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A stochastic model of randomly accelerated walkers for human mobility

Author

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  • Riccardo Gallotti

    (Institut de Physique Théorique, CEA, CNRS-URA 2306)

  • Armando Bazzani

    (University of Bologna
    INFN Bologna Section)

  • Sandro Rambaldi

    (University of Bologna
    INFN Bologna Section)

  • Marc Barthelemy

    (Institut de Physique Théorique, CEA, CNRS-URA 2306
    CAMS (CNRS/EHESS) 190-198)

Abstract

Recent studies of human mobility largely focus on displacements patterns and power law fits of empirical long-tailed distributions of distances are usually associated to scale-free superdiffusive random walks called Lévy flights. However, drawing conclusions about a complex system from a fit, without any further knowledge of the underlying dynamics, might lead to erroneous interpretations. Here we show, on the basis of a data set describing the trajectories of 780,000 private vehicles in Italy, that the Lévy flight model cannot explain the behaviour of travel times and speeds. We therefore introduce a class of accelerated random walks, validated by empirical observations, where the velocity changes due to acceleration kicks at random times. Combining this mechanism with an exponentially decaying distribution of travel times leads to a short-tailed distribution of distances which could indeed be mistaken with a truncated power law. These results illustrate the limits of purely descriptive models and provide a mechanistic view of mobility.

Suggested Citation

  • Riccardo Gallotti & Armando Bazzani & Sandro Rambaldi & Marc Barthelemy, 2016. "A stochastic model of randomly accelerated walkers for human mobility," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 7(1), pages 1-7, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:7:y:2016:i:1:d:10.1038_ncomms12600
    DOI: 10.1038/ncomms12600
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    Cited by:

    1. Yanyan Gu & Yandong Wang, 2022. "Using weighted multilayer networks to uncover scaling of public transport system," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 49(6), pages 1631-1645, July.
    2. Gao, Lei & Li, Ruiqi & Shu, Panpan & Wang, Wei & Gao, Hui & Cai, Shimin, 2018. "Effects of individual popularity on information spreading in complex networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 489(C), pages 32-39.
    3. Adler, Nicole & Brudner, Amir & Gallotti, Riccardo & Privitera, Filippo & Ramasco, José J., 2022. "Does big data help answer big questions? The case of airport catchment areas & competition," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 444-467.
    4. He, Zhengbing, 2020. "Spatial-temporal fractal of urban agglomeration travel demand," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 549(C).
    5. Robert Kölbl & Martin Kozek, 2021. "A physiological model of human mobility: A global study," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 8(1), pages 1-14, December.
    6. Tao Xu & Yutao Ma & Qian Wang, 2018. "Cross-Urban Point-of-Interest Recommendation for Non-Natives," International Journal of Web Services Research (IJWSR), IGI Global, vol. 15(3), pages 82-102, July.
    7. Alireza Ermagun & David M Levinson, 2019. "Development and application of the network weight matrix to predict traffic flow for congested and uncongested conditions," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 46(9), pages 1684-1705, November.
    8. Chen, Xiqun (Michael) & Chen, Chuqiao & Ni, Linglin & Li, Li, 2018. "Spatial visitation prediction of on-demand ride services using the scaling law," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 508(C), pages 84-94.
    9. Chen, Ya & Li, Xue & Zhang, Richong & Huang, Zi-Gang & Lai, Ying-Cheng, 2020. "Instantaneous success and influence promotion in cyberspace — how do they occur?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 556(C).
    10. Huang, Zhiren & Wang, Pu & Zhang, Fan & Gao, Jianxi & Schich, Maximilian, 2018. "A mobility network approach to identify and anticipate large crowd gatherings," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 147-170.
    11. Mattia Mazzoli & Boris Diechtiareff & Antònia Tugores & Willian Wives & Natalia Adler & Pere Colet & José J Ramasco, 2020. "Migrant mobility flows characterized with digital data," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(3), pages 1-20, March.

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