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A foglalkozási mobilitás változása Magyarországon két évtized adatai alapján
[Changes in occupational mobility in Hungary over two decades]

Author

Listed:
  • Varga, Júlia
  • Csillag, Márton

Abstract

Hogyan változott a foglalkozási mobilitás az elmúlt húsz évben Magyarországon, és miben különbözött a koronavírus-válság, valamint az azt követő időszak a pénzügyi válság időszakától? Tanulmányunkban ezt térképezzük fel a KSH munkaerő-felmérésének rotációs paneladatait felhasználva, a 2003-2022 közötti időszakra. Ez a hosszú adatsor lehetővé teszi, hogy a gazdasági ciklus különböző fázisaiban vizsgáljuk a foglalkozásváltás valószínűségét, és nem csupán a folyamatosan foglalkoztatottak, de a munkanélküliségből visszatérők adatait is kiaknázzuk. Megmutatjuk, hogy a foglalkozási mobilitást összességében a folyamatosan egy munkáltatónál dolgozók foglalkozásváltásai mozgatják, és ez nőtt meg extrém módon a koronavírus-járvány idején, valamint utána. Ebben radikálisan különbözik ez a válság a 2008-2010-es pénzügyi válság időszakától. A mobilitást befolyásoló tényezők is megváltoztak, amire az utal, hogy a legalább érettségizettek, de különösen az irányító pozícióban lévők körében nőtt meg a foglalkozásváltás valószínűsége.* Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) kód: G01, J01, J6, J24, J62, J64.

Suggested Citation

  • Varga, Júlia & Csillag, Márton, 2023. "A foglalkozási mobilitás változása Magyarországon két évtized adatai alapján [Changes in occupational mobility in Hungary over two decades]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(12), pages 1338-1360.
    • Handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:2156
    DOI: 10.18414/KSZ.2023.12.1338
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Gueorgui Kambourov & Iourii Manovskii, 2009. "Occupational Specificity Of Human Capital," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 50(1), pages 63-115, February.
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    4. Carlos Carrillo‐Tudela & Ludo Visschers, 2023. "Unemployment and Endogenous Reallocation Over the Business Cycle," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 91(3), pages 1119-1153, May.
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    11. Köllő, János & Reizer, Balázs, 2021. "A koronavírus-járvány első hullámának hatása a foglalkoztatásra és a vállalatok árbevételére [The effect of the first wave of Covid pandemic on employment and firm revenue]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(4), pages 345-374.
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    1. Szabó, Lajos Tamás & Erdélyi, Levente, 2024. "Munkaerő-áramlás Magyarországon 2002-2021 között teljes körű adminisztratív adatok alapján [Labour force flows in Hungary 2002-2021 based on comprehensive administrative data]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(7), pages 728-754.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • J01 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - General - - - Labor Economics: General
    • J6 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
    • J62 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Job, Occupational and Intergenerational Mobility; Promotion
    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search

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