMA Processes," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(9), pages 1091-1108.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ibrahim M. Awad & Abdel-Rahman Al-Ewesat, 2017. "Volatility Persistence in Palestine Exchange Bulls and Bears: An Econometric Analysis of Time Series Data," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 9, pages 83-97, August.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    GARCH Models; returns; time series; volatility persistence;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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