IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcom/v13y2022i1d10.1038_s41467-022-35326-x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Short-term exposure to wildfire-related PM2.5 increases mortality risks and burdens in Brazil

Author

Listed:
  • Tingting Ye

    (Monash University)

  • Rongbin Xu

    (Monash University)

  • Xu Yue

    (Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology (NUIST))

  • Gongbo Chen

    (Monash University)

  • Pei Yu

    (Monash University)

  • Micheline S. Z. S. Coêlho

    (Urban Health Laboratory University of São Paulo, Faculty of Medicine/INSPER)

  • Paulo H. N. Saldiva

    (Urban Health Laboratory University of São Paulo, Faculty of Medicine/INSPER)

  • Michael J. Abramson

    (Monash University)

  • Yuming Guo

    (Monash University)

  • Shanshan Li

    (Monash University)

Abstract

To assess mortality risks and burdens associated with short-term exposure to wildfire-related fine particulate matter with diameter ≤ 2.5 μm (PM2.5), we collect daily mortality data from 2000 to 2016 for 510 immediate regions in Brazil, the most wildfire-prone area. We integrate data from multiple sources with a chemical transport model at the global scale to isolate daily concentrations of wildfire-related PM2.5 at a 0.25 × 0.25 resolution. With a two-stage time-series approach, we estimate (i) an increase of 3.1% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.4, 3.9%) in all-cause mortality, 2.6% (95%CI: 1.5, 3.8%) in cardiovascular mortality, and 7.7% (95%CI: 5.9, 9.5) in respiratory mortality over 0–14 days with each 10 μg/m3 increase in daily wildfire-related PM2.5; (ii) 0.65% of all-cause, 0.56% of cardiovascular, and 1.60% of respiratory mortality attributable to acute exposure to wildfire-related PM2.5, corresponding to 121,351 all-cause deaths, 29,510 cardiovascular deaths, and 31,287 respiratory deaths during the study period. In this study, we find stronger associations in females and adults aged ≥ 60 years, and geographic difference in the mortality risks and burdens.

Suggested Citation

  • Tingting Ye & Rongbin Xu & Xu Yue & Gongbo Chen & Pei Yu & Micheline S. Z. S. Coêlho & Paulo H. N. Saldiva & Michael J. Abramson & Yuming Guo & Shanshan Li, 2022. "Short-term exposure to wildfire-related PM2.5 increases mortality risks and burdens in Brazil," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-9, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:13:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-022-35326-x
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-35326-x
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-35326-x
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41467-022-35326-x?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Rosana Aguilera & Thomas Corringham & Alexander Gershunov & Tarik Benmarhnia, 2021. "Wildfire smoke impacts respiratory health more than fine particles from other sources: observational evidence from Southern California," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-8, December.
    2. Xu Yue & Nadine Unger, 2018. "Fire air pollution reduces global terrestrial productivity," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 9(1), pages 1-9, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Alandra Marie Lopez & Juan Lezama Pacheco & Scott Fendorf, 2023. "Metal toxin threat in wildland fires determined by geology and fire severity," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
    2. Zheng, Jiyuan, 2023. "Exposure to wildfires and health outcomes of vulnerable people: Evidence from US data," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    3. Tesfalidet Beyene & Erin S. Harvey & Joseph Van Buskirk & Vanessa M. McDonald & Megan E. Jensen & Jay C. Horvat & Geoffrey G. Morgan & Graeme R. Zosky & Edward Jegasothy & Ivan Hanigan & Vanessa E. Mu, 2022. "‘Breathing Fire’: Impact of Prolonged Bushfire Smoke Exposure in People with Severe Asthma," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(12), pages 1-15, June.
    4. Dingli Liu & Zhisheng Xu & Chuangang Fan, 2019. "Predictive analysis of fire frequency based on daily temperatures," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 97(3), pages 1175-1189, July.
    5. Jayash Paudel, 2023. "Natural disasters and economic inequality: Insights from wildfires across the globe," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2023-24, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    6. Sofiyuddin, Muhammad & Suyanto, S. & Kadir, Sabarudin & Dewi, Sonya, 2021. "Sustainable land preparation for farmer-managed lowland agriculture in Indonesia," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    7. repec:ags:aaea22:335461 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Gellman, Jacob & Walls, Margaret A. & Wibbenmeyer, Matthew, 2023. "Welfare Losses from Wildfire Smoke: Evidence from Daily Outdoor Recreation Data," RFF Working Paper Series 23-31, Resources for the Future.
    9. Mary-Catherine Anderson & Ashley Hazel & Jessica M. Perkins & Zack W. Almquist, 2021. "The Ecology of Unsheltered Homelessness: Environmental and Social-Network Predictors of Well-Being among an Unsheltered Homeless Population," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(14), pages 1-22, July.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:13:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-022-35326-x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.