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Intergovernmental transfers and dynamic adjustment of subnational budgets

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  • Puig Jorge Pablo
  • Porto Alberto
  • Vidal Juan Bautista

Abstract

We study the dynamic impact of intergovernmental transfers on subnational budgets. Using the ideal case of a multi-level government like Argentina, and methods for dynamic analysis, we disentangled the nature of subnational fiscal adjustments that follow a shock in federal transfers. The results indicate that in the short-run, transfers increase spending more than proportionally and own revenues also increase, although to a small extent. Thus, a deficit is reached in the short-run. In the long-run, provinces recover fiscal equilibrium by adjusting spending to a level consistent with a balanced budget. The steady-state equilibrium involves a higher level of spending, as transfers increase endogenously as a result of cross-regional spillover effects. This result is robust to variations in the definition of subnational budgets. We also provide a discussion on potential mechanisms that may guide the dynamic of fiscal adjustments, and a relevant set of extensions that consider regional disparities and different types of taxes and spending used to balance subnational fiscal accounts. As a whole, the paper provides relevant insights for the design of subnational fiscal policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Puig Jorge Pablo & Porto Alberto & Vidal Juan Bautista, 2024. "Intergovernmental transfers and dynamic adjustment of subnational budgets," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4754, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
  • Handle: RePEc:aep:anales:4754
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • H11 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Structure and Scope of Government
    • H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General
    • H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General
    • H77 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - Intergovernmental Relations; Federalism

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