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The vulnerability of Indo-Pacific mangrove forests to sea-level rise

Author

Listed:
  • Catherine E. Lovelock

    (School of Biological Sciences, The University of Queensland
    Global Change Institute, The University of Queensland)

  • Donald R. Cahoon

    (Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, United States Geological Survey)

  • Daniel A. Friess

    (National University of Singapore)

  • Glenn R. Guntenspergen

    (Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, United States Geological Survey)

  • Ken W. Krauss

    (National Wetlands Research Center, United States Geological Survey)

  • Ruth Reef

    (School of Biological Sciences, The University of Queensland
    Global Change Institute, The University of Queensland
    Cambridge Coastal Research Unit, University of Cambridge)

  • Kerrylee Rogers

    (School of Earth and Environmental Science, University of Wollongong)

  • Megan L. Saunders

    (Global Change Institute, The University of Queensland)

  • Frida Sidik

    (The Institute for Marine Research and Observation, Ministry of Marine Affairs and Fisheries)

  • Andrew Swales

    (School of Biological Sciences, The University of Queensland
    National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research)

  • Neil Saintilan

    (Macquarie University)

  • Le Xuan Thuyen

    (University of Science, Vietnam National University)

  • Tran Triet

    (University of Science, Vietnam National University
    International Crane Foundation)

Abstract

Assessment of mangrove forest surface elevation changes across the Indo-Pacific coastal region finds that almost 70 per cent of the sites studied do not have enough sediment availability to offset predicted sea-level rise; modelling indicates that such sites could be submerged as early as 2070.

Suggested Citation

  • Catherine E. Lovelock & Donald R. Cahoon & Daniel A. Friess & Glenn R. Guntenspergen & Ken W. Krauss & Ruth Reef & Kerrylee Rogers & Megan L. Saunders & Frida Sidik & Andrew Swales & Neil Saintilan & , 2015. "The vulnerability of Indo-Pacific mangrove forests to sea-level rise," Nature, Nature, vol. 526(7574), pages 559-563, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:526:y:2015:i:7574:d:10.1038_nature15538
    DOI: 10.1038/nature15538
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Jingjuan Liao & Jianing Zhen & Li Zhang & Graciela Metternicht, 2019. "Understanding Dynamics of Mangrove Forest on Protected Areas of Hainan Island, China: 30 Years of Evidence from Remote Sensing," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(19), pages 1-16, September.
    2. Bregje K. van Wesenbeeck & Wiebe de Boer & Siddharth Narayan & Wouter R. L. van der Star & Mindert B. de Vries, 2017. "Coastal and riverine ecosystems as adaptive flood defenses under a changing climate," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 22(7), pages 1087-1094, October.
    3. Nguyen Tan Phong & Thai Thanh Luom, 2021. "Configuration of Allocated Mangrove Areas and Protection of Mangrove-Dominated Muddy Coasts: Knowledge Gaps and Recommendations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-13, June.
    4. Leon Yan-Feng Gaw & Alex Thiam Koon Yee & Daniel Rex Richards, 2019. "A High-Resolution Map of Singapore’s Terrestrial Ecosystems," Data, MDPI, vol. 4(3), pages 1-10, August.
    5. Bathmann, Jasper & Peters, Ronny & Naumov, Dmitri & Fischer, Thomas & Berger, Uta & Walther, Marc, 2020. "The MANgrove–GroundwAter feedback model (MANGA) – Describing belowground competition based on first principles," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 420(C).
    6. Jirawat Panpeng & Mokbul Morshed Ahmad, 2017. "Vulnerability of Fishing Communities from Sea-Level Change: A Study of Laemsing District in Chanthaburi Province, Thailand," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-19, August.
    7. Begum, Flora & de Bruyn, Lisa Lobry & Kristiansen, Paul & Islam, Mohammad Amirul, 2023. "Development pathways for co-management in the Sundarban mangrove forest: A multiple stakeholder perspective," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    8. Huynh Van Tien & Nguyen Tuan Anh & Nguyen Tan Phong & Mai Le Minh Nhut, 2021. "Ecological Engineering and Restoration of Eroded Muddy Coasts in South East Asia: Knowledge Gaps and Recommendations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-11, January.
    9. Danghan Xie & Christian Schwarz & Maarten G. Kleinhans & Karin R. Bryan & Giovanni Coco & Stephen Hunt & Barend van Maanen, 2023. "Mangrove removal exacerbates estuarine infilling through landscape-scale bio-morphodynamic feedbacks," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-14, December.
    10. Jacob J Bukoski & Jeremy S Broadhead & Daniel C Donato & Daniel Murdiyarso & Timothy G Gregoire, 2017. "The Use of Mixed Effects Models for Obtaining Low-Cost Ecosystem Carbon Stock Estimates in Mangroves of the Asia-Pacific," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(1), pages 1-15, January.
    11. Minerva Singh & Luitgard Schwendenmann & Gang Wang & Maria Fernanda Adame & Luís Junior Comissario Mandlate, 2022. "Changes in Mangrove Carbon Stocks and Exposure to Sea Level Rise (SLR) under Future Climate Scenarios," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-17, March.
    12. Guandong Li & Torbjörn E. Törnqvist & Sönke Dangendorf, 2024. "Real-world time-travel experiment shows ecosystem collapse due to anthropogenic climate change," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-10, December.
    13. Akbar Hossain Kanan & Francesco Pirotti & Mauro Masiero & Md Masudur Rahman, 2023. "Mapping inundation from sea level rise and its interaction with land cover in the Sundarbans mangrove forest," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 176(8), pages 1-22, August.
    14. Hiroshi Takagi, 2018. "Long-Term Design of Mangrove Landfills as an Effective Tide Attenuator under Relative Sea-Level Rise," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-15, April.

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