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Allowing for Weather in Crop Production Model Building

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  • Bernard Oury

Abstract

Several alternative methods have been presented to measure weather effects upon crop production. This paper presents two more methods. These are the work of de Martonne and Ångström in the 1920's and 1930's applied to an econometric production model. The use of composite "aridity indexes" might provide a relatively simple approach to a difficult problem encountered in agricultural supply analysis. The concept is simple and is not confined to a single agricultural area or to a single crop. The indexes, both de Martonne's and Ångström's, can be calculated wherever basic weather data—precipitation and temperature—are available.

Suggested Citation

  • Bernard Oury, 1965. "Allowing for Weather in Crop Production Model Building," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 47(2), pages 270-283.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:ajagec:v:47:y:1965:i:2:p:270-283.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.2307/1236574
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    Cited by:

    1. Kirtti Ranjan Paltasingh & Phanindra Goyari, 2018. "Statistical Modeling of Crop-Weather Relationship in India: A Survey on Evolutionary Trend of Methodologies," Asian Journal of Agriculture and Development, Southeast Asian Regional Center for Graduate Study and Research in Agriculture (SEARCA), vol. 15(1), pages 42-60, June.
    2. Augustus J. Panton, 2020. "Climate hysteresis and monetary policy," CAMA Working Papers 2020-76, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    3. Sun Ling Wang & Nicholas Rada & Ryan Williams & Doris Newton, 2022. "Accounting for climatic effects in measuring U.S. field crop farm productivity," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 44(4), pages 1975-1994, December.
    4. Barnes, Andrew P., 2002. "Publicly-funded UK agricultural R&D and 'social' total factor productivity," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 27(1), pages 65-74, May.
    5. Tice, Thomas F. & Clouser, Rodney L., 1980. "Stochastic Effect Of Weather On Crop Production The Value Of Weather Information To Individual Corn Producers," 1980 Annual Meeting, July 27-30, Urbana-Champaign, Illinois 278479, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    6. Ariel Ortiz-Bobea, 2021. "Climate, Agriculture and Food," Papers 2105.12044, arXiv.org.
    7. Russell, N.P. & Thirtle, C.G., 1988. "Measuring the Contribution of Publicly Funded Research and Development Expenditure to Increasing UK Oilseed Rape Yields," Manchester Working Papers in Agricultural Economics 232796, University of Manchester, School of Economics, Agricultural Economics Department.
    8. Viktoriya Galushko & Samuel Gamtessa, 2022. "Impact of Climate Change on Productivity and Technical Efficiency in Canadian Crop Production," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-21, April.
    9. Pope, C. Arden, III, 1981. "The dynamics of crop yields in the U. S. Corn Belt as effected by weather and technological progress," ISU General Staff Papers 198101010800008463, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    10. Ranjan Paltasingh, Kirtti & Goyari, Phanindra, 2013. "Supply Response in Rainfed Agriculture of Odisha, Eastern India: A Vector Error Correction Approach," Agricultural Economics Review, Greek Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 14(2), pages 1-16.
    11. Krog, David Russell, 1988. "Plant-process model corn yield forecasts for Iowa," ISU General Staff Papers 1988010108000010686, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    12. Tomek, William G. & Robinson, Kenneth L., 1977. "PART V. Agricultural Price Analysis and Outlook," AAEA Monographs, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 337217, january.
    13. Sun Ling Wang & Eldon Ball & Richard Nehring & Ryan Williams & Truong Chau, 2018. "Impacts of Climate Change and Extreme Weather on US Agricultural Productivity: Evidence and Projection," NBER Chapters, in: Agricultural Productivity and Producer Behavior, pages 41-75, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. Paltasingh, Kirtti Ranjan & Goyari, Phanindra & Mishra, R.K., 2012. "Measuring Weather Impact on Crop Yield Using Aridity Index: Evidence from Odisha," Agricultural Economics Research Review, Agricultural Economics Research Association (India), vol. 25(2).
    15. Day, Richard H. & Sparling, Edward & Woodworth, Roger C., 1977. "PART II. Economic Optimization in Agricultural and Resource Economics," AAEA Monographs, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, number 337222, january.
    16. Michler, Jeffrey & Shively, Gerald, 2016. "Agricultural Production, Weather Variability, and Technical Change: 40 Years of Evidence from Indi," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 236342, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    17. Denitsa Angelova & Jan Käbel, 2019. "Weather Volatility and Production Efficiency," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(24), pages 1-12, December.
    18. Schlenker, Wolfram & Hanemann, W Michael & Fisher, Anthony C, 2007. "Water Availability, Degree Days, and the Potential Impact of Climate Change on Irrigated Agriculture in California," Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley, Working Paper Series qt8q8309qn, Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley.
    19. Thompson, Troy N. & Knight, Thomas O. & Boren, Billy D., 1990. "Estimating The Value Of The 0/92 Reduced Planting Alternatives Of The 1985 Farm Bill For Farm Program Paticipants," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 22(2), pages 1-11, December.
    20. Geigel, Joanne M. & Sundquist, W. Burt, 1984. "A Review And Evaluation Of Weather-Crop Yield Models," Staff Papers 13699, University of Minnesota, Department of Applied Economics.
    21. D. Hallam, 1990. "Agricultural Research Expenditures And Agricultural Productivity Change," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(3), pages 434-439, September.
    22. Miner, Alan G., 1983. "The Contribution Of Research To U.S. Soybean Yields," Staff Papers 13661, University of Minnesota, Department of Applied Economics.
    23. Carter, Colin A. & Zhang, Bin, 1998. "The Weather Factor and Variability in China's Grain Supply," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 529-543, September.
    24. Zhang, Bin, 1997. "Total Factor Productivity of Grain Production in the Former Soviet Union," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 24(2), pages 202-209, April.

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