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The Growth Effects of Population Aging in an Economy with Endogenous Technological Progress

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  • Young Jun Chun

    (Hanyang University)

Abstract

We address the effects of population aging on economic growth, taking account of its growth-delaying effects, through the reduction of capital accumulation and labor force, and the R&D investment reduction due to its lowered return resulting from reduced market size, as well as its growth-promoting effects, through the increase in educational investment due to decrease in the number of child per parent. The policy simulations with a general equilibrium model and its calibration, reflecting the Korean economy, show that: (1) the population aging delays technological progress as well as quantitative economic growth; (2) the government subsidies to R&D and educational investment can partly compensate for the loss in economic growth due to the population aging, but they cannot deal with the problem fundamentally; and (3) the optimal subsidy rates to R&D and education are quite high, ranging from 50 to 70% to R&D and from 70 to 80% to education.

Suggested Citation

  • Young Jun Chun, 2013. "The Growth Effects of Population Aging in an Economy with Endogenous Technological Progress," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 29, pages 51-80.
    • Handle: RePEc:kea:keappr:ker-20130630-29-1-03
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    7. Gary S. Becker & H. Gregg Lewis, 1974. "Interaction between Quantity and Quality of Children," NBER Chapters, in: Economics of the Family: Marriage, Children, and Human Capital, pages 81-90, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    Cited by:

    1. Wu, Feifei & Yang, Hongna & Gao, Bo & Gu, Yan, 2021. "Old, not yet rich? The impact of population aging on export upgrading in developing countries," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Population Aging; Growth; Research and Development; Educational Investment;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity
    • O3 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
    • H21 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Efficiency; Optimal Taxation

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