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The green transition and its potential territorial discontents

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  • Andrés Rodríguez-Pose
  • Federico Bartalucci

Abstract

The impacts of climate change are unevenly distributed across territories. Less is known about the potential effects of climate policies aimed at mitigating the negative consequences of climate change while transitioning economies towards low-carbon standards. This paper presents an analytical framework for identifying and assessing the regional impacts of the green transition. We develop a Regional Green Transition Vulnerability Index, a composite measure of the regional vulnerability of European regions to the socio-economic reconfigurations prompted by the green transition. The index brings to light strong regional variations in vulnerability, with less developed, peri-urban and rural regions in Southern and Eastern Europe more exposed to the foreseeable changes brought about by the green transition. We also draw attention to the potential rise of pockets of growing ‘green’ discontent, especially if the green transition contributes, as is likely to be the case, to leaving already left-behind regions further behind.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrés Rodríguez-Pose & Federico Bartalucci, 2024. "The green transition and its potential territorial discontents," Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 17(2), pages 339-358.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:cjrecs:v:17:y:2024:i:2:p:339-358.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/cjres/rsad039
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    2. Phoebe Koundouri & Konstantinos Dellis & Angelos Plataniotis, 2023. "The Green Transformation of Europe: challenges, opportunities, and the way forward," DEOS Working Papers 2320, Athens University of Economics and Business.
    3. Adelia Fatikhova & Fabrizio Fusillo & Sandro Montresor, 2024. "Green-tech transition beyond regional borders: the role of embodied green knowledge flows," Papers in Evolutionary Economic Geography (PEEG) 2413, Utrecht University, Department of Human Geography and Spatial Planning, Group Economic Geography, revised May 2024.
    4. Ergen, Timur & Schmitz, Luuk, 2023. "The sunshine problem: Climate change and managed decline in the European Union," MPIfG Discussion Paper 23/6, Max Planck Institute for the Study of Societies.
    5. Ezio Micelli & Giulia Giliberto & Eleonora Righetto & Greta Tafuri, 2024. "Urban Disparities in Energy Performance Premium Prices: Towards an Unjust Transition?," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-21, February.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    green transition; environment; left-behind regions; development trap; European Union;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O56 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Oceania
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes

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