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Factibilidad del uso de contratos de futuros del Chicago Mercantile Exchange para la cobertura del riesgo de precio en el ganado bovino chileno

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  • Troncoso Sepúlveda, Ricardo
  • Cabas Monje, Juan

Abstract

Resumen: El objetivo de este artículo es estudiar la factibilidad del uso de contratos de futuros del Chicago Mercantile Exchange como instrumento de cobertura del riesgo de precio para el ganado bovino en Chile. Para tal propósito, se realizaron pruebas de raíces unitarias estacionales y se utilizó el modelo Johnson-Stein para estimar las ratios de cobertura de mínimo riesgo entre 1975 y 2012. Los resultados muestran que los mercados de ganado bovino están integrados y que la ratio de cobertura óptima para un productor de ganado se encuentra en línea con las ratios estimadas para otros commodities. Estos hallazgos pueden ser útiles para hacedores de política agrícola en países en desarrollo porque confirman el potencial de este tipo de instrumentos para reducir el riesgo de precio entre los productores ganaderos y dan argumentos empíricos para fomentar su utilización. Abstract: The aim of this paper is to study the feasibility of using Chicago Mercantile Exchange futures contracts as a price risk hedging instrument for cattle in Chile. For this purpose, seasonal unit root tests were performed, and the Johnson-Stein model was used to estimate the minimum risk hedge ratios between 1975 and 2012. The results show that the cattle markets are integrated and that the optimal hedge ratio for a livestock producer is in line with the estimated ratios for other commodities. These findings can be useful for agricultural policy makers in developing countries because they confirm the potential of this type of instrument to reduce the price risk for livestock producers and provide empirical arguments to encourage its use.

Suggested Citation

  • Troncoso Sepúlveda, Ricardo & Cabas Monje, Juan, 2019. "Factibilidad del uso de contratos de futuros del Chicago Mercantile Exchange para la cobertura del riesgo de precio en el ganado bovino chileno," Revista Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, issue 90, pages 9-44, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000174:017438
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Precios de futuros; mercados financieros internacionales; criterios para la toma de decisiones bajo riesgo e incertidumbre; política agrícola;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • Q18 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Policy; Food Policy; Animal Welfare Policy

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