IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcom/v13y2022i1d10.1038_s41467-022-35418-8.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Seismic multi-hazard and impact estimation via causal inference from satellite imagery

Author

Listed:
  • Susu Xu

    (Stony Brook University
    Stony Brook University)

  • Joshua Dimasaka

    (Stanford University)

  • David J. Wald

    (U.S. Geological Survey)

  • Hae Young Noh

    (Stanford University)

Abstract

Rapid post-earthquake reconnaissance is important for emergency responses and rehabilitation by providing accurate and timely information about secondary hazards and impacts, including landslide, liquefaction, and building damage. Despite the extensive collection of geospatial data and satellite images, existing physics-based and data-driven methods suffer from low estimation performance due to the complex and event-specific causal dependencies underlying the cascading processes of earthquake-triggered hazards and impacts. Herein, we present a rapid seismic multi-hazard and impact estimation system that leverages advanced statistical causal inference and remote sensing techniques. The unique feature of this system is that it provides accurate and high-resolution estimations on a regional scale by jointly inferring multiple hazards and building damage from satellite images through modeling their causal dependencies. We evaluate our system on multiple seismic events from diverse countries around the globe. Our results corroborate that incorporating causal dependencies significantly improves large-scale estimation accuracy for multiple hazards and impacts compared to existing systems. The results also reveal quantitative causal mechanisms among earthquake-triggered multi-hazard and impact for multiple seismic events. Our system establishes a new way to extract and utilize the complex interactions of multiple hazards and impacts for effective disaster responses and advancing understanding of seismic geological processes.

Suggested Citation

  • Susu Xu & Joshua Dimasaka & David J. Wald & Hae Young Noh, 2022. "Seismic multi-hazard and impact estimation via causal inference from satellite imagery," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-13, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:13:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-022-35418-8
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-35418-8
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-35418-8
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41467-022-35418-8?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. David M. Blei & Alp Kucukelbir & Jon D. McAuliffe, 2017. "Variational Inference: A Review for Statisticians," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 112(518), pages 859-877, April.
    2. M. Budimir & P. Atkinson & H. Lewis, 2014. "Earthquake-and-landslide events are associated with more fatalities than earthquakes alone," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 72(2), pages 895-914, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Olalekan R. Sodeinde & Magaly Koch & Babak Moaveni & Laurie G. Baise, 2024. "One versus all: identifiability with a multi-hazard and multiclass building damage imagery dataset and a deep learning neural network," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 120(9), pages 8337-8366, July.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Shen Liu & Hongyan Liu, 2021. "Tagging Items Automatically Based on Both Content Information and Browsing Behaviors," INFORMS Journal on Computing, INFORMS, vol. 33(3), pages 882-897, July.
    2. Xiaoyi Shao & Chong Xu & Siyuan Ma, 2022. "Preliminary Analysis of Coseismic Landslides Induced by the 1 June 2022 Ms 6.1 Lushan Earthquake, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(24), pages 1-16, December.
    3. Liu, Jie & Ye, Zifeng & Chen, Kun & Zhang, Panpan, 2024. "Variational Bayesian inference for bipartite mixed-membership stochastic block model with applications to collaborative filtering," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    4. Djohan Bonnet & Tifenn Hirtzlin & Atreya Majumdar & Thomas Dalgaty & Eduardo Esmanhotto & Valentina Meli & Niccolo Castellani & Simon Martin & Jean-François Nodin & Guillaume Bourgeois & Jean-Michel P, 2023. "Bringing uncertainty quantification to the extreme-edge with memristor-based Bayesian neural networks," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-13, December.
    5. Seokhyun Chung & Raed Al Kontar & Zhenke Wu, 2022. "Weakly Supervised Multi-output Regression via Correlated Gaussian Processes," INFORMS Joural on Data Science, INFORMS, vol. 1(2), pages 115-137, October.
    6. Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2023. "Bayesian Dynamic Variable Selection In High Dimensions," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 64(3), pages 1047-1074, August.
    7. Ziqi Zhang & Xinye Zhao & Mehak Bindra & Peng Qiu & Xiuwei Zhang, 2024. "scDisInFact: disentangled learning for integration and prediction of multi-batch multi-condition single-cell RNA-sequencing data," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-16, December.
    8. Dimitris Korobilis & Davide Pettenuzzo, 2020. "Machine Learning Econometrics: Bayesian algorithms and methods," Papers 2004.11486, arXiv.org.
    9. Jan Prüser & Florian Huber, 2024. "Nonlinearities in macroeconomic tail risk through the lens of big data quantile regressions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 269-291, March.
    10. Bansal, Prateek & Krueger, Rico & Graham, Daniel J., 2021. "Fast Bayesian estimation of spatial count data models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    11. Korobilis, Dimitris & Koop, Gary, 2018. "Variational Bayes inference in high-dimensional time-varying parameter models," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 22665, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
    12. Etienne Côme & Nicolas Jouvin & Pierre Latouche & Charles Bouveyron, 2021. "Hierarchical clustering with discrete latent variable models and the integrated classification likelihood," Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, Springer;German Classification Society - Gesellschaft für Klassifikation (GfKl);Japanese Classification Society (JCS);Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society (CLADAG);International Federation of Classification Societies (IFCS), vol. 15(4), pages 957-986, December.
    13. Alex Burnap & John R. Hauser & Artem Timoshenko, 2023. "Product Aesthetic Design: A Machine Learning Augmentation," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 42(6), pages 1029-1056, November.
    14. Yuan Fang & Dimitris Karlis & Sanjeena Subedi, 2022. "Infinite Mixtures of Multivariate Normal-Inverse Gaussian Distributions for Clustering of Skewed Data," Journal of Classification, Springer;The Classification Society, vol. 39(3), pages 510-552, November.
    15. Stéphane Bonhomme, 2021. "Selection on Welfare Gains: Experimental Evidence from Electricity Plan Choice," Working Papers 2021-15, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.
    16. Junming Yin & Jerry Luo & Susan A. Brown, 2021. "Learning from Crowdsourced Multi-labeling: A Variational Bayesian Approach," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 32(3), pages 752-773, September.
    17. Jeong, Kuhwan & Chae, Minwoo & Kim, Yongdai, 2023. "Online learning for the Dirichlet process mixture model via weakly conjugate approximation," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    18. Daziano, Ricardo A., 2022. "Willingness to delay charging of electric vehicles," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    19. Shuangyan Guo & Shan Yang & Canjiao Liu, 2024. "Mining Heritage Reuse Risks: A Systematic Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-16, May.
    20. Andreas Rehs, 2020. "A structural topic model approach to scientific reorientation of economics and chemistry after German reunification," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 125(2), pages 1229-1251, November.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:13:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-022-35418-8. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.