IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcom/v15y2024i1d10.1038_s41467-024-54454-0.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Generative learning assisted state-of-health estimation for sustainable battery recycling with random retirement conditions

Author

Listed:
  • Shengyu Tao

    (Tsinghua University)

  • Ruifei Ma

    (Tsinghua University)

  • Zixi Zhao

    (Tsinghua University)

  • Guangyuan Ma

    (Tsinghua University)

  • Lin Su

    (Tsinghua University)

  • Heng Chang

    (Tsinghua University)

  • Yuou Chen

    (Tsinghua University)

  • Haizhou Liu

    (Tsinghua University)

  • Zheng Liang

    (Tsinghua University)

  • Tingwei Cao

    (Tsinghua University)

  • Haocheng Ji

    (Tsinghua University)

  • Zhiyuan Han

    (Tsinghua University)

  • Minyan Lu

    (Tsinghua University
    Ltd.)

  • Huixiong Yang

    (Ltd.)

  • Zongguo Wen

    (Tsinghua University)

  • Jianhua Yao

    (Tencent)

  • Rong Yu

    (Hupan Lab)

  • Guodan Wei

    (Tsinghua University)

  • Yang Li

    (Tsinghua University)

  • Xuan Zhang

    (Tsinghua University)

  • Tingyang Xu

    (Tencent)

  • Guangmin Zhou

    (Tsinghua University)

Abstract

Rapid and accurate state of health (SOH) estimation of retired batteries is a crucial pretreatment for reuse and recycling. However, data-driven methods require exhaustive data curation under random SOH and state of charge (SOC) retirement conditions. Here, we show that the generative learning-assisted SOH estimation is promising in alleviating data scarcity and heterogeneity challenges, validated through a pulse injection dataset of 2700 retired lithium-ion battery samples, covering 3 cathode material types, 3 physical formats, 4 capacity designs, and 4 historical usages with 10 SOC levels. Using generated data, a regressor realizes accurate SOH estimations, with mean absolute percentage errors below 6% under unseen SOC. We predict that assuming uniform deployment of the proposed technique, this would save 4.9 billion USD in electricity costs and 35.8 billion kg CO2 emissions by mitigating data curation costs for a 2030 worldwide battery retirement scenario. This paper highlights exploiting limited data for exploring extended data space using generative methods, given data can be time-consuming, expensive, and polluting to retrieve for many estimation and predictive tasks.

Suggested Citation

  • Shengyu Tao & Ruifei Ma & Zixi Zhao & Guangyuan Ma & Lin Su & Heng Chang & Yuou Chen & Haizhou Liu & Zheng Liang & Tingwei Cao & Haocheng Ji & Zhiyuan Han & Minyan Lu & Huixiong Yang & Zongguo Wen & J, 2024. "Generative learning assisted state-of-health estimation for sustainable battery recycling with random retirement conditions," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-14, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:15:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-024-54454-0
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-54454-0
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-024-54454-0
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41467-024-54454-0?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ermanno Miele & Wesley M. Dose & Ilya Manyakin & Michael H. Frosz & Zachary Ruff & Michael F. L. Volder & Clare P. Grey & Jeremy J. Baumberg & Tijmen G. Euser, 2022. "Hollow-core optical fibre sensors for operando Raman spectroscopy investigation of Li-ion battery liquid electrolytes," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-10, December.
    2. Fu, Shiyi & Tao, Shengyu & Fan, Hongtao & He, Kun & Liu, Xutao & Tao, Yulin & Zuo, Junxiong & Zhang, Xuan & Wang, Yu & Sun, Yaojie, 2024. "Data-driven capacity estimation for lithium-ion batteries with feature matching based transfer learning method," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 353(PA).
    3. Gunnar Luderer & Silvia Madeddu & Leon Merfort & Falko Ueckerdt & Michaja Pehl & Robert Pietzcker & Marianna Rottoli & Felix Schreyer & Nico Bauer & Lavinia Baumstark & Christoph Bertram & Alois Dirna, 2022. "Author Correction: Impact of declining renewable energy costs on electrification in low-emission scenarios," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 7(4), pages 380-381, April.
    4. Wu, Wei & Lin, Boqiang & Xie, Chunping & Elliott, Robert J.R. & Radcliffe, Jonathan, 2020. "Does energy storage provide a profitable second life for electric vehicle batteries?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    5. Fernando Aguilar Lopez & Dirk Lauinger & François Vuille & Daniel B. Müller, 2024. "On the potential of vehicle-to-grid and second-life batteries to provide energy and material security," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-11, December.
    6. Yunwei Zhang & Qiaochu Tang & Yao Zhang & Jiabin Wang & Ulrich Stimming & Alpha A. Lee, 2020. "Identifying degradation patterns of lithium ion batteries from impedance spectroscopy using machine learning," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-6, December.
    7. Gavin Harper & Roberto Sommerville & Emma Kendrick & Laura Driscoll & Peter Slater & Rustam Stolkin & Allan Walton & Paul Christensen & Oliver Heidrich & Simon Lambert & Andrew Abbott & Karl Ryder & L, 2019. "Recycling lithium-ion batteries from electric vehicles," Nature, Nature, vol. 575(7781), pages 75-86, November.
    8. Guanjun Ji & Junxiong Wang & Zheng Liang & Kai Jia & Jun Ma & Zhaofeng Zhuang & Guangmin Zhou & Hui-Ming Cheng, 2023. "Direct regeneration of degraded lithium-ion battery cathodes with a multifunctional organic lithium salt," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
    9. Gunnar Luderer & Silvia Madeddu & Leon Merfort & Falko Ueckerdt & Michaja Pehl & Robert Pietzcker & Marianna Rottoli & Felix Schreyer & Nico Bauer & Lavinia Baumstark & Christoph Bertram & Alois Dirna, 2022. "Impact of declining renewable energy costs on electrification in low-emission scenarios," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 7(1), pages 32-42, January.
    10. Biggio, Luca & Bendinelli, Tommaso & Kulkarni, Chetan & Fink, Olga, 2023. "Ageing-aware battery discharge prediction with deep learning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 346(C).
    11. Joris Baars & Teresa Domenech & Raimund Bleischwitz & Hans Eric Melin & Oliver Heidrich, 2021. "Circular economy strategies for electric vehicle batteries reduce reliance on raw materials," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 4(1), pages 71-79, January.
    12. Penelope K. Jones & Ulrich Stimming & Alpha A. Lee, 2022. "Impedance-based forecasting of lithium-ion battery performance amid uneven usage," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-9, December.
    13. Wei, Yupeng & Wu, Dazhong, 2023. "Prediction of state of health and remaining useful life of lithium-ion battery using graph convolutional network with dual attention mechanisms," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    14. Ruifei Ma & Shengyu Tao & Xin Sun & Yifang Ren & Chongbo Sun & Guanjun Ji & Jiahe Xu & Xuecen Wang & Xuan Zhang & Qiuwei Wu & Guangmin Zhou, 2024. "Pathway decisions for reuse and recycling of retired lithium-ion batteries considering economic and environmental functions," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-14, December.
    15. Xiao-Guang Yang & Teng Liu & Chao-Yang Wang, 2021. "Thermally modulated lithium iron phosphate batteries for mass-market electric vehicles," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 6(2), pages 176-185, February.
    16. Liu, Xutao & Tao, Shengyu & Fu, Shiyi & Ma, Ruifei & Cao, Tingwei & Fan, Hongtao & Zuo, Junxiong & Zhang, Xuan & Wang, Yu & Sun, Yaojie, 2024. "Binary multi-frequency signal for accurate and rapid electrochemical impedance spectroscopy acquisition in lithium-ion batteries," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 364(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Shengyu Tao & Haizhou Liu & Chongbo Sun & Haocheng Ji & Guanjun Ji & Zhiyuan Han & Runhua Gao & Jun Ma & Ruifei Ma & Yuou Chen & Shiyi Fu & Yu Wang & Yaojie Sun & Yu Rong & Xuan Zhang & Guangmin Zhou , 2023. "Collaborative and privacy-preserving retired battery sorting for profitable direct recycling via federated machine learning," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-14, December.
    2. Zhou, Yuekuan, 2024. "Lifecycle battery carbon footprint analysis for battery sustainability with energy digitalization and artificial intelligence," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 371(C).
    3. Ruifei Ma & Shengyu Tao & Xin Sun & Yifang Ren & Chongbo Sun & Guanjun Ji & Jiahe Xu & Xuecen Wang & Xuan Zhang & Qiuwei Wu & Guangmin Zhou, 2024. "Pathway decisions for reuse and recycling of retired lithium-ion batteries considering economic and environmental functions," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-14, December.
    4. Chengjian Xu & Paul Behrens & Paul Gasper & Kandler Smith & Mingming Hu & Arnold Tukker & Bernhard Steubing, 2023. "Electric vehicle batteries alone could satisfy short-term grid storage demand by as early as 2030," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
    5. Gutsch, Moritz & Leker, Jens, 2024. "Costs, carbon footprint, and environmental impacts of lithium-ion batteries – From cathode active material synthesis to cell manufacturing and recycling," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 353(PB).
    6. Guanjun Ji & Di Tang & Junxiong Wang & Zheng Liang & Haocheng Ji & Jun Ma & Zhaofeng Zhuang & Song Liu & Guangmin Zhou & Hui-Ming Cheng, 2024. "Sustainable upcycling of mixed spent cathodes to a high-voltage polyanionic cathode material," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-10, December.
    7. Benjamin Jones & Viet Nguyen-Tien & Robert J R Elliott, 2021. "The EV Revolution: Critical Material Supply Chains, Trade, and Development," Discussion Papers 21-15, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham.
    8. Hetong Wang & Kuishuang Feng & Peng Wang & Yuyao Yang & Laixiang Sun & Fan Yang & Wei-Qiang Chen & Yiyi Zhang & Jiashuo Li, 2023. "China’s electric vehicle and climate ambitions jeopardized by surging critical material prices," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-13, December.
    9. Hasret Sahin & A. A. Solomon & Arman Aghahosseini & Christian Breyer, 2024. "Systemwide energy return on investment in a sustainable transition towards net zero power systems," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-15, December.
    10. Wang, Huan & Li, Yan-Fu & Zhang, Ying, 2023. "Bioinspired spiking spatiotemporal attention framework for lithium-ion batteries state-of-health estimation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    11. Gu, Xubo & Bai, Hanyu & Cui, Xiaofan & Zhu, Juner & Zhuang, Weichao & Li, Zhaojian & Hu, Xiaosong & Song, Ziyou, 2024. "Challenges and opportunities for second-life batteries: Key technologies and economy," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    12. Shahjalal, Mohammad & Roy, Probir Kumar & Shams, Tamanna & Fly, Ashley & Chowdhury, Jahedul Islam & Ahmed, Md. Rishad & Liu, Kailong, 2022. "A review on second-life of Li-ion batteries: prospects, challenges, and issues," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    13. Eunsung Oh, 2022. "Fair Virtual Energy Storage System Operation for Smart Energy Communities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-16, August.
    14. Takuma Watari & André Cabrera Serrenho & Lukas Gast & Jonathan Cullen & Julian Allwood, 2023. "Feasible supply of steel and cement within a carbon budget is likely to fall short of expected global demand," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.
    15. Cai, Hongchang & Tang, Xiaopeng & Lai, Xin & Wang, Yanan & Han, Xuebing & Ouyang, Minggao & Zheng, Yuejiu, 2024. "How battery capacities are correctly estimated considering latent short-circuit faults," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 375(C).
    16. Zhu-Jun Wang & Zhen-Song Chen & Qin Su & Kwai-Sang Chin & Witold Pedrycz & Mirosław J. Skibniewski, 2024. "Enhancing the sustainability and robustness of critical material supply in electrical vehicle market: an AI-powered supplier selection approach," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 342(1), pages 921-958, November.
    17. Lin, Yan-Hui & Ruan, Sheng-Jia & Chen, Yun-Xia & Li, Yan-Fu, 2023. "Physics-informed deep learning for lithium-ion battery diagnostics using electrochemical impedance spectroscopy," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    18. Martinez, A. & Iglesias, G., 2024. "Global wind energy resources decline under climate change," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
    19. Jiangong Zhu & Yixiu Wang & Yuan Huang & R. Bhushan Gopaluni & Yankai Cao & Michael Heere & Martin J. Mühlbauer & Liuda Mereacre & Haifeng Dai & Xinhua Liu & Anatoliy Senyshyn & Xuezhe Wei & Michael K, 2022. "Data-driven capacity estimation of commercial lithium-ion batteries from voltage relaxation," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-10, December.
    20. Wang, Shaojin & Tang, Jinrui & Xiong, Binyu & Fan, Junqiu & Li, Yang & Chen, Qihong & Xie, Changjun & Wei, Zhongbao, 2024. "Comparison of techniques based on frequency response analysis for state of health estimation in lithium-ion batteries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:15:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-024-54454-0. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.