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Trend Models of Feeder, Slaughter, and Wholesale Beef Cattle Prices

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  • John R. Franzmann
  • Rodney L. Walker

Abstract

Harmonic regressions were fitted to monthly data to provide a low cost alternative means of predicting prices at three market levels in the beef industry and to provide information on time interrelationships among these market levels. The results have limited prediction potential and support preconceived ideas concerning time interrelationships.

Suggested Citation

  • John R. Franzmann & Rodney L. Walker, 1972. "Trend Models of Feeder, Slaughter, and Wholesale Beef Cattle Prices," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 54(3), pages 507-512.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:ajagec:v:54:y:1972:i:3:p:507-512.
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    Cited by:

    1. VanTassell, L. W. & Richardson, J. W. & Conner, J. R., 1987. "Incorporating Environmental Uncertainties In A Ranch Simulation," 1987 Annual Meeting, August 2-5, East Lansing, Michigan 269979, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    2. Hiram C. Barksdale & Jimmy E. Hilliard & Mikael C. Ahlund, 1975. "A Cross-Spectral Analysis of Beef Prices," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 57(2), pages 309-315.
    3. Spreen, Thomas H. & Shonkwiler, John Scott, 1981. "Causal Relationships In The Fed Cattle Market," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 13(1), pages 1-5, July.
    4. Walker, Odell L. & Bernardo, Daniel J. & Gutierrez, Paul H., 1986. "A Monte Carlo Approach To Generating Distributions Of Cattle Returns," Regional Research Projects > 1986: S-180 Annual Meeting, March 23-26, 1986, Tampa, Florida 271997, Regional Research Projects > S-180: An Economic Analysis of Risk Management Strategies for Agricultural Production Firms.
    5. VanTassell, Larry W. & Bessler, David A., 1988. "Dynamic Price Adjustments Between Commercial and Purebred Cattle Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(2), pages 137-144, December.
    6. Branch, William & Tilley, Daniel S., 1991. "Catfish Producer Harvest Response To Production And Asymmetric Price Risk," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 23(2), pages 1-9, December.
    7. Spreen, Thomas H. & Mayer, Richard E. & Simpson, James R. & McClave, James T., 1979. "Forecasting Monthly Slaughter Cow Prices with a Subset Autoregressive Model," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 11(1), pages 127-131, July.
    8. Miller, Stephen E., 1980. "Lead-Lag Relationships Between Pork Prices At The Retail, Wholesale, And Farm Levels," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 12(1), pages 1-4, July.
    9. VanTassell, Larry W. & Conner, J. Richard & Richardson, James W., 1990. "Modeling Cyclical Cattle Prices In A Monte Carlo Setting," 1990 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Vancouver, Canada 270896, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    10. Brester, Gary W. & Marsh, John M., 1983. "A Statistical Model Of The Primary And Derived Market Levels In The U.S. Beef Industry," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 8(1), pages 1-16, July.
    11. Spree, Thomas H. & Shonkwiler, J. Scott & Chang, Julio, 1980. "Causal Relationships In The Beef Cattle Market," 1980 Annual Meeting, July 27-30, Urbana-Champaign, Illinois 278995, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    12. Grundmeier, Eric (Eric L.), 1989. "Formulation of a carcass cutout value: an alternative wholesale beef pricing method," ISU General Staff Papers 1989010108000017580, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    13. Miller, Steve, 1979. "Univariate Residual Cross Correlation Analysis: An Application To Beef Prices," 1979 Annual Meeting, July 29-August 1, Pullman, Washington 278301, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    14. Edgar E. Twine & James Rude & Jim Unterschultz, 2016. "Canadian Cattle Cycles and Market Shocks," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 64(1), pages 119-146, March.
    15. Stockton, Matthew C. & Van Tassell, Larry W., 2007. "The Cattle Price Cycle: An Exploration in Simulation," 2007 Conference, April 16-17, 2007, Chicago, Illinois 37564, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

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