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A svéd és a magyar termékenységi arányszám összehasonlítása
[Comparison of Swedish and Hungarian fertility levels]

Author

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  • Berde, Éva
  • Kovács, Eszter

Abstract

Cikkünkben a svéd és a magyar termékenység alakulását hasonlítjuk össze, először a történelmi folyamatok elemzése, majd pedig az 1970 és 2013 közti termékenységi arányszámok legkisebb négyzetek módszerével történő regressziós becslése segítségével. Megmutatjuk, hogy a történelmi tradíciók alapján a nők gyermekvállalásához kapcsolódóan a svéd és a magyar társadalmi megítélés lényeges különbségeket tartalmaz. Regressziós becslésünkben nem a hagyományos teljes termékenységi arányszámot, hanem egy ütem és paritás szerint korrigált termékenységi arányszámot becsülünk különböző tényezők bevonásával. Eredményeink alapján Svédországban a női foglalkoztatás és a családtámogatásokra fordított kiadások bővülései egyértelműen növelik a korrigált termékenységi arányszám értékét, Magyarországon azonban - bár a kapcsolatok iránya szintén pozitív - a becslések általában nem bizonyultak szignifikánsnak.* Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) kód: H53, J11, J13.

Suggested Citation

  • Berde, Éva & Kovács, Eszter, 2016. "A svéd és a magyar termékenységi arányszám összehasonlítása [Comparison of Swedish and Hungarian fertility levels]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(12), pages 1348-1374.
    • Handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:1668
    DOI: 10.18414/KSZ.2016.12.1348
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • H53 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Government Expenditures and Welfare Programs
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth

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