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Cross-Hedging Foreign Currency Risk: Empirical Evidence from an Error Correction Model

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  • Ghosh, Asim

Abstract

In this article, the traditional price change hedge ratio estimation method is extended by applying the theory of cointegration in the case of cross-hedging of spot exchange risk of the Belgian franc (BF), the Italian lira (IL), and the Dutch guilder (NG) with U.S. Dollar Index futures contracts. Previous studies ignore the last period's equilibrium error and short-run deviations. The findings of this study indicate that the hedge ratio estimated by the error correction method is superior to that obtained from the traditional method, as evidenced by the likelihood ratio test and out-of-sample forecasts. Hedgers will be able to control the risk of their portfolios more effectively at a lower cost. Copyright 1996 by Kluwer Academic Publishers

Suggested Citation

  • Ghosh, Asim, 1996. "Cross-Hedging Foreign Currency Risk: Empirical Evidence from an Error Correction Model," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 6(3), pages 223-231, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:rqfnac:v:6:y:1996:i:3:p:223-31
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Leland L. Johnson, 1960. "The Theory of Hedging and Speculation in Commodity Futures," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 27(3), pages 139-151.
    2. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    3. repec:bla:jfinan:v:44:y:1989:i:1:p:167-81 is not listed on IDEAS
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    10. Joanne Hill & Thomas Schneeweis, 1982. "The Hedging Effectiveness Of Foreign Currency Futures," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 5(1), pages 95-104, March.
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    3. Adams, Zeno & Gerner, Mathias, 2012. "Cross hedging jet-fuel price exposure," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 1301-1309.
    4. Ahmad Bash & Abdullah M. Al-Awadhi & Fouad Jamaani, 2016. "Measuring the Hedge Ratio: A GCC Perspective," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 8(7), pages 1-1, July.

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