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Is there any evidence of political-business cycle in the sectorial employment of Mexico, 1998-2013?

Author

Listed:
  • Marlen R. Reyes Hernández

    (Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México, México)

  • Pablo Mejía Reyes

    (Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México, México)

  • Liliana Rendón Rojas

    (Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México, México)

Abstract

This paper looks for evidence of political-business cycles associated to the presidential elections in the Mexican sectorial employment over the period 1998-2013. By estimating panel data models, and controlling for the effects of the major determinants of employment, no evidence consistent with the predictions of the theoretical opportunistic model is found, i.e. whereas employment shows an expansion before and during the elections periods, the estimates are neither statistically significant nor robust. Furthermore, employment does not experience contractions after the elections or the office taking periods. Notwithstanding, the evidence suggests that employment is positively and negatively affected by output and real wages, respectively.

Suggested Citation

  • Marlen R. Reyes Hernández & Pablo Mejía Reyes & Liliana Rendón Rojas, 2017. "Is there any evidence of political-business cycle in the sectorial employment of Mexico, 1998-2013?," Contaduría y Administración, Accounting and Management, vol. 62(1), pages 25-43, Enero-Mar.
    • Handle: RePEc:nax:conyad:v:62:y:2017:i:1:p:25-43
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Political business cycle; Employment; Wages; Production;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination

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