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Application of the Extended Log Quad Model to Municipal Life Tables

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  • Yu Horiguchi

    (Keio University)

Abstract

In this study, we improve on the research results of relational models that enable life table estimates from a small number of demographic indices, such as the Log Quad Model by Wilmoth et al. (Popul Stud 66(1):1–28, 2012) and the Extended Log Quad Model 1 by Horiguchi (J Popul Stud 58:13–28, 2022). Consequently, we propose the Extended Log Quad Model 2. This is a mortality rate model that reflects the remarkable improvement in old-age mortality rates in Japan since the 1970s. This is intended for application to the estimation of municipal life tables in Japan. The Extended Log Quad Model 2 is useful for municipal policymaking because it is possible to estimate future life tables with a high level of accuracy by projecting only life expectancy at the age of 65. It is also suggested that the Extended Log Quad Model 2 will be applicable to other developed countries, such as Australia, Canada, France, and New Zealand.

Suggested Citation

  • Yu Horiguchi, 2024. "Application of the Extended Log Quad Model to Municipal Life Tables," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 43(4), pages 1-19, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:poprpr:v:43:y:2024:i:4:d:10.1007_s11113-024-09899-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s11113-024-09899-y
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Samuel J. Clark, 2019. "A General Age-Specific Mortality Model With an Example Indexed by Child Mortality or Both Child and Adult Mortality," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 56(3), pages 1131-1159, June.
    2. John Wilmoth & Sarah Zureick & Vladimir Canudas-Romo & Mie Inoue & Cheryl Sawyer, 2012. "A flexible two-dimensional mortality model for use in indirect estimation," Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 66(1), pages 1-28.
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