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A valószínűség mint döntési argumentum Keynes közgazdaságtanában
[Probability as an argument of decision in Keynes economics]

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  • Bélyácz, Iván

Abstract

Dusek Tamás cikket írt Keynes sikerességének és népszerűségének okai Keynes életrajzai szerint címmel e lap 2022. szeptemberi számában, amihez hozzászólt Szakolczai György Megjegyzések és kiegészítések Dusek Tamás Keynes-esszéjéhez címmel e lap 2023. májusi számában, amelyre a szerző Viszonválasz Szakolczai Györgynek című írásával válaszolt ugyanabban a lapszámban. E sorok írója a két szerző egy-egy gondolatához kíván hozzászólni a kiegészítés szándékával. Dusek Tamás Keynes két könyvét nevezi meg a legbefolyásosabb műnek. Az egyik A béke gazdasági következményei (1919), a másik A foglalkoztatás, a kamat és a pénz általános elmélete (1936). Szakolczai György Keynes valószínűségi munkájáról úgy véli, hogy "ennek a munkának nincs valóságos jelentősége, itt is csak a teljesség kedvéért szerepeltetem". Dusek és Szakolczai állításával szemben úgy vélem, hogy Keynes A Treatise on Probability című könyve (1921) és The General Theory of Employment című cikke (1937) meghatározó jelentőségű Keynes közgazdasági elméletének megalapozásában, amely a bizonytalanság szerepére épül. Cikkem megkísérel árnyalt képet adni a valószínűség és a bizonytalanság jelentőségéről a keynesi közgazdaságtanban. Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) kód: D81, E12.

Suggested Citation

  • Bélyácz, Iván, 2024. "A valószínűség mint döntési argumentum Keynes közgazdaságtanában [Probability as an argument of decision in Keynes economics]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(1), pages 86-107.
    • Handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:2164
    DOI: 10.18414/KSZ.2024.1.86
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory

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