IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/plo/pone00/0235324.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Comparison of five Boosting-based models for estimating daily reference evapotranspiration with limited meteorological variables

Author

Listed:
  • Tianao Wu
  • Wei Zhang
  • Xiyun Jiao
  • Weihua Guo
  • Yousef Alhaj Hamoud

Abstract

Accurate ET0 estimation is of great significance in effective agricultural water management and realizing future intelligent irrigation. This study compares the performance of five Boosting-based models, including Adaptive Boosting(ADA), Gradient Boosting Decision Tree(GBDT), Extreme Gradient Boosting(XGB), Light Gradient Boosting Decision Machine(LGB) and Gradient boosting with categorical features support(CAT), for estimating daily ET0 across 10 stations in the eastern monsoon zone of China. Six different input combinations and 10-fold cross validation method were considered for fully evaluating model accuracy and stability under the condition of limited meteorological variables input. Meanwhile, path analysis was used to analyze the effect of meteorological variables on daily ET0 and their contribution to the estimation results. The results indicated that CAT models could achieve the highest accuracy (with global average RMSE of 0.5667 mm d-1, MAE of 4199 mm d-1and Adj_R2 of 0.8514) and best stability regardless of input combination and stations. Among the inputted meteorological variables, solar radiation(Rs) offers the largest contribution (with average value of 0.7703) to the R2 value of the estimation results and its direct effect on ET0 increases (ranging 0.8654 to 0.9090) as the station’s latitude goes down, while maximum temperature (Tmax) showes the contrary trend (ranging from 0.8598 to 0.5268). These results could help to optimize and simplify the variables contained in input combinations. The comparison between models based on the number of the day in a year (J) and extraterrestrial radiation (Ra) manifested that both J and Ra could improve the modeling accuracy and the improvement increased with the station’s latitudes. However, models with J could achieve better accuracy than those with Ra. In conclusion, CAT models can be most recommended for estimating ET0 and input variable J can be promoted to improve model performance with limited meteorological variables in the eastern monsoon zone of China.

Suggested Citation

  • Tianao Wu & Wei Zhang & Xiyun Jiao & Weihua Guo & Yousef Alhaj Hamoud, 2020. "Comparison of five Boosting-based models for estimating daily reference evapotranspiration with limited meteorological variables," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(6), pages 1-28, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0235324
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0235324
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0235324
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0235324&type=printable
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1371/journal.pone.0235324?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Falamarzi, Yashar & Palizdan, Narges & Huang, Yuk Feng & Lee, Teang Shui, 2014. "Estimating evapotranspiration from temperature and wind speed data using artificial and wavelet neural networks (WNNs)," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 26-36.
    2. Landeras, Gorka & Ortiz-Barredo, Amaia & López, Jose Javier, 2008. "Comparison of artificial neural network models and empirical and semi-empirical equations for daily reference evapotranspiration estimation in the Basque Country (Northern Spain)," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 95(5), pages 553-565, May.
    3. Huiting Zheng & Jiabin Yuan & Long Chen, 2017. "Short-Term Load Forecasting Using EMD-LSTM Neural Networks with a Xgboost Algorithm for Feature Importance Evaluation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-20, August.
    4. Valiantzas, John D., 2018. "Temperature-and humidity-based simplified Penman’s ET0 formulae. Comparisons with temperature-based Hargreaves-Samani and other methodologies," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 326-334.
    5. Hossein Tabari, 2010. "Evaluation of Reference Crop Evapotranspiration Equations in Various Climates," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(10), pages 2311-2337, August.
    6. Feng, Yu & Cui, Ningbo & Gong, Daozhi & Zhang, Qingwen & Zhao, Lu, 2017. "Evaluation of random forests and generalized regression neural networks for daily reference evapotranspiration modelling," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 163-173.
    7. Fan, Junliang & Ma, Xin & Wu, Lifeng & Zhang, Fucang & Yu, Xiang & Zeng, Wenzhi, 2019. "Light Gradient Boosting Machine: An efficient soft computing model for estimating daily reference evapotranspiration with local and external meteorological data," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    8. Kisi, Ozgur, 2016. "Modeling reference evapotranspiration using three different heuristic regression approaches," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 162-172.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Bemah Ibrahim & Isaac Ahenkorah & Anthony Ewusi, 2022. "Explainable Risk Assessment of Rockbolts’ Failure in Underground Coal Mines Based on Categorical Gradient Boosting and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-16, September.
    2. Kang, Yan & Chen, Peiru & Cheng, Xiao & Zhang, Shuo & Song, Songbai, 2022. "Novel hybrid machine learning framework with decomposition–transformation and identification of key modes for estimating reference evapotranspiration," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 273(C).
    3. Jayashree T R & NV Subba Reddy & U Dinesh Acharya, 2023. "Modeling Daily Reference Evapotranspiration from Climate Variables: Assessment of Bagging and Boosting Regression Approaches," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(3), pages 1013-1032, February.
    4. Rossy Chumbe & Stefany Silva & Yvan Garcia, 2023. "Comparison of the machine learning and AquaCrop models for quinoa crops," Research in Agricultural Engineering, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 69(2), pages 65-75.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Shiri, Jalal, 2017. "Evaluation of FAO56-PM, empirical, semi-empirical and gene expression programming approaches for estimating daily reference evapotranspiration in hyper-arid regions of Iran," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 101-114.
    2. Wu, Lifeng & Peng, Youwen & Fan, Junliang & Wang, Yicheng & Huang, Guomin, 2021. "A novel kernel extreme learning machine model coupled with K-means clustering and firefly algorithm for estimating monthly reference evapotranspiration in parallel computation," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 245(C).
    3. Ferreira, Lucas Borges & da Cunha, Fernando França, 2020. "New approach to estimate daily reference evapotranspiration based on hourly temperature and relative humidity using machine learning and deep learning," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    4. Tao, Hai & Diop, Lamine & Bodian, Ansoumana & Djaman, Koffi & Ndiaye, Papa Malick & Yaseen, Zaher Mundher, 2018. "Reference evapotranspiration prediction using hybridized fuzzy model with firefly algorithm: Regional case study in Burkina Faso," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 140-151.
    5. Lu, Yingjie & Li, Tao & Hu, Hui & Zeng, Xuemei, 2023. "Short-term prediction of reference crop evapotranspiration based on machine learning with different decomposition methods in arid areas of China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).
    6. Yamaç, Sevim Seda, 2021. "Artificial intelligence methods reliably predict crop evapotranspiration with different combinations of meteorological data for sugar beet in a semiarid area," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 254(C).
    7. Feng, Yu & Jia, Yue & Cui, Ningbo & Zhao, Lu & Li, Chen & Gong, Daozhi, 2017. "Calibration of Hargreaves model for reference evapotranspiration estimation in Sichuan basin of southwest China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 1-9.
    8. Ali Rahimikhoob & Mahmood Behbahani & Javad Fakheri, 2012. "An Evaluation of Four Reference Evapotranspiration Models in a Subtropical Climate," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(10), pages 2867-2881, August.
    9. Elbeltagi, Ahmed & Deng, Jinsong & Wang, Ke & Malik, Anurag & Maroufpoor, Saman, 2020. "Modeling long-term dynamics of crop evapotranspiration using deep learning in a semi-arid environment," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    10. Malik, Anurag & Jamei, Mehdi & Ali, Mumtaz & Prasad, Ramendra & Karbasi, Masoud & Yaseen, Zaher Mundher, 2022. "Multi-step daily forecasting of reference evapotranspiration for different climates of India: A modern multivariate complementary technique reinforced with ridge regression feature selection," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 272(C).
    11. Yan, Shicheng & Wu, Lifeng & Fan, Junliang & Zhang, Fucang & Zou, Yufeng & Wu, You, 2021. "A novel hybrid WOA-XGB model for estimating daily reference evapotranspiration using local and external meteorological data: Applications in arid and humid regions of China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    12. Xiang, Keyu & Li, Yi & Horton, Robert & Feng, Hao, 2020. "Similarity and difference of potential evapotranspiration and reference crop evapotranspiration – a review," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    13. Wang, Sheng & Lian, Jinjiao & Peng, Yuzhong & Hu, Baoqing & Chen, Hongsong, 2019. "Generalized reference evapotranspiration models with limited climatic data based on random forest and gene expression programming in Guangxi, China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 221(C), pages 220-230.
    14. Ali Mokhtar & Nadhir Al-Ansari & Wessam El-Ssawy & Renata Graf & Pouya Aghelpour & Hongming He & Salma M. Hafez & Mohamed Abuarab, 2023. "Prediction of Irrigation Water Requirements for Green Beans-Based Machine Learning Algorithm Models in Arid Region," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(4), pages 1557-1580, March.
    15. Roy, Dilip Kumar & Lal, Alvin & Sarker, Khokan Kumer & Saha, Kowshik Kumar & Datta, Bithin, 2021. "Optimization algorithms as training approaches for prediction of reference evapotranspiration using adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 255(C).
    16. Bellido-Jiménez, Juan Antonio & Estévez, Javier & García-Marín, Amanda Penélope, 2021. "New machine learning approaches to improve reference evapotranspiration estimates using intra-daily temperature-based variables in a semi-arid region of Spain," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 245(C).
    17. Rana Muhammad Adnan & Salim Heddam & Zaher Mundher Yaseen & Shamsuddin Shahid & Ozgur Kisi & Binquan Li, 2020. "Prediction of Potential Evapotranspiration Using Temperature-Based Heuristic Approaches," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-21, December.
    18. Fan, Junliang & Ma, Xin & Wu, Lifeng & Zhang, Fucang & Yu, Xiang & Zeng, Wenzhi, 2019. "Light Gradient Boosting Machine: An efficient soft computing model for estimating daily reference evapotranspiration with local and external meteorological data," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    19. Traore, Seydou & Luo, Yufeng & Fipps, Guy, 2016. "Deployment of artificial neural network for short-term forecasting of evapotranspiration using public weather forecast restricted messages," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 363-379.
    20. Ahmadi, Farshad & Mehdizadeh, Saeid & Mohammadi, Babak & Pham, Quoc Bao & DOAN, Thi Ngoc Canh & Vo, Ngoc Duong, 2021. "Application of an artificial intelligence technique enhanced with intelligent water drops for monthly reference evapotranspiration estimation," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0235324. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: plosone (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.