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Progrès technique, croissance et emploi : Un modèle d'inspiration kaldorienne pour six industries européennes

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  • Robert Boyer
  • Pascal Petit

Abstract

[fre] A moyen terme, les évolutions de la productivité industrielle dépendent non seulement de la croissance de la demande (loi dite de Kaldor-Verdoorn) mais aussi des rythmes d'accumulation et d'innovations techniques.. On estime, sur la période 1960-1976, dans six pays européens (RFA, France, Italie, Pays-Bas, Belgique, Royaume-Uni), un modèle à cinq équations montrant l'importance relative de ces différents déterminants. [eng] Technical progress, growth and employment ; . A Kaldorian model for six european industries. R. Boyer, P. Petit. At medium term industrial productivity is not only a function of demand (following the so-called Kaldor-Verdoorn law) but also of investment and technical change.. Pooling datas on four cycles 1960-1965, 1965-1969, 1969-1973, 1973-1976 for six countries (RFA, France, Italy, Netherlands, Belgium, United Kingdom), a five equations model is estimated, exhibiting the relative influence of these various factors.. The consequences of different industrial policies (expanding demand or stimulating supply), in order to stop the de-industrialisation process, are then derived from simulations run with the model.

Suggested Citation

  • Robert Boyer & Pascal Petit, 1981. "Progrès technique, croissance et emploi : Un modèle d'inspiration kaldorienne pour six industries européennes," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 32(6), pages 1113-1153.
    • Handle: RePEc:prs:reveco:reco_0035-2764_1981_num_32_6_408633
    DOI: 10.3406/reco.1981.408633
    Note: DOI:10.3406/reco.1981.408633
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Raymond Vernon, 1966. "International Investment and International Trade in the Product Cycle," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 80(2), pages 190-207.
    2. Jérôme Vignon & Pierre Villa & Catherine Girardeau, 1976. "Emploi et croissance à moyen terme," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 84(1), pages 23-36.
    3. Rowthorn, R E, 1975. "What Remains of Kaldor's Law?," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 85(337), pages 10-19, March.
    4. Angus Maddison, 1979. "Long run dynamics of productivity growth," BNL Quarterly Review, Banca Nazionale del Lavoro, vol. 32(128), pages 3-43.
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    1. Pascal Petit & Gabriel Tahar, 1989. "Effets productivité et qualité de l'automatisation : une approche macro-économique," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 40(1), pages 35-54.
    2. Boyer, Robert, 1998. "Le lien salaire-emploi dans la théorie de la régulation. Autant de relations que de configurations institutionnelles," CEPREMAP Working Papers (Couverture Orange) 9814, CEPREMAP.
    3. repec:dau:papers:123456789/5148 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Pini, Paolo, 1995. "Economic growth, technological change and employment: empirical evidence for a cumulative growth model with external causation for nine OECD countries: 1960-1990," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 6(2), pages 185-213, June.
    5. Faïz Gallouj, 1994. "Business Cycles and Service Innovations : Some Questions in the Light of Schumpeterian Thought [Cycles économiques et innovations de service : quelques interrogations à la lumière de la pensée schu," Post-Print halshs-01133084, HAL.
    6. Sascha Keil & Walter Paternesi Meloni, 2024. "Kaldorian cumulative causation in the Euro area: an empirical assessment of divergent export competitiveness," Chemnitz Economic Papers 063, Department of Economics, Chemnitz University of Technology.
    7. Gérard Boismenu & Nicolas Gravel & Jean-Guy Loranger, 1995. "Régime d'accumulation et régulation fordiste : estimation d'un modèle à équations simultanées," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 46(4), pages 1121-1143.
    8. Andre Lorentz & Tommaso Ciarli & Maria Savona & Marco Valente, 2019. "Structural Transformations and Cumulative Causation: Towards an Evolutionary Micro-foundation of the Kaldorian Growth Model," Working Papers of BETA 2019-15, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    9. Gilbert Cette & Pierre Joly, 1984. "La productivité industrielle en crise : une interprétation," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 166(1), pages 3-24.
    10. Frédéric Lordon, 1991. "Théorie de la croissance : quelques développements récents [Deuxième partie : la redécouverte des rendements croissants]," Revue de l'OFCE, Programme National Persée, vol. 37(1), pages 191-243.
    11. Robert Boyer, 1999. "Le lien salaire-emploi dans la théorie de la régulation. Autant de relations que de configurations institutionnelles," Cahiers d'Économie Politique, Programme National Persée, vol. 34(1), pages 101-161.
    12. Faïz Gallouj, 1993. "Cycles économiques et innovation de services : quelques interrogations à la lumière de la pensée schumpétérienne," Post-Print halshs-01114012, HAL.

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