IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v378y2025ipas0306261924022037.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Path signature-based life prognostics of Li-ion battery using pulse test data

Author

Listed:
  • Ibraheem, Rasheed
  • Dechent, Philipp
  • dos Reis, Gonçalo

Abstract

Common models predicting the End of Life (EOL) and Remaining Useful Life (RUL) of Li-ion cells make use of long cycling data samples. This is a bottleneck when predictions are needed for decision-making but no historical data is available. A machine learning model to predict the EOL and RUL of Li-ion cells using only data contained in a single Hybrid Pulse Power Characterization (HPPC) test is proposed. The model ignores the cell’s prior cycling usage and is validated across nine different datasets each with its cathode chemistry. A model able to classify cells on whether they have passed EOL given an HPPC test is also developed. The underpinning data-centric modelling concept for feature generation is the notion of ‘path signature’ which is combined with an explainable tree-based machine learning model and an in-depth study of the models is provided. Model validation across different SOC ranges shows that data collected from the HPPC test across a 20% SOC window suffices for effective prediction. The EOL and RUL models achieve 85 and 91 cycles MAE respectively while the classification model has an accuracy of 94% on the test data. Code for data processing and modelling is publicly available.

Suggested Citation

  • Ibraheem, Rasheed & Dechent, Philipp & dos Reis, Gonçalo, 2025. "Path signature-based life prognostics of Li-ion battery using pulse test data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 378(PA).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:378:y:2025:i:pa:s0306261924022037
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.124820
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261924022037
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.124820?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hong, Joonki & Lee, Dongheon & Jeong, Eui-Rim & Yi, Yung, 2020. "Towards the swift prediction of the remaining useful life of lithium-ion batteries with end-to-end deep learning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(C).
    2. Kristen A. Severson & Peter M. Attia & Norman Jin & Nicholas Perkins & Benben Jiang & Zi Yang & Michael H. Chen & Muratahan Aykol & Patrick K. Herring & Dimitrios Fraggedakis & Martin Z. Bazant & Step, 2019. "Data-driven prediction of battery cycle life before capacity degradation," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 4(5), pages 383-391, May.
    3. Calum Strange & Rasheed Ibraheem & Gonçalo dos Reis, 2023. "Online Lifetime Prediction for Lithium-Ion Batteries with Cycle-by-Cycle Updates, Variance Reduction, and Model Ensembling," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(7), pages 1-14, April.
    4. Penelope K. Jones & Ulrich Stimming & Alpha A. Lee, 2022. "Impedance-based forecasting of lithium-ion battery performance amid uneven usage," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-9, December.
    5. Wang, Qiao & Ye, Min & Cai, Xue & Sauer, Dirk Uwe & Li, Weihan, 2023. "Transferable data-driven capacity estimation for lithium-ion batteries with deep learning: A case study from laboratory to field applications," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 350(C).
    6. Yunwei Zhang & Qiaochu Tang & Yao Zhang & Jiabin Wang & Ulrich Stimming & Alpha A. Lee, 2020. "Identifying degradation patterns of lithium ion batteries from impedance spectroscopy using machine learning," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-6, December.
    7. Li, Alan G. & West, Alan C. & Preindl, Matthias, 2022. "Towards unified machine learning characterization of lithium-ion battery degradation across multiple levels: A critical review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 316(C).
    8. Ibraheem, Rasheed & Wu, Yue & Lyons, Terry & dos Reis, Gonçalo, 2023. "Early prediction of Lithium-ion cell degradation trajectories using signatures of voltage curves up to 4-minute sub-sampling rates," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 352(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yang, Minxing & Sun, Xiaofei & Liu, Rui & Wang, Lingzhi & Zhao, Fei & Mei, Xuesong, 2024. "Predict the lifetime of lithium-ion batteries using early cycles: A review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 376(PA).
    2. Cai, Hongchang & Tang, Xiaopeng & Lai, Xin & Wang, Yanan & Han, Xuebing & Ouyang, Minggao & Zheng, Yuejiu, 2024. "How battery capacities are correctly estimated considering latent short-circuit faults," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 375(C).
    3. Zhang, Ying & Li, Yan-Fu, 2022. "Prognostics and health management of Lithium-ion battery using deep learning methods: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    4. Shengyu Tao & Haizhou Liu & Chongbo Sun & Haocheng Ji & Guanjun Ji & Zhiyuan Han & Runhua Gao & Jun Ma & Ruifei Ma & Yuou Chen & Shiyi Fu & Yu Wang & Yaojie Sun & Yu Rong & Xuan Zhang & Guangmin Zhou , 2023. "Collaborative and privacy-preserving retired battery sorting for profitable direct recycling via federated machine learning," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-14, December.
    5. Xue, Qiao & Li, Junqiu & Xu, Peipei, 2022. "Machine learning based swift online capacity prediction of lithium-ion battery through whole cycle life," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(PA).
    6. Zhai, Qiangxiang & Jiang, Hongmin & Long, Nengbing & Kang, Qiaoling & Meng, Xianhe & Zhou, Mingjiong & Yan, Lijing & Ma, Tingli, 2024. "Machine learning for full lifecycle management of lithium-ion batteries," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    7. Cui, Binghan & Wang, Han & Li, Renlong & Xiang, Lizhi & Zhao, Huaian & Xiao, Rang & Li, Sai & Liu, Zheng & Yin, Geping & Cheng, Xinqun & Ma, Yulin & Huo, Hua & Zuo, Pengjian & Lu, Taolin & Xie, Jingyi, 2024. "Ultra-early prediction of lithium-ion battery performance using mechanism and data-driven fusion model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 353(PA).
    8. Li, Guanzheng & Li, Bin & Li, Chao & Wang, Shuai, 2023. "State-of-health rapid estimation for lithium-ion battery based on an interpretable stacking ensemble model with short-term voltage profiles," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PE).
    9. Wang, Huan & Li, Yan-Fu & Zhang, Ying, 2023. "Bioinspired spiking spatiotemporal attention framework for lithium-ion batteries state-of-health estimation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    10. Hsu, Chia-Wei & Xiong, Rui & Chen, Nan-Yow & Li, Ju & Tsou, Nien-Ti, 2022. "Deep neural network battery life and voltage prediction by using data of one cycle only," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PB).
    11. Jan Figgener & Jonas van Ouwerkerk & David Haberschusz & Jakob Bors & Philipp Woerner & Marc Mennekes & Felix Hildenbrand & Christopher Hecht & Kai-Philipp Kairies & Oliver Wessels & Dirk Uwe Sauer, 2024. "Multi-year field measurements of home storage systems and their use in capacity estimation," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 9(11), pages 1438-1447, November.
    12. Du, Jingcai & Zhang, Caiping & Li, Shuowei & Zhang, Linjing & Zhang, Weige, 2024. "Two-stage prediction method for capacity aging trajectories of lithium-ion batteries based on Siamese-convolutional neural network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 295(C).
    13. Liu, Yunpeng & Hou, Bo & Ahmed, Moin & Mao, Zhiyu & Feng, Jiangtao & Chen, Zhongwei, 2024. "A hybrid deep learning approach for remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion batteries based on discharging fragments," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 358(C).
    14. Penelope K. Jones & Ulrich Stimming & Alpha A. Lee, 2022. "Impedance-based forecasting of lithium-ion battery performance amid uneven usage," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-9, December.
    15. Lin, Mingqiang & Yan, Chenhao & Wang, Wei & Dong, Guangzhong & Meng, Jinhao & Wu, Ji, 2023. "A data-driven approach for estimating state-of-health of lithium-ion batteries considering internal resistance," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
    16. Zhou, Yuekuan, 2024. "AI-driven battery ageing prediction with distributed renewable community and E-mobility energy sharing," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    17. Kong, Jin-zhen & Yang, Fangfang & Zhang, Xi & Pan, Ershun & Peng, Zhike & Wang, Dong, 2021. "Voltage-temperature health feature extraction to improve prognostics and health management of lithium-ion batteries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    18. Wang, Zhe & Yang, Fangfang & Xu, Qiang & Wang, Yongjian & Yan, Hong & Xie, Min, 2023. "Capacity estimation of lithium-ion batteries based on data aggregation and feature fusion via graph neural network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 336(C).
    19. Yan, Lisen & Peng, Jun & Gao, Dianzhu & Wu, Yue & Liu, Yongjie & Li, Heng & Liu, Weirong & Huang, Zhiwu, 2022. "A hybrid method with cascaded structure for early-stage remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion battery," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    20. Nagulapati, Vijay Mohan & Lee, Hyunjun & Jung, DaWoon & Brigljevic, Boris & Choi, Yunseok & Lim, Hankwon, 2021. "Capacity estimation of batteries: Influence of training dataset size and diversity on data driven prognostic models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:378:y:2025:i:pa:s0306261924022037. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.