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Progrès technique, croissance et emploi : Un modèle d'inspiration kaldorienne pour six industries européennes

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  • Robert Boyer
  • Pascal Petit

Abstract

[fre] A moyen terme, les évolutions de la productivité industrielle dépendent non seulement de la croissance de la demande (loi dite de Kaldor-Verdoorn) mais aussi des rythmes d'accumulation et d'innovations techniques.. On estime, sur la période 1960-1976, dans six pays européens (RFA, France, Italie, Pays-Bas, Belgique, Royaume-Uni), un modèle à cinq équations montrant l'importance relative de ces différents déterminants. [eng] Technical progress, growth and employment ; . A Kaldorian model for six european industries. R. Boyer, P. Petit. At medium term industrial productivity is not only a function of demand (following the so-called Kaldor-Verdoorn law) but also of investment and technical change.. Pooling datas on four cycles 1960-1965, 1965-1969, 1969-1973, 1973-1976 for six countries (RFA, France, Italy, Netherlands, Belgium, United Kingdom), a five equations model is estimated, exhibiting the relative influence of these various factors.. The consequences of different industrial policies (expanding demand or stimulating supply), in order to stop the de-industrialisation process, are then derived from simulations run with the model.

Suggested Citation

  • Robert Boyer & Pascal Petit, 1981. "Progrès technique, croissance et emploi : Un modèle d'inspiration kaldorienne pour six industries européennes," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 32(6), pages 1113-1153.
    • Handle: RePEc:prs:reveco:reco_0035-2764_1981_num_32_6_408633
    DOI: 10.3406/reco.1981.408633
    Note: DOI:10.3406/reco.1981.408633
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Angus Maddison, 1979. "Long run dynamics of productivity growth," BNL Quarterly Review, Banca Nazionale del Lavoro, vol. 32(128), pages 3-43.
    2. Raymond Vernon, 1966. "International Investment and International Trade in the Product Cycle," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 80(2), pages 190-207.
    3. Jérôme Vignon & Pierre Villa & Catherine Girardeau, 1976. "Emploi et croissance à moyen terme," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 84(1), pages 23-36.
    4. Rowthorn, R E, 1975. "What Remains of Kaldor's Law?," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 85(337), pages 10-19, March.
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    1. Pascal Petit & Gabriel Tahar, 1989. "Effets productivité et qualité de l'automatisation : une approche macro-économique," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 40(1), pages 35-54.
    2. Boyer, Robert, 1998. "Le lien salaire-emploi dans la théorie de la régulation. Autant de relations que de configurations institutionnelles," CEPREMAP Working Papers (Couverture Orange) 9814, CEPREMAP.
    3. Pini, Paolo, 1995. "Economic growth, technological change and employment: empirical evidence for a cumulative growth model with external causation for nine OECD countries: 1960-1990," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 6(2), pages 185-213, June.
    4. Sascha Keil & Walter Paternesi Meloni, 2024. "Kaldorian cumulative causation in the Euro area: an empirical assessment of divergent export competitiveness," Chemnitz Economic Papers 063, Department of Economics, Chemnitz University of Technology.
    5. Frédéric Lordon, 1991. "Théorie de la croissance : quelques développements récents [Deuxième partie : la redécouverte des rendements croissants]," Revue de l'OFCE, Programme National Persée, vol. 37(1), pages 191-243.
    6. Robert Boyer, 1999. "Le lien salaire-emploi dans la théorie de la régulation. Autant de relations que de configurations institutionnelles," Cahiers d'Économie Politique, Programme National Persée, vol. 34(1), pages 101-161.
    7. Andre Lorentz & Tommaso Ciarli & Maria Savona & Marco Valente, 2019. "Structural Transformations and Cumulative Causation: Towards an Evolutionary Micro-foundation of the Kaldorian Growth Model," Working Papers of BETA 2019-15, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    8. repec:dau:papers:123456789/5148 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Faïz Gallouj, 1994. "Business Cycles and Service Innovations : Some Questions in the Light of Schumpeterian Thought [Cycles économiques et innovations de service : quelques interrogations à la lumière de la pensée schu," Post-Print halshs-01133084, HAL.
    10. Gérard Boismenu & Nicolas Gravel & Jean-Guy Loranger, 1995. "Régime d'accumulation et régulation fordiste : estimation d'un modèle à équations simultanées," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 46(4), pages 1121-1143.
    11. Gilbert Cette & Pierre Joly, 1984. "La productivité industrielle en crise : une interprétation," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 166(1), pages 3-24.
    12. Faïz Gallouj, 1993. "Cycles économiques et innovation de services : quelques interrogations à la lumière de la pensée schumpétérienne," Post-Print halshs-01114012, HAL.

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