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Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Domestic Prices: The Turkish Case (2002-2014)

Author

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  • ?lyas ??klar
  • Merve Kocaman
  • Sevcan Kapkara

Abstract

This study examines the degree of exchange rate pass through (ERPT) into producer prices and consumer prices in Turkey. To see the effect of ERPT, recursive vector autoregressive (VAR) model on monthly data from January 2002 to November 2014 is used. Model includes six variables which are oil prices that represent supply shock, industry production index representing demand shocks, reserve money representing monetary policy, nominal exchange rate and CPI-PPI indices. Obtained results show that although there is a pass through from exchange rate to consumer and producer prices, its degree is not as effective as prior to 2001. This means that policymakers have more power for pursuing independent monetary policy.

Suggested Citation

  • ?lyas ??klar & Merve Kocaman & Sevcan Kapkara, 2017. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Domestic Prices: The Turkish Case (2002-2014)," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 7(2), pages 202-211, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:mth:ber888:v:7:y:2017:i:2:p:202-211
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jiawen Yang, 1997. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through In U.S. Manufacturing Industries," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 79(1), pages 95-104, February.
    2. Ms. Iyabo Masha & Mr. Chanho Park, 2012. "Exchange Rate Pass Through to Prices in Maldives," IMF Working Papers 2012/126, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Laurence Savoie-Chabot & Mikael Khan, 2015. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Consumer Prices: Theory and Recent Evidence," Discussion Papers 15-9, Bank of Canada.
    4. Elif C. Arbatli, 2003. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Turkey : Looking for Asymmetries," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 3(2), pages 85-124.
    5. Mr. Marco Rossi & Mr. Daniel Leigh, 2002. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Turkey," IMF Working Papers 2002/204, International Monetary Fund.
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    Cited by:

    1. Siklar Ilyas & Akca Aysegul, 2020. "Exchange Market Pressure and Monetary Policy: The Turkish Case," Ekonomika (Economics), Sciendo, vol. 99(1), pages 110-130, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange rate; Pass through effect; Consumer prices; Producer prices;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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