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Sequential American Exchange Property Options

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  • Dean Paxson

Abstract

Property development activities often occur in stages, which are appropriately modeled as sequential American exchange property options, where there are interim expenditures required in order to keep the property development options “alive”. Normally American exchange options require a numerical solution, but herein there is a new closed-form approximate solution, which is computationally efficient and accurate. This method combines repeats of Margrabe European exchange and Geske compound option solutions with tight upper boundaries of either American perpetuities or European exchange options with a high volatility. Illustrations are provided of the sensitivity of the real sequential options and optimal timing to changes in several parameters, which provide a framework for property policy (tax, subsidy and regulatory) guidelines and for property development strategy evaluation. There are several plausible applications of these real option models in commercial and residential property development, within commercial property leases, with regard to switching tenants, and agricultural alternatives. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2007

Suggested Citation

  • Dean Paxson, 2007. "Sequential American Exchange Property Options," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 34(1), pages 135-157, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:jrefec:v:34:y:2007:i:1:p:135-157
    DOI: 10.1007/s11146-007-9003-4
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    Cited by:

    1. Suvankar Ghosh & Xiaolin Li, 2013. "A Real Options Model for Generalized Meta-Staged Projects---Valuing the Migration to SOA," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 24(4), pages 1011-1027, December.
    2. Ghosh, Suvankar & Troutt, Marvin D., 2012. "Complex compound option models – Can practitioners truly operationalize them?," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 222(3), pages 542-552.
    3. Wang, Xiandong & He, Jianmin, 2017. "A simple method for generalized sequential compound options pricing," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 85-91.
    4. Jyh-Bang Jou & Tan (Charlene) Lee, 2009. "How Does a Development Moratorium Affect Development Timing Choices and Land Values?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 39(3), pages 301-315, October.
    5. Abel Cadenillas & Robert Elliott & Hong Miao & Zhenyu Wu, 2009. "Risk-Hedging in Real Estate Markets," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 16(4), pages 265-285, December.

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