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Az újraiparosítás hatása a hazai térségek felzárkózási pályáira
[The impact of reindustrialization on the convergence paths of Hungarian regions]

Author

Listed:
  • Lengyel, Imre
  • Vas, Zsófia

Abstract

A Közgazdasági Szemle 2018. évi májusi számában jelent meg Lengyel Imre és Varga Attila A magyar gazdasági növekedés térbeli korlátai - helyzetkép és alapvető dilemmák című tanulmánya, amely a megyék típusainak felzárkózási pályáit mutatta be 2000 és 2016 között. Empirikus vizsgálatukra támaszkodva elméleti és gazdaságpolitikai dilemmákat egyaránt felvetettek, többek között a fővárosi térség stagnálásával és a külföldi érdekeltségű feldolgozóipari vállalatokkal működő térségek dinamizmusával kapcsolatban. Tanulmányunkban a fontosabb idősorokat 2022-ig bezárólag vizsgáljuk, és fő megállapításunk, hogy 2016 után új felzárkózási pályák figyelhetők meg: a főváros térségének gazdasága felélénkült, míg a feldolgozóipari vármegyék visszaestek, tipikus fejlődési csapdába kerültek, a többi vármegye felzárkózása pedig lassú maradt. Napjainkban az ország gazdasági növekedését nemcsak a kevésbé fejlett, hanem a feldolgozóipari térségek is visszafogják. Véleményünk szerint a jelenleg zajló újraiparosítási programok és projektek több vármegyében egy rövid távú felzárkózást követően várhatóan tartós fejlődésicsapda-helyzetet idéznek elő, hasonlóan a korábban sikeres feldolgozóipari térségekhez.

Suggested Citation

  • Lengyel, Imre & Vas, Zsófia, 2024. "Az újraiparosítás hatása a hazai térségek felzárkózási pályáira [The impact of reindustrialization on the convergence paths of Hungarian regions]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(11), pages 1176-1198.
  • Handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:2215
    DOI: 10.18414/KSZ.2024.11.1176
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lengyel, Imre & Varga, Attila, 2018. "A magyar gazdasági növekedés térbeli korlátai - helyzetkép és alapvető dilemmák [The spatial limits of economic growth in Hungary: An overview and some dilemmas]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(5), pages 499-524.
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    4. Andreas Diemer & Simona Iammarino & Andrés Rodríguez-Pose & Michael Storper, 2022. "The Regional Development Trap in Europe," Economic Geography, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 98(5), pages 487-509, October.
    5. Mc Millan,Margaret & Rodrik,Dani & Sepulveda,Claudia Paz, 2017. "Structural change, fundamentals, and growth : a framework and case studies," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8041, The World Bank.
    6. Varga, Attila & Sebestyén, Tamás & Szabó, Norbert, 2021. "Az intelligens szakosodási politika gazdasági hatásainak modellezése [Economic impact assessment of smart specialization policy]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(9), pages 901-929.
    7. Halmai, Péter, 2018. "Az európai növekedési modell kifulladása [Exhaustion of the European economic model]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(2), pages 122-160.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • O18 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes

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