IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/transp/v45y2018i5d10.1007_s11116-017-9771-5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Estimating traffic volumes on intercity road locations using roadway attributes, socioeconomic features and other work-related activity characteristics

Author

Listed:
  • Noelia Caceres

    (AICIA)

  • Luis M. Romero

    (University of Seville)

  • Francisco J. Morales

    (University of Seville)

  • Antonio Reyes

    (University of Seville)

  • Francisco G. Benitez

    (University of Seville)

Abstract

Traffic volume data are key inputs to many applications in highway design and planning. But these data are collected in only a limited number of road locations due to the cost involved. This paper presents an approach for estimating daily and hourly traffic volumes on intercity road locations combining clustering and regression modelling techniques. With the aim of applying the procedure to any road location, it proposes the use of roadway attributes and socioeconomic characteristics of nearby cities as explanatory variables, together with a set of previously discovered patterns with the hourly traffic percent distribution. Test results show that the proposed approach significantly produces accurate estimates of daily volumes for most locations. The accuracy at hourly level is a bit more reduced but, for periods when traffic is significant, more than half of the estimates are within 20% of absolute percentage error. Moreover, the main peak period is approximately identified for most cases. These findings together with its great applicability make this approach attractive for planners when no traffic data are available and an estimate is helpful.

Suggested Citation

  • Noelia Caceres & Luis M. Romero & Francisco J. Morales & Antonio Reyes & Francisco G. Benitez, 2018. "Estimating traffic volumes on intercity road locations using roadway attributes, socioeconomic features and other work-related activity characteristics," Transportation, Springer, vol. 45(5), pages 1449-1473, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:transp:v:45:y:2018:i:5:d:10.1007_s11116-017-9771-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s11116-017-9771-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11116-017-9771-5
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11116-017-9771-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Glenn Milligan & Martha Cooper, 1985. "An examination of procedures for determining the number of clusters in a data set," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 50(2), pages 159-179, June.
    2. Ying Song & Harvey Miller, 2012. "Exploring traffic flow databases using space-time plots and data cubes," Transportation, Springer, vol. 39(2), pages 215-234, March.
    3. William Lam & Y. Tang & K. Chan & Mei-Lam Tam, 2006. "Short-term Hourly Traffic Forecasts using Hong Kong Annual Traffic Census," Transportation, Springer, vol. 33(3), pages 291-310, May.
    4. Mahdieh Allahviranloo & Will Recker, 2015. "Mining activity pattern trajectories and allocating activities in the network," Transportation, Springer, vol. 42(4), pages 561-579, July.
    5. Ming Zhong & Brody L. Hanson, 2009. "GIS-based travel demand modeling for estimating traffic on low-class roads," Transportation Planning and Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(5), pages 423-439, August.
    6. Gerard Jong & Andrew Daly & Marits Pieters & Stephen Miller & Ronald Plasmeijer & Frank Hofman, 2007. "Uncertainty in traffic forecasts: literature review and new results for The Netherlands," Transportation, Springer, vol. 34(4), pages 375-395, July.
    7. Friendly, Michael & Kwan, Ernest, 2009. "Where's Waldo? Visualizing Collinearity Diagnostics," The American Statistician, American Statistical Association, vol. 63(1), pages 56-65.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Sfyridis, Alexandros & Agnolucci, Paolo, 2020. "Annual average daily traffic estimation in England and Wales: An application of clustering and regression modelling," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Guardiola, I.G. & Leon, T. & Mallor, F., 2014. "A functional approach to monitor and recognize patterns of daily traffic profiles," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 119-136.
    2. Liu, Pei-chen Barry & Hansen, Mark & Mukherjee, Avijit, 2008. "Scenario-based air traffic flow management: From theory to practice," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 42(7-8), pages 685-702, August.
    3. Hélène Syed Zwick & S. Ali Shah Syed, 2017. "The polarization impact of the crisis on the Eurozone labour markets: a hierarchical cluster analysis," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(7), pages 472-476, April.
    4. Goethner, Maximilian & Hornuf, Lars & Regner, Tobias, 2021. "Protecting investors in equity crowdfunding: An empirical analysis of the small investor protection act," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    5. Bastian, Anne & Börjesson, Maria, 2014. "It's the economy, stupid: increasing fuel price is enough to explain Peak Car in Sweden," Working papers in Transport Economics 2014:15, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI).
    6. Pennings, J.S.J. & van Kranenburg, H.L. & Hagedoorn, J., 2005. "Past, present and future of the telecommunications industry," Research Memorandum 016, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
    7. Li-Xuan Qin & Steven G. Self, 2006. "The Clustering of Regression Models Method with Applications in Gene Expression Data," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 62(2), pages 526-533, June.
    8. Caroline Méjean & Pauline Macouillard & Sandrine Péneau & Camille Lassale & Serge Hercberg & Katia Castetbon, 2014. "Association of Perception of Front-of-Pack Labels with Dietary, Lifestyle and Health Characteristics," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(3), pages 1-11, March.
    9. Holz-Rau, Christian & Scheiner, Joachim, 2011. "Safety and travel time in cost-benefit analysis: A sensitivity analysis for North Rhine-Westphalia," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 336-346, March.
    10. Li, Pai-Ling & Chiou, Jeng-Min, 2011. "Identifying cluster number for subspace projected functional data clustering," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 55(6), pages 2090-2103, June.
    11. Maria Börjesson & Jonas Eliasson & Mattias Lundberg, 2014. "Is CBA Ranking of Transport Investments Robust?," Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, University of Bath, vol. 48(2), pages 189-204, May.
    12. Luis García-González & Ángel Abós & Sergio Diloy-Peña & Alexander Gil-Arias & Javier Sevil-Serrano, 2020. "Can a Hybrid Sport Education/Teaching Games for Understanding Volleyball Unit Be More Effective in Less Motivated Students? An Examination into a Set of Motivation-Related Variables," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-16, July.
    13. Hyeri Choi & Min Jae Park, 2019. "Evaluating the Efficiency of Governmental Excellence for Social Progress: Focusing on Low- and Lower-Middle-Income Countries," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 141(1), pages 111-130, January.
    14. Alessandra Cepparulo & Antonello Zanfei, 2019. "The diffusion of public eServices in European cities," Working Papers 1904, University of Urbino Carlo Bo, Department of Economics, Society & Politics - Scientific Committee - L. Stefanini & G. Travaglini, revised 2019.
    15. Ana Helena Tavares & Jakob Raymaekers & Peter J. Rousseeuw & Paula Brito & Vera Afreixo, 2020. "Clustering genomic words in human DNA using peaks and trends of distributions," Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, Springer;German Classification Society - Gesellschaft für Klassifikation (GfKl);Japanese Classification Society (JCS);Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society (CLADAG);International Federation of Classification Societies (IFCS), vol. 14(1), pages 57-76, March.
    16. Ton, Danique & Bekhor, Shlomo & Cats, Oded & Duives, Dorine C. & Hoogendoorn-Lanser, Sascha & Hoogendoorn, Serge P., 2020. "The experienced mode choice set and its determinants: Commuting trips in the Netherlands," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 744-758.
    17. Michele Cincera, 2005. "Firms' productivity growth and R&D spillovers: An analysis of alternative technological proximity measures," Economics of Innovation and New Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(8), pages 657-682.
    18. André Lucas & Julia Schaumburg & Bernd Schwaab, 2019. "Bank Business Models at Zero Interest Rates," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(3), pages 542-555, July.
    19. Asplund, Disa & Eliasson, Jonas, 2016. "Does uncertainty make cost-benefit analyses pointless?," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 195-205.
    20. Wang, Ketong & Porter, Michael D., 2018. "Optimal Bayesian clustering using non-negative matrix factorization," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 395-411.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:transp:v:45:y:2018:i:5:d:10.1007_s11116-017-9771-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.