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Effects of Oil and Non-Oil Exports on the Economic Growth of Syria

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  • Adel Shakeeb Mohsen

Abstract

This study investigated the role of oil and non-oil exports in the Syrian economic over the period 1975-2010. The ADF unit root test, Johansen cointegration test, Granger causality test, impulse response functions (IRF), and variance decomposition (VD) analysis were used in this study. The cointegration test indicates that GDP is positively and significantly related to oil and non-oil exports. The Granger causality test indicates bidirectional shortrun causality relationships between GDP, oil exports and non-oil exports. There are also bidirectional long-run causality relationship between non-oil exports and GDP, and unidirectional long-run causality relationship running from oil exports to GDP. The study result indicates that oil exports have the biggest effect on the GDP, thus we suggest encouraging non-oil export and increase its diversity.

Suggested Citation

  • Adel Shakeeb Mohsen, 2015. "Effects of Oil and Non-Oil Exports on the Economic Growth of Syria," Academic Journal of Economic Studies, Faculty of Finance, Banking and Accountancy Bucharest,"Dimitrie Cantemir" Christian University Bucharest, vol. 1(2), pages 69-78, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:khe:scajes:v:1:y:2015:i:2:p:69-78
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    Cited by:

    1. Sayef Bakari & Mohamed Mabrouki & Asma Elmakki, 2018. "The Nexus Between Industrial Exports And Economic Growth In Tunisia: Empirical Analysis," Journal of Smart Economic Growth, , vol. 3(2), pages 31-53, December.
    2. Mukesh Kumar & Nargis & Azeema Begam, 2020. "Export-Led Growth Hypothesis: Empirical Evidence from Selected South Asian Countries," Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 8(1), pages 1-15, March.
    3. Daouda Coulibaly & Fulgence Zran Goueu, 2019. "An Empirical Analysis of the Link between Economic Growth and Exports in Côte d’Ivoire," International Business Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 12(9), pages 94-104, September.
    4. Adesoye A. Bolaji & Adelowokan Oluwaseyi Adedayo & Alimi Y. Olorunfemi, 2018. "Time Series Analysis of Non-Oil Export Demand and Economic Performance in Nigeria," Iranian Economic Review (IER), Faculty of Economics,University of Tehran.Tehran,Iran, vol. 22(1), pages 295-314, Winter.
    5. Emilda Hashim & Norimah Rambeli & Asmawi Hashim & Norasibah Abdul Jalil & Shahrun Nizam Abdul Aziz & Noor Al Huda Abdul Karim, 2019. "Dynamic Relationship Between Real Export, Real Import, Real Exchange Rate, Labor Force and Real Gross Domestic Product in Malaysia," Research in World Economy, Research in World Economy, Sciedu Press, vol. 10(5), pages 20-29, December.
    6. Mohammed A Aljebrin, 2017. "Impact of Non-oil Export on Non-oil Economic Growth in Saudi Arabia," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(3), pages 389-397.
    7. Paitoon Chetthamrongchai & Sudawan Somjai & Thitinan Chankoson, 2020. "The contribution of macroeconomic factors in determining the economic growth, export and the agricultural output in agri-based ASEAN economies," Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Issues, VsI Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Center, vol. 7(3), pages 2043-2059, March.
    8. Anis Khayati, 2019. "The Effects of Oil and Non-oil Exports on Economic Growth in Bahrain," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(3), pages 160-164.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Syria; economic growth; oil exports; non-oil exports; VAR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • E20 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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